---
title: "CS2 Inferno case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "CS2 Inferno ($4.09) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 75.84% from 42 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/infernocs2
rendered: 2026-11-11T18:12Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [CS2 Inferno](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/infernocs2)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · CS2 Inferno

A case on csgo.net, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/infernocs2?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/infernocs2?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/infernocs2) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/infernocs2?window=all)

Price · $4.09

Advertised RTP · 75.84% · EV $3.10 from 42 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 0.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 26.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 81.6% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/infernocs2?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/infernocs2?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/infernocs2) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/infernocs2?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 42 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Desert Eagle \| Golden Koi (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-golden-koi-minimal-wear) | 1 in 143,101 | $170 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Panthera onca (Well-Worn) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-panthera-onca-well-worn) | 1 in 104,605 | $129 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| CAUTION! (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-caution-field-tested) | 1 in 79,884 | $109 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 77,418 | $107 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P2000 \| Ocean Foam (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-ocean-foam-factory-new) | 1 in 57,055 | $92.02 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P90 \| Emerald Dragon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-emerald-dragon-field-tested) | 1 in 52,606 | $88.65 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 41,392 | $79.85 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Wasteland Rebel (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wasteland-rebel-field-tested) | 1 in 37,987 | $77.05 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Chameleon (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-chameleon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 37,793 | $76.88 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Hellfire (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-well-worn) | 1 in 32,635 | $72.45 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Cobalt Disruption (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-minimal-wear) | 1 in 27,625 | $67.85 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| The Emperor (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-emperor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 18,646 | $58.50 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-minimal-wear) | 1 in 16,474 | $55.90 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Player Two (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13,420 | $51.91 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Sugar Rush (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sugar-rush-field-tested) | 1 in 8,512 | $44.19 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Black Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-black-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 3,873 | $33.66 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Chromatic Aberration (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chromatic-aberration-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,326 | $31.94 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 3,321 | $31.93 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Inheritance (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-inheritance-field-tested) | 1 in 3,013 | $30.88 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Guardian (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-guardian-field-tested) | 1 in 1,307 | $23.22 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Caiman (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-caiman-field-tested) | 1 in 1,242 | $22.82 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fairy Tale (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fairy-tale-field-tested) | 1 in 781 | $19.46 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Night Heist (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-night-heist-minimal-wear) | 1 in 777 | $19.43 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Reactor (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-reactor-field-tested) | 1 in 235 | $12.82 | 1.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Fever Dream (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 204 | $12.20 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| 龍王 (Dragon King) (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dragon-king-field-tested) | 1 in 196 | $12.02 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-field-tested) | 1 in 194 | $11.98 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP9 \| Hypnotic (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hypnotic-factory-new) | 1 in 179 | $11.64 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [G3SG1 \| The Executioner (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-the-executioner-field-tested) | 1 in 132 | $10.43 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP7 \| Nemesis (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-nemesis-minimal-wear) | 1 in 108 | $9.69 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP7 \| Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 38 | $6.45 | 5.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP9 \| Hydra (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hydra-field-tested) | 1 in 34 | $6.15 | 5.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [XM1014 \| Incinegator (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-incinegator-field-tested) | 1 in 27 | $5.59 | 6.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Spider Lily (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-spider-lily-well-worn) | 1 in 23 | $5.18 | 7.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Slate (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $3.85 | 9.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Cortex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $3.53 | 10.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| Visions (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-visions-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $3.39 | 10.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Griffin (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-griffin-field-tested) | 11.5% | $2.88 | 10.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Random Access (Well-Worn) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-random-access-well-worn) | 15.6% | $1.32 | 6.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Pit Viper (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pit-viper-minimal-wear) | 15.1% | $1.18 | 5.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Nitro (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nitro-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $0.40 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP7 \| Just Smile (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-just-smile-field-tested) | 1 in 15 | $0.39 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=infernocs2)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC | $4.09 | 75.84% | 42 |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $4.09 | 75.63% | 42 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $4.09 | 75.48% | 42 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $4.09 | 75.44% | 42 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $4.09 | 75.73% | 42 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $4.09 | 76.07% | 42 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $4.09 | 76.10% | 42 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $4.09 | 76.04% | 42 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $4.09 | 76.13% | 42 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $4.09 | 76.15% | 42 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $4.09 | 76.62% | 42 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $4.09 | 76.55% | 42 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $4.09 | 76.58% | 42 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $4.09 | 76.58% | 42 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $4.09 | 76.58% | 42 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $4.09 | 76.58% | 42 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $4.09 | 76.59% | 42 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $4.09 | 76.58% | 42 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $4.09 | 76.54% | 42 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $4.09 | 76.61% | 42 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $4.09 | 76.62% | 42 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $4.09 | 76.52% | 42 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $4.09 | 76.64% | 42 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $4.09 | 76.98% | 42 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $4.09 | 77.02% | 42 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $4.09 | 76.87% | 42 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $4.09 | 76.60% | 42 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $4.09 | 76.69% | 42 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $4.09 | 76.70% | 42 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $4.09 | 76.72% | 42 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.1% #d32ee6 0.0% extraordinary 0.0% classified 15.8% red 0.0% mil spec 0.6% Legendary 0.1% restricted 41.1% pink 12.3% Mythical 14.4% Restricted 15.6%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 75.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $75.84 on average: an expected loss of $24.16 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt