---
title: "Porsche GT3 RS case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Porsche GT3 RS ($269.00) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 73.76% from 15 items with odds, observed 78.09% over 114 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/gt3rs
rendered: 2026-11-11T18:17Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [Porsche GT3 RS](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/gt3rs)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · Porsche GT3 RS

A case on csgo.net (Ultra), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/gt3rs?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/gt3rs?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/gt3rs) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/gt3rs?window=all)

Price · $269.00

Advertised RTP · 73.76% · EV $198.40 from 15 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 78.09% · 114 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 32.2% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 92.1% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 9 openings · below min

7 days · 99 openings · below min

30 days · 78.09% ±8.42 114 openings

since tracking started · 78.09% ±8.42 114 openings

39.5% 70.0% 100.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/gt3rs?window=24h) | 9 | 69.97% ±29.8 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/gt3rs?window=7d) | 99 | 74.32% ±9.06 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/gt3rs) | 114 | 78.09% ±8.42 | +0.9σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/gt3rs?window=all) | 114 | 78.09% ±8.42 | +0.9σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 114 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Karambit \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 130 | $776 | 3.0% | 1 | 0.9 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 61 | $575 | 4.7% | 1 | 1.9 | 0.54× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 57 | $559 | 4.9% | 4 | 2.0 | 2.01× |
| [AK-47 \| X-Ray (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-field-tested) | 1 in 53 | $540 | 5.2% | 1 | 2.2 | 0.46× |
| [AWP \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 53 | $540 | 5.2% | 2 | 2.2 | 0.93× |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $251 | 9.4% | 15 | 8.5 | 1.77× |
| [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $240 | 9.4% | 2 | 8.9 | 0.23× |
| [AWP \| Oni Taiji (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $200 | 9.1% | 9 | 10.3 | 0.87× |
| [M4A4 \| Eye of Horus (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-eye-of-horus-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $194 | 9.0% | 14 | 10.5 | 1.33× |
| [SG 553 \| Bulldozer (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-bulldozer-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $192 | 9.0% | 7 | 10.6 | 0.66× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Golden Koi (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-golden-koi-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10 | $170 | 8.4% | 10 | 11.2 | 0.89× |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Tiger Strike (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-tiger-strike-field-tested) | 10.1% | $124 | 6.3% | 6 | 11.5 | 0.52× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Big Game (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-big-game-field-tested) | 1 in 10 | $115 | 5.7% | 13 | 11.3 | 1.15× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-case-hardened-well-worn) | 1 in 10 | $113 | 5.6% | 9 | 11.3 | 0.80× |
| [Galil AR \| Chatterbox (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chatterbox-well-worn) | 1 in 10 | $104 | 5.1% | 6 | 11.0 | 0.55× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Karambit | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-tiger-tooth-factory-new) [GET25](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/GET25) $269 $830 3.09x 2026-11-07 19:57 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) [240 km/h peek хасбулла](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/240%20km%2Fh%20peek%20%D1%85%D0%B0%D1%81%D0%B1%D1%83%D0%BB%D0%BB%D0%B0) $269 $581 2.16x 2026-11-10 14:44 UTC

[AWP | Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-factory-new) [Poromedic](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Poromedic) $269 $578 2.15x 2026-11-04 07:42 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) [➳𝘽𝙖𝙙.𝘽𝙤𝙮ツ](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%E2%9E%B3%F0%9D%98%BD%F0%9D%99%96%F0%9D%99%99.%F0%9D%98%BD%F0%9D%99%A4%F0%9D%99%AE%E3%83%84) $269 $573 2.13x 2026-11-03 22:25 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) [Poromedic](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Poromedic) $269 $572 2.13x 2026-11-04 07:36 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) [GET25](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/GET25) $269 $566 2.10x 2026-11-07 20:01 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) [Gandon](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Gandon) $269 $559 2.08x 2026-11-08 00:44 UTC

[AK-47 | X-Ray (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-field-tested) [dow](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/dow) $269 $538 2.00x 2026-11-10 17:12 UTC

[AWP | Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-factory-new) [GET25](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/GET25) $269 $530 1.97x 2026-11-07 20:02 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=gt3rs)

[SG 553 | Bulldozer (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-bulldozer-field-tested) [keDo](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/keDo) $269 $171 0.64x 2026-11-11 15:56 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Big Game (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-big-game-field-tested) [QCOLD13](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/QCOLD13) $269 $116 0.43x 2026-11-11 15:55 UTC

[M4A4 | Eye of Horus (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-eye-of-horus-field-tested) [keDo](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/keDo) $269 $194 0.72x 2026-11-11 15:52 UTC

[M4A4 | Eye of Horus (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-eye-of-horus-field-tested) [pOca](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/pOca) $269 $191 0.71x 2026-11-11 12:58 UTC

[M4A4 | Eye of Horus (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-eye-of-horus-field-tested) [MPC TURN OFF CAPS](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/MPC%20TURN%20OFF%20CAPS) $269 $191 0.71x 2026-11-11 02:54 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Golden Koi (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-golden-koi-minimal-wear) [MPC TURN OFF CAPS](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/MPC%20TURN%20OFF%20CAPS) $269 $171 0.64x 2026-11-11 02:53 UTC

[AK-47 | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-field-tested) [MPC TURN OFF CAPS](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/MPC%20TURN%20OFF%20CAPS) $269 $204 0.76x 2026-11-11 02:53 UTC

[★ Stiletto Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) [MPC TURN OFF CAPS](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/MPC%20TURN%20OFF%20CAPS) $269 $244 0.91x 2026-11-11 02:18 UTC

[AWP | Oni Taiji (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-field-tested) [QCOLD13](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/QCOLD13) $269 $211 0.78x 2026-11-10 21:52 UTC

[★ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-case-hardened-well-worn) [Corona](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Corona) $269 $109 0.40x 2026-11-10 18:31 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC | $269 | 73.76% | 15 |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $269 | 73.57% | 15 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $269 | 73.40% | 15 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $269 | 73.38% | 15 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $269 | 73.67% | 15 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $269 | 73.99% | 15 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $269 | 74.00% | 15 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $269 | 73.98% | 15 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $269 | 74.04% | 15 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $269 | 74.11% | 15 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $269 | 74.52% | 15 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $269 | 74.50% | 15 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $269 | 74.49% | 15 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $269 | 74.51% | 15 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $269 | 74.51% | 15 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $269 | 74.51% | 16 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $269 | 74.52% | 15 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $269 | 74.49% | 15 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $269 | 74.50% | 15 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $269 | 74.51% | 15 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $269 | 74.51% | 15 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $269 | 74.45% | 15 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $269 | 74.57% | 15 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $269 | 74.91% | 15 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $269 | 74.92% | 15 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $269 | 74.82% | 15 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $269 | 74.52% | 15 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $269 | 74.61% | 16 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $269 | 74.60% | 16 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $269 | 74.61% | 16 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 42.1% rare 1.7% classified 7.8% red 9.2% restricted 9.3% extraordinary 20.0% covert knife 9.9% best hit $830 (3.09x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 73.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $73.76 on average: an expected loss of $26.24 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt