---
title: "Huntsman Weapon Case case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Huntsman Weapon Case ($4.09) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 75.80% from 20 items with odds, observed 89.26% over 195 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/huntsman
rendered: 2026-11-11T18:19Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [Huntsman Weapon Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/huntsman)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · Huntsman Weapon Case

A case on csgo.net (Standard), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/huntsman?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/huntsman?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/huntsman) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/huntsman?window=all)

Price · $4.09

Advertised RTP · 75.80% · EV $3.10 from 20 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 89.26% · 195 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.1× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 38.4% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 61.6% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 8 openings · below min

7 days · 89.83% ±14.58 186 openings

30 days · 89.26% ±14.26 195 openings

since tracking started · 89.26% ±14.26 195 openings

-0.5% 65.8% 132.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/huntsman?window=24h) | 8 | 62.22% ±69.2 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/huntsman?window=7d) | 186 | 89.83% ±14.6 | +1.8σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/huntsman) | 195 | 89.26% ±14.3 | +1.8σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/huntsman?window=all) | 195 | 89.26% ±14.3 | +1.8σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 20 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 195 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 9,671 | $192 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-field-tested) | 1 in 9,406 | $156 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 9,342 | $151 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 8,129 | $102 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Night (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-night-field-tested) | 1 in 6,125 | $72.43 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-safari-mesh-field-tested) | 1 in 4,564 | $58.61 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Scorched (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-scorched-field-tested) | 1 in 4,510 | $58.18 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Urban Masked (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-urban-masked-field-tested) | 1 in 4,407 | $57.37 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Desert-Strike (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desert-strike-field-tested) | 1 in 814 | $27.46 | 1.1% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-atomic-alloy-field-tested) | 1 in 570 | $24.08 | 1.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [USP-S \| Caiman (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-caiman-field-tested) | 1 in 491 | $22.82 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [SCAR-20 \| Cyrex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-cyrex-field-tested) | 1 in 426 | $21.68 | 1.6% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Tatter (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-tatter-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $6.61 | 10.6% | 32 | 9.7 | 3.30× |
| [XM1014 \| Heaven Guard (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-heaven-guard-field-tested) | 10.6% | $4.25 | 14.6% | 27 | 20.7 | 1.30× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Antique (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-antique-field-tested) | 10.9% | $4.16 | 14.7% | 28 | 21.3 | 1.31× |
| [AUG \| Torque (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-torque-field-tested) | 11.0% | $4.12 | 14.7% | 26 | 21.5 | 1.21× |
| [Tec-9 \| Isaac (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-isaac-well-worn) | 16.4% | $2.42 | 12.8% | 18 | 32.0 | 0.56× |
| [SSG 08 \| Slashed (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-slashed-field-tested) | 16.7% | $2.02 | 10.9% | 19 | 32.5 | 0.58× |
| [Galil AR \| Kami (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-kami-field-tested) | 16.0% | $1.62 | 8.3% | 26 | 31.1 | 0.83× |
| [P90 \| Module (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-module-minimal-wear) | 12.5% | $1.03 | 4.2% | 10 | 24.4 | 0.41× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=huntsman)

[Tec-9 | Isaac (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-isaac-field-tested) [HypE](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/HypE) $4.09 $2.42 0.59x 2026-11-11 13:58 UTC

[XM1014 | Heaven Guard (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-heaven-guard-field-tested) [HypE](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/HypE) $4.09 $4.30 1.05x 2026-11-11 13:57 UTC

[Tec-9 | Isaac (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-isaac-field-tested) [mulashka228](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/mulashka228) $4.09 $2.42 0.59x 2026-11-11 13:03 UTC

[XM1014 | Heaven Guard (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-heaven-guard-field-tested) [Rico](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Rico) $4.09 $4.33 1.06x 2026-11-11 12:41 UTC

[Tec-9 | Isaac (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-isaac-field-tested) [Rico](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Rico) $4.09 $2.42 0.59x 2026-11-11 12:41 UTC

[SSG 08 | Slashed (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-slashed-field-tested) [Rico](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Rico) $4.09 $1.95 0.48x 2026-11-11 12:41 UTC

[P90 | Module (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-module-minimal-wear) [SEvER](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/SEvER) $4.09 $1.05 0.26x 2026-11-11 10:09 UTC

[Galil AR | Kami (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-kami-field-tested) [shelp1k](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/shelp1k) $4.09 $1.47 0.36x 2026-11-10 21:32 UTC

[Tec-9 | Isaac (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-isaac-well-worn) [Boxi](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Boxi) $4.09 $2.44 0.60x 2026-11-10 18:46 UTC

[PP-Bizon | Antique (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-antique-field-tested) [Boxi](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Boxi) $4.09 $4.22 1.03x 2026-11-10 18:45 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC | $4.09 | 75.80% | 20 |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $4.09 | 75.60% | 20 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $4.09 | 75.46% | 20 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $4.09 | 75.42% | 20 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $4.09 | 75.71% | 20 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $4.09 | 76.06% | 20 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $4.09 | 76.05% | 20 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $4.09 | 76.03% | 20 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $4.09 | 76.17% | 20 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $4.09 | 76.14% | 20 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $4.09 | 76.55% | 20 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $4.09 | 76.51% | 20 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $4.09 | 76.51% | 20 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $4.09 | 76.57% | 20 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $4.09 | 76.56% | 20 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $4.09 | 76.56% | 20 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $4.09 | 76.62% | 20 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $4.09 | 76.56% | 19 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $4.09 | 76.60% | 20 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $4.09 | 76.57% | 20 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $4.09 | 76.60% | 20 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $4.09 | 76.52% | 20 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $4.09 | 76.61% | 20 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $4.09 | 77.01% | 20 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $4.09 | 77.03% | 20 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $4.09 | 76.94% | 19 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $4.09 | 76.61% | 19 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $4.09 | 76.69% | 19 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $4.09 | 76.64% | 19 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $4.09 | 76.68% | 20 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.1% #ffd700 0.0% covert knife 0.0% Ancient 0.1% classified 0.6% restricted 26.5% #8847ff 11.0% #4b69ff 16.4% mil spec 45.2% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 75.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $75.80 on average: an expected loss of $24.20 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt