---
title: "Igrogame case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Igrogame ($33.99) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 76.06% from 43 items with odds, observed 76.12% over 1,088 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/igrogame
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:52Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [Igrogame](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/igrogame)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · Igrogame

A case on csgo.net (Blogger), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/igrogame?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/igrogame?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/igrogame) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/igrogame?window=all)

Price · $33.99

Advertised RTP · 76.06% · EV $25.85 from 43 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 76.12% · 1,088 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.3× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 31.5% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 80.7% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 70.63% ±9.69 132 openings

7 days · 76.19% ±3.48 1,002 openings

30 days · 76.12% ±3.34 1,088 openings

since tracking started · 76.12% ±3.34 1,088 openings

60.5% 70.8% 81.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/igrogame?window=24h) | 132 | 70.63% ±9.69 | −1.1σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/igrogame?window=7d) | 1,002 | 76.19% ±3.48 | −0.4σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/igrogame) | 1,088 | 76.12% ±3.34 | −0.5σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/igrogame?window=all) | 1,088 | 76.12% ±3.34 | −0.5σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 43 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,089 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Kimono (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-battle-scarred) | 1 in 144,948 | $1,159 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) | 1 in 143,939 | $1,149 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Welcome to the Jungle (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-field-tested) | 1 in 76,561 | $716 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 53,087 | $597 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 47,567 | $569 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| X-Ray (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-field-tested) | 1 in 38,083 | $518 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Arid (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-arid-well-worn) | 1 in 28,437 | $460 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 6,117 | $264 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Buzz Kill (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-buzz-kill-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,808 | $243 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Hot Snakes (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-hot-snakes-field-tested) | 1 in 4,050 | $229 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Dragonfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,046 | $208 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [AWP \| Oni Taiji (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-field-tested) | 1 in 2,701 | $199 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Death Strike (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-death-strike-field-tested) | 1 in 2,363 | $190 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [SG 553 \| Bulldozer (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-bulldozer-field-tested) | 1 in 2,080 | $182 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 1,471 | $162 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Fennec Fox (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-fennec-fox-field-tested) | 1 in 1,428 | $160 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-field-tested) | 1 in 621 | $120 | 0.7% | 1 | 1.8 | 0.57× |
| [M4A4 \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 485 | $110 | 0.9% | 2 | 2.2 | 0.89× |
| [M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-field-tested) | 1 in 464 | $108 | 0.9% | 1 | 2.3 | 0.43× |
| [AWP \| BOOM (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-boom-minimal-wear) | 1 in 313 | $93.93 | 1.2% | 1 | 3.5 | 0.29× |
| [AWP \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 312 | $93.88 | 1.2% | 1 | 3.5 | 0.29× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 173 | $75.64 | 1.7% | 5 | 6.3 | 0.79× |
| [M4A4 \| Hellfire (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-well-worn) | 1 in 153 | $72.26 | 1.8% | 6 | 7.1 | 0.84× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-field-tested) | 1 in 109 | $63.34 | 2.3% | 9 | 10.0 | 0.90× |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-minimal-wear) | 1 in 83 | $56.89 | 2.6% | 1 | 13.1 | 0.08× |
| [Glock-18 \| Bullet Queen (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bullet-queen-field-tested) | 1 in 70 | $53.04 | 2.9% | 16 | 15.5 | 1.03× |
| [USP-S \| Orion (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-orion-minimal-wear) | 1 in 48 | $44.84 | 3.6% | 30 | 22.8 | 1.31× |
| [★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Needle Point (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-needle-point-field-tested) | 1 in 43 | $42.63 | 3.9% | 33 | 25.5 | 1.30× |
| [P90 \| Cold Blooded (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-cold-blooded-factory-new) | 1 in 38 | $40.17 | 4.1% | 23 | 28.8 | 0.80× |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 36 | $39.17 | 4.2% | 39 | 30.3 | 1.29× |
| [P250 \| Apep's Curse (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-apeps-curse-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $37.63 | 4.4% | 26 | 32.8 | 0.79× |
| [USP-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 27 | $33.46 | 4.9% | 41 | 40.8 | 1.00× |
| [MAC-10 \| Stalker (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-stalker-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $32.71 | 4.9% | 38 | 42.5 | 0.90× |
| [FAMAS \| Commemoration (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $29.56 | 5.3% | 37 | 50.1 | 0.74× |
| [FAMAS \| Meltdown (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-meltdown-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $24.40 | 5.6% | 60 | 64.9 | 0.93× |
| [M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-atomic-alloy-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $24.07 | 5.6% | 71 | 65.9 | 1.08× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Conspiracy (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-conspiracy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14 | $19.36 | 5.5% | 99 | 80.5 | 1.23× |
| [M4A4 \| Cyber Security (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-cyber-security-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $17.53 | 5.3% | 93 | 85.5 | 1.09× |
| [AWP \| Sun in Leo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-sun-in-leo-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $16.60 | 5.2% | 0 | 87.6 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $16.58 | 5.2% | 93 | 87.7 | 1.06× |
| [AK-47 \| Cartel (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-cartel-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $15.01 | 4.8% | 105 | 90.5 | 1.16× |
| [AK-47 \| Aphrodite (Field-Tested) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aphrodite-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $13.69 | 4.5% | 107 | 91.8 | 1.17× |
| [AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $11.95 | 3.9% | 99 | 91.6 | 1.08× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=igrogame)

[P90 | Cold Blooded (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-cold-blooded-factory-new) [NonLyY](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/NonLyY) $33.99 $40.04 1.18x 2026-11-11 13:47 UTC

[AK-47 | Aphrodite (Field-Tested) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aphrodite-field-tested) [★Morya★](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%E2%98%85Morya%E2%98%85) $33.99 $13.59 0.40x 2026-11-11 13:34 UTC

[MAC-10 | Stalker (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-stalker-field-tested) [i sniff my farts](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/i%20sniff%20my%20farts) $33.99 $32.78 0.96x 2026-11-11 12:59 UTC

[AK-47 | Point Disarray (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-field-tested) [🩶L,E,K,A🩶](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%F0%9F%A9%B6L%2CE%2CK%2CA%F0%9F%A9%B6) $33.99 $11.85 0.35x 2026-11-11 12:11 UTC

[AK-47 | Aphrodite (Field-Tested) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aphrodite-field-tested) [🩶L,E,K,A🩶](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%F0%9F%A9%B6L%2CE%2CK%2CA%F0%9F%A9%B6) $33.99 $13.59 0.40x 2026-11-11 12:10 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-conspiracy-minimal-wear) [frizy1235](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/frizy1235) $33.99 $19.78 0.58x 2026-11-11 11:51 UTC

[M4A4 | Cyber Security (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-cyber-security-field-tested) [🩶L,E,K,A🩶](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%F0%9F%A9%B6L%2CE%2CK%2CA%F0%9F%A9%B6) $33.99 $17.32 0.51x 2026-11-11 11:29 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-field-tested) [Rad1k](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Rad1k) $33.99 $16.58 0.49x 2026-11-11 11:29 UTC

[AK-47 | Aphrodite (Field-Tested) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aphrodite-field-tested) [Rad1k](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Rad1k) $33.99 $13.79 0.41x 2026-11-11 11:27 UTC

[AWP | Wildfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-minimal-wear) [Лаурка](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%9B%D0%B0%D1%83%D1%80%D0%BA%D0%B0) $33.99 $55.84 1.64x 2026-11-11 11:26 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $33.99 | 76.06% | 43 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $33.99 | 75.89% | 43 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $33.99 | 75.87% | 43 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $33.99 | 76.16% | 43 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $33.99 | 76.49% | 43 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $33.99 | 76.50% | 43 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $33.99 | 76.48% | 43 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $33.99 | 76.55% | 43 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $33.99 | 76.62% | 43 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $33.99 | 77.05% | 42 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $33.99 | 77.02% | 42 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $33.99 | 77.01% | 43 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $33.99 | 77.04% | 43 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $33.99 | 77.03% | 43 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $33.99 | 77.04% | 42 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $33.99 | 77.05% | 43 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $33.99 | 77.02% | 43 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $33.99 | 77.03% | 43 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $33.99 | 77.03% | 43 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $33.99 | 77.04% | 43 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $33.99 | 76.97% | 43 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $33.99 | 77.09% | 43 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $33.99 | 77.44% | 43 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $33.99 | 77.45% | 43 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $33.99 | 77.36% | 43 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $33.99 | 77.05% | 43 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $33.99 | 77.14% | 43 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $33.99 | 77.13% | 43 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $33.99 | 77.14% | 43 |
| 4 Nov, 14:19 UTC | $33.99 | 77.11% | 43 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed extraordinary 2.3% classified 57.8% covert 20.2% restricted 0.0% pink 3.1% industrial 8.0% #eb4b4b 8.4% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 76.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $76.06 on average: an expected loss of $23.94 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt