---
title: "Haze mining case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Haze mining ($1.49) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 66.77% from 12 items with odds, observed 155.76% over 6,004 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/hazemining
rendered: 2026-11-11T19:56Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [Haze mining](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/hazemining)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · Haze mining

A case on csgo.net (Battle), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/hazemining?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/hazemining?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/hazemining) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/hazemining?window=all)

Price · $1.49

Advertised RTP · 66.77% · EV $0.99 from 12 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 155.76% · 6,004 openings, odds method

Variance · 64.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 214 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 99.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 497 openings · below min

7 days · 150.58% ±25.09 4,341 openings

30 days · 155.76% ±21.86 6,004 openings

since tracking started · 155.76% ±21.86 6,004 openings

26.5% 102.5% 178.5%

**Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 67.36% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (133.90% – 177.62%, 6,004 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/hazemining?window=24h) | 497 | 97.38% ±70.1 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/hazemining?window=7d) | 4,341 | 150.58% ±25.1 | +6.5σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/hazemining) | 6,004 | 155.76% ±21.9 | +7.9σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/hazemining?window=all) | 6,004 | 155.76% ±21.9 | +7.9σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6,010 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-battle-scarred) | 1 in 174,931 | $1,984 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Freehand (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-freehand-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25,608 | $548 | 2.1% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [AWP \| Lightning Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 16,354 | $464 | 2.8% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-field-tested) | 1 in 7,198 | $347 | 4.8% | 2 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Freehand (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-freehand-minimal-wear) | 1 in 900 | $171 | 19.1% | 0 | 6.7 | 0.00× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-ultraviolet-field-tested) | 1 in 302 | $119 | 39.5% | 41 | 19.9 | 2.06× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Grotto (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-grotto-minimal-wear) | 36.2% | $0.48 | 17.5% | 2,053 | 2173.9 | 0.94× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-black-sand-field-tested) | 19.0% | $0.25 | 4.8% | 221 | 1143.0 | 0.19× |
| [M249 \| O.S.I.P.R. (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-o-s-i-p-r-field-tested) | 18.5% | $0.24 | 4.6% | 894 | 1112.0 | 0.80× |
| [SSG 08 \| Azure Glyph (Field-Tested) weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-azure-glyph-field-tested) | 12.0% | $0.16 | 1.9% | 0 | 721.2 | 0.00× |
| [P90 \| Teardown (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-teardown-field-tested) | 10.3% | $0.14 | 1.4% | 562 | 621.8 | 0.90× |
| [MAG-7 \| Foresight (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-foresight-field-tested) | 1 in 29 | $0.05 | 0.2% | 110 | 210.0 | 0.52× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Butterfly Knife | Freehand (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-freehand-minimal-wear) [MorPHeuSs](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/MorPHeuSs) $1.49 $515 345.8x 2026-11-08 02:39 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-field-tested) [MorPHeuSs](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/MorPHeuSs) $1.49 $369 247.6x 2026-11-08 02:16 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-field-tested) [evil\_white](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/evil_white) $1.49 $353 236.6x 2026-11-10 09:01 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Freehand (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-freehand-field-tested) [Arekuseika](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Arekuseika) $1.49 $166 111.7x 2026-11-10 22:53 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Freehand (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-freehand-field-tested) [poizn](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/poizn) $1.49 $166 111.6x 2026-11-10 23:35 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Freehand (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-freehand-field-tested) [Jota](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Jota) $1.49 $163 109.2x 2026-11-08 02:10 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Freehand (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-freehand-field-tested) [Mashono4ka♿](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Mashono4ka%E2%99%BF) $1.49 $161 107.8x 2026-11-09 09:43 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Freehand (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-freehand-field-tested) [Thor Gordo](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Thor%20Gordo) $1.49 $159 106.5x 2026-11-09 20:56 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Freehand (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-freehand-field-tested) [ИВАН БУДКО](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%98%D0%92%D0%90%D0%9D%20%D0%91%D0%A3%D0%94%D0%9A%D0%9E) $1.49 $158 106.3x 2026-11-09 11:43 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Freehand (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-freehand-field-tested) [ИВАН БУДКО](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%98%D0%92%D0%90%D0%9D%20%D0%91%D0%A3%D0%94%D0%9A%D0%9E) $1.49 $158 106.3x 2026-11-09 11:41 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=hazemining)

[SCAR-20 | Grotto (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-grotto-minimal-wear) [Thor Gordo](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Thor%20Gordo) $1.49 $0.47 0.32x 2026-11-11 19:29 UTC

[P90 | Teardown (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-teardown-field-tested) [Thor Gordo](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Thor%20Gordo) $1.49 $0.11 0.07x 2026-11-11 19:29 UTC

[SCAR-20 | Grotto (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-grotto-minimal-wear) [Thor Gordo](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Thor%20Gordo) $1.49 $0.47 0.32x 2026-11-11 19:29 UTC

[MAG-7 | Foresight (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-foresight-field-tested) [Thor Gordo](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Thor%20Gordo) $1.49 $0.08 0.05x 2026-11-11 19:29 UTC

[SCAR-20 | Grotto (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-grotto-minimal-wear) [MorBat144](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/MorBat144) $1.49 $0.47 0.32x 2026-11-11 19:00 UTC

[SCAR-20 | Grotto (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-grotto-minimal-wear) [MorBat144](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/MorBat144) $1.49 $0.47 0.32x 2026-11-11 19:00 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-black-sand-field-tested) [MorBat144](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/MorBat144) $1.49 $0.20 0.14x 2026-11-11 19:00 UTC

[P90 | Teardown (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-teardown-field-tested) [MorBat144](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/MorBat144) $1.49 $0.11 0.07x 2026-11-11 19:00 UTC

[SCAR-20 | Grotto (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-grotto-minimal-wear) [aleksandrgrsh](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/aleksandrgrsh) $1.49 $0.47 0.32x 2026-11-11 19:00 UTC

[P90 | Teardown (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-teardown-field-tested) [MorBat144](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/MorBat144) $1.49 $0.11 0.07x 2026-11-11 19:00 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC | $1.49 | 66.77% | 12 |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $1.49 | 66.61% | 12 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $1.49 | 66.44% | 12 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $1.49 | 66.42% | 12 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $1.49 | 66.70% | 12 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $1.49 | 66.98% | 12 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $1.49 | 66.98% | 12 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $1.49 | 66.96% | 12 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $1.49 | 67.02% | 12 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $1.49 | 67.09% | 12 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $1.49 | 67.46% | 12 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $1.49 | 67.43% | 12 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $1.49 | 67.42% | 12 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $1.49 | 67.45% | 12 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $1.49 | 67.45% | 12 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $1.49 | 67.44% | 12 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $1.49 | 67.46% | 12 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $1.49 | 67.44% | 12 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $1.49 | 67.44% | 12 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $1.49 | 67.45% | 12 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $1.49 | 67.48% | 12 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $1.49 | 67.38% | 12 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $1.49 | 67.50% | 12 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $1.49 | 67.73% | 12 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $1.49 | 67.74% | 12 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $1.49 | 67.72% | 12 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $1.49 | 67.46% | 12 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $1.49 | 67.52% | 12 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $1.49 | 67.50% | 12 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $1.49 | 67.54% | 12 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed extraordinary 0.0% gold 0.0% covert 0.4% mil spec 55.2% blue 18.5% blueLight 12.0% Rare 10.3% #4b69ff 3.5% best hit $515 (345.8x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 66.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $66.77 on average: an expected loss of $33.23 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt