---
title: "Зеленая коллекция case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Зеленая коллекция ($0.06) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 58.48% from 35 items with odds, observed 132.41% over 911 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/greencollection
rendered: 2026-11-11T16:48Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [Зеленая коллекция](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/greencollection)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · Зеленая коллекция

A case on csgo.net, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/greencollection?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/greencollection?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/greencollection) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/greencollection?window=all)

Price · $0.06

Advertised RTP · 58.48% · EV $0.04 from 35 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 132.41% · 911 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.3× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 31.2% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 87.3% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 129.67% ±10.62 105 openings

7 days · 132.26% ±3.83 708 openings

30 days · 132.41% ±3.40 911 openings

since tracking started · 132.41% ±3.40 911 openings

58.0% 99.5% 141.0%

**Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 59.25% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (129.01% – 135.80%, 911 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/greencollection?window=24h) | 105 | 129.67% ±10.6 | +13.1σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/greencollection?window=7d) | 708 | 132.26% ±3.83 | +37.4σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/greencollection) | 911 | 132.41% ±3.40 | +42.2σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/greencollection?window=all) | 911 | 132.41% ±3.40 | +42.2σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 35 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 911 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-field-tested) | 1 in 193,931 | $4.15 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P90 \| Virus (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-virus-field-tested) | 1 in 193,109 | $3.97 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Phobos (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-phobos-minimal-wear) | 1 in 161,397 | $2.11 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| Franklin (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-franklin-minimal-wear) | 1 in 153,001 | $1.94 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Elite Build (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-field-tested) | 1 in 140,260 | $1.74 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Electrum (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-electrum-field-tested) | 1 in 74,469 | $1.10 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SCAR-20 \| Powercore (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-powercore-well-worn) | 1 in 74,469 | $1.10 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M249 \| Nebula Crusader (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-nebula-crusader-well-worn) | 1 in 46,036 | $0.87 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.0 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Eco (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-eco-well-worn) | 1 in 31,336 | $0.75 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Acid Fade (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-acid-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 14,846 | $0.56 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Bamboozle (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-bamboozle-field-tested) | 1 in 12,581 | $0.53 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [USP-S \| Flashback (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-flashback-field-tested) | 1 in 11,289 | $0.51 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [SG 553 \| Dragon Tech (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-dragon-tech-field-tested) | 1 in 4,281 | $0.36 | 0.2% | 6 | 0.2 | — |
| [MP7 \| Akoben (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-akoben-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,800 | $0.35 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [P90 \| Grim (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-grim-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,596 | $0.31 | 0.3% | 3 | 0.4 | — |
| [P250 \| Verdigris (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-verdigris-field-tested) | 1 in 1,836 | $0.27 | 0.4% | 2 | 0.5 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Green Line (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-green-line-field-tested) | 1 in 1,456 | $0.25 | 0.5% | 3 | 0.6 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Cracked Opal (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-cracked-opal-field-tested) | 1 in 1,388 | $0.25 | 0.5% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [USP-S \| PC-GRN (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-pc-grn-field-tested) | 1 in 276 | $0.14 | 1.5% | 3 | 3.3 | 0.91× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Tilted (Field-Tested) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-tilted-field-tested) | 1 in 260 | $0.14 | 1.5% | 0 | 3.5 | 0.00× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Amber Fade (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-amber-fade-field-tested) | 1 in 197 | $0.13 | 1.8% | 21 | 4.6 | 4.55× |
| [Charm \| Whittle Knife charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-whittle-knife) | 1 in 143 | $0.11 | 2.2% | 51 | 6.4 | 8.02× |
| [AK-47 \| Olive Polycam (Minimal Wear) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-olive-polycam-minimal-wear) | 1 in 118 | $0.10 | 2.5% | 0 | 7.7 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Choppa (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-choppa-field-tested) | 1 in 53 | $0.08 | 4.1% | 115 | 17.1 | 6.74× |
| [FAMAS \| Meow 36 (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-meow-36-well-worn) | 1 in 50 | $0.07 | 4.3% | 5 | 18.2 | 0.27× |
| [G3SG1 \| Green Apple (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-green-apple-minimal-wear) | 1 in 40 | $0.07 | 4.9% | 0 | 22.5 | 0.00× |
| [MAC-10 \| Monkeyflage (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-monkeyflage-field-tested) | 1 in 31 | $0.06 | 5.8% | 134 | 29.7 | 4.52× |
| [XM1014 \| Irezumi (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-irezumi-field-tested) | 1 in 19 | $0.05 | 7.5% | 326 | 49.1 | 6.64× |
| [XM1014 \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $0.05 | 7.9% | 0 | 54.7 | 0.00× |
| [M249 \| Gator Mesh (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-gator-mesh-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14 | $0.04 | 8.5% | 0 | 64.5 | 0.00× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Polished Malachite (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-polished-malachite-field-tested) | 12.0% | $0.03 | 9.9% | 0 | 109.6 | 0.00× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Snake Camo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-snake-camo-field-tested) | 12.0% | $0.03 | 9.9% | 0 | 109.2 | 0.00× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Desert Seal (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-desert-seal-well-worn) | 13.2% | $0.03 | 9.8% | 0 | 120.7 | 0.00× |
| [AUG \| Contractor (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-contractor-field-tested) | 15.8% | $0.02 | 7.6% | 0 | 143.5 | 0.00× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Colony (Field-Tested) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-colony-field-tested) | 15.8% | $0.02 | 7.2% | 0 | 143.9 | 0.00× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=greencollection)

[M4A4 | Choppa (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-choppa-field-tested) [ghoas1k](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/ghoas1k) $0.06 $0.09 1.43x 2026-11-11 16:37 UTC

[Charm | Whittle Knife charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-whittle-knife) [Garp](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Garp) $0.06 $0.11 1.88x 2026-11-11 16:31 UTC

[M4A4 | Choppa (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-choppa-field-tested) [Garp](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Garp) $0.06 $0.09 1.43x 2026-11-11 16:31 UTC

[XM1014 | Irezumi (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-irezumi-field-tested) [nononono](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/nononono) $0.06 $0.05 0.80x 2026-11-11 16:28 UTC

[MAC-10 | Monkeyflage (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-monkeyflage-field-tested) [nononono](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/nononono) $0.06 $0.06 1.00x 2026-11-11 16:28 UTC

[MAC-10 | Monkeyflage (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-monkeyflage-field-tested) [nononono](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/nononono) $0.06 $0.06 1.00x 2026-11-11 16:28 UTC

[XM1014 | Irezumi (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-irezumi-field-tested) [nononono](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/nononono) $0.06 $0.05 0.80x 2026-11-11 16:28 UTC

[XM1014 | Irezumi (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-irezumi-field-tested) [nononono](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/nononono) $0.06 $0.05 0.80x 2026-11-11 16:28 UTC

[XM1014 | Irezumi (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-irezumi-field-tested) [nononono](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/nononono) $0.06 $0.05 0.80x 2026-11-11 16:28 UTC

[MAC-10 | Monkeyflage (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-monkeyflage-field-tested) [🆆🅾🅾🅳🆂🅰](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%F0%9F%86%86%F0%9F%85%BE%F0%9F%85%BE%F0%9F%85%B3%F0%9F%86%82%F0%9F%85%B0) $0.06 $0.06 1.00x 2026-11-11 16:08 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC | $0.06 | 58.48% | 35 |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $0.06 | 58.45% | 35 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $0.06 | 58.34% | 35 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $0.06 | 58.38% | 35 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $0.06 | 58.40% | 35 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $0.06 | 58.81% | 35 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $0.06 | 59.01% | 34 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $0.06 | 59.07% | 34 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $0.06 | 58.82% | 34 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $0.06 | 59.11% | 34 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $0.06 | 59.47% | 34 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $0.06 | 59.47% | 34 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $0.06 | 59.62% | 34 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $0.06 | 59.51% | 34 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $0.06 | 59.48% | 34 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $0.06 | 59.36% | 34 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $0.06 | 59.19% | 34 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $0.06 | 58.69% | 34 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $0.06 | 59.29% | 34 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $0.06 | 59.50% | 34 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $0.06 | 59.59% | 34 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $0.06 | 59.35% | 34 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $0.06 | 59.39% | 34 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $0.06 | 59.74% | 34 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $0.06 | 59.63% | 34 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $0.06 | 59.43% | 34 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $0.06 | 59.22% | 34 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $0.06 | 59.69% | 34 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $0.06 | 59.49% | 34 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $0.06 | 59.50% | 34 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed Legendary 0.0% restricted 0.0% #8847ff 0.0% classified 0.0% Rare 0.7% mil spec 0.1% violet 0.0% #4b69ff 5.8% milspec 5.8% #5e98d9 0.4% Uncommon 12.9% blue 1.9% industrial 40.8% consumer 15.8% #777777 15.8% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 58.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $58.48 on average: an expected loss of $41.52 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt