---
title: "Охотничий домик case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Охотничий домик ($13.99) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 74.07% from 29 items with odds, observed 79.50% over 152 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/hunterslodge
rendered: 2026-11-11T21:10Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [Охотничий домик](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/hunterslodge)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · Охотничий домик

A case on csgo.net (Battle), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/hunterslodge?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/hunterslodge?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/hunterslodge) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/hunterslodge?window=all)

Price · $13.99

Advertised RTP · 74.07% · EV $10.36 from 29 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 79.50% · 152 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 31.1% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 81.9% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

7 days · 81.85% ±13.25 127 openings

30 days · 79.50% ±11.93 152 openings

since tracking started · 79.50% ±11.93 152 openings

67.0% 81.5% 96.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/hunterslodge?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/hunterslodge?window=7d) | 127 | 81.85% ±13.3 | +1.0σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/hunterslodge) | 152 | 79.50% ±11.9 | +0.8σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/hunterslodge?window=all) | 152 | 79.50% ±11.9 | +0.8σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 29 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 158 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Karambit \| Stained (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-stained-minimal-wear) | 1 in 9,821 | $556 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Pillow Punchers (Field-Tested) gloves · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-pillow-punchers-field-tested) | 1 in 9,397 | $365 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-damascus-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 8,617 | $269 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Blackbook (Field-Tested) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-blackbook-field-tested) | 1 in 7,613 | $215 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 5,959 | $166 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Omega (Field-Tested) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-omega-field-tested) | 1 in 5,130 | $148 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Chatterbox (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chatterbox-well-worn) | 1 in 2,690 | $104 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AWP \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 2,137 | $94.01 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Royal Paladin (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-royal-paladin-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,369 | $78.32 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| B the Monster (Field-Tested) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-b-the-monster-field-tested) | 1 in 729 | $61.61 | 0.8% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-field-tested) | 1 in 551 | $55.53 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Fully Tuned (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fully-tuned-field-tested) | 1 in 413 | $49.97 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [AWP \| Queen's Gambit (Field-Tested) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-queens-gambit-field-tested) | 1 in 333 | $46.21 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [AK-47 \| The Oligarch (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-oligarch-field-tested) | 1 in 193 | $37.77 | 1.9% | 2 | 0.8 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Stalker (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-stalker-field-tested) | 1 in 131 | $32.73 | 2.4% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.83× |
| [USP-S \| Business Class (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-business-class-field-tested) | 1 in 62 | $24.42 | 3.8% | 0 | 2.5 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-atomic-alloy-field-tested) | 1 in 60 | $24.08 | 3.9% | 6 | 2.6 | 2.29× |
| [SSG 08 \| Bloodshot (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-bloodshot-field-tested) | 1 in 29 | $17.26 | 5.8% | 7 | 5.5 | 1.27× |
| [Tec-9 \| Decimator (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-decimator-field-tested) | 1 in 23 | $15.42 | 6.5% | 12 | 6.9 | 1.75× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| The Fuschia Is Now (Field-Tested) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-the-fuschia-is-now-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $14.88 | 6.7% | 10 | 7.3 | 1.37× |
| [AWP \| Fever Dream (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 16 | $12.20 | 7.5% | 6 | 10.1 | 0.60× |
| [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-field-tested) | 1 in 15 | $11.87 | 7.6% | 13 | 10.5 | 1.24× |
| [SSG 08 \| Detour (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-detour-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $11.50 | 7.7% | 7 | 10.9 | 0.64× |
| [P250 \| Cartel (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cartel-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $9.71 | 7.9% | 14 | 13.3 | 1.05× |
| [AWP \| Ice Coaled (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-ice-coaled-field-tested) | 10.5% | $6.97 | 7.0% | 14 | 16.5 | 0.85× |
| [M4A1-S \| Nightmare (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nightmare-well-worn) | 10.7% | $6.37 | 6.6% | 1 | 16.9 | 0.06× |
| [MP9 \| Latte Rush (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-latte-rush-well-worn) | 10.8% | $5.99 | 6.2% | 14 | 17.1 | 0.82× |
| [MP7 \| Smoking Kills (Field-Tested) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-smoking-kills-field-tested) | 10.8% | $5.37 | 5.6% | 23 | 17.1 | 1.35× |
| [FAMAS \| Eye of Athena (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-eye-of-athena-field-tested) | 10.8% | $5.13 | 5.3% | 2 | 17.0 | 0.12× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=hunterslodge)

[MP7 | Smoking Kills (Field-Tested) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-smoking-kills-field-tested) [clown numb the pain](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/clown%20numb%20the%20pain) $13.99 $5.51 0.39x 2026-11-10 16:54 UTC

[M4A1-S | Atomic Alloy (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-atomic-alloy-field-tested) [clown numb the pain](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/clown%20numb%20the%20pain) $13.99 $24.02 1.72x 2026-11-10 16:54 UTC

[SSG 08 | Detour (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-detour-field-tested) [zaken1](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/zaken1) $13.99 $11.84 0.85x 2026-11-10 11:52 UTC

[P250 | Cartel (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cartel-field-tested) [zaken1](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/zaken1) $13.99 $9.70 0.69x 2026-11-10 11:52 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | The Fuschia Is Now (Field-Tested) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-the-fuschia-is-now-field-tested) [zaken1](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/zaken1) $13.99 $14.88 1.06x 2026-11-10 11:52 UTC

[AWP | Fever Dream (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-minimal-wear) [zaken1](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/zaken1) $13.99 $12.54 0.90x 2026-11-10 08:19 UTC

[MP7 | Smoking Kills (Field-Tested) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-smoking-kills-field-tested) [zaken1](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/zaken1) $13.99 $5.80 0.41x 2026-11-10 08:19 UTC

[M4A1-S | Atomic Alloy (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-atomic-alloy-field-tested) [zaken1](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/zaken1) $13.99 $24.03 1.72x 2026-11-10 08:19 UTC

[M4A1-S | Nightmare (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nightmare-field-tested) [2JZ-GTE BIG TURBINA))))](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/2JZ-GTE%20BIG%20TURBINA%29%29%29%29) $13.99 $8.26 0.59x 2026-11-08 23:51 UTC

[AWP | Ice Coaled (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-ice-coaled-field-tested) [2JZ-GTE BIG TURBINA))))](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/2JZ-GTE%20BIG%20TURBINA%29%29%29%29) $13.99 $6.56 0.47x 2026-11-08 23:51 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC | $13.99 | 74.07% | 29 |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $13.99 | 73.89% | 29 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $13.99 | 73.70% | 29 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $13.99 | 73.70% | 29 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $13.99 | 73.98% | 29 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $13.99 | 74.29% | 29 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $13.99 | 74.30% | 29 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $13.99 | 74.28% | 29 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $13.99 | 74.36% | 28 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $13.99 | 74.42% | 28 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $13.99 | 74.83% | 28 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $13.99 | 74.81% | 28 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $13.99 | 74.79% | 28 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $13.99 | 74.82% | 29 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $13.99 | 74.82% | 28 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $13.99 | 74.82% | 28 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $13.99 | 74.84% | 27 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $13.99 | 74.81% | 28 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $13.99 | 74.82% | 28 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $13.99 | 74.83% | 27 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $13.99 | 74.83% | 27 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $13.99 | 74.75% | 28 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $13.99 | 74.87% | 28 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $13.99 | 75.21% | 28 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $13.99 | 75.22% | 28 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $13.99 | 75.13% | 28 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $13.99 | 74.82% | 27 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $13.99 | 74.93% | 29 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $13.99 | 74.91% | 27 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $13.99 | 74.92% | 28 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 1.1% Immortal 0.0% rare 0.5% epic 0.0% red 0.8% mil spec 8.5% classified 41.7% Classified 4.6% pink 21.2% uncommon 21.6% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 74.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $74.07 on average: an expected loss of $25.93 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt