---
title: "IX Gaming case case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "IX Gaming case ($16.99) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 76.85% from 38 items with odds, observed 79.18% over 972 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/ixgamingcase
rendered: 2026-11-11T15:55Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [IX Gaming case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/ixgamingcase)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · IX Gaming case

A case on csgo.net (Blogger), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/ixgamingcase?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/ixgamingcase?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/ixgamingcase) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/ixgamingcase?window=all)

Price · $16.99

Advertised RTP · 76.85% · EV $13.06 from 38 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 79.18% · 972 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.4× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 37.8% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 85.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 73 openings · below min

7 days · 77.04% ±5.17 654 openings

30 days · 79.18% ±4.37 972 openings

since tracking started · 79.18% ±4.37 972 openings

50.0% 67.0% 84.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/ixgamingcase?window=24h) | 73 | 65.71% ±14.9 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/ixgamingcase?window=7d) | 654 | 77.04% ±5.17 | −0.2σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/ixgamingcase) | 972 | 79.18% ±4.37 | +0.7σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/ixgamingcase?window=all) | 972 | 79.18% ±4.37 | +0.7σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 38 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 972 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Bayonet \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 33,336 | $265 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Buzz Kill (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-buzz-kill-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26,846 | $243 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 26,375 | $241 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Foundation (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-foundation-well-worn) | 1 in 24,049 | $233 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Golden Koi (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-golden-koi-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,109 | $170 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [P90 \| Asiimov (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-asiimov-minimal-wear) | 1 in 9,350 | $165 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 8,442 | $160 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 7,170 | $151 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-case-hardened-well-worn) | 1 in 5,820 | $140 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-field-tested) | 1 in 3,707 | $120 | 0.2% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,417 | $117 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [AWP \| Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-man-o-war-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,356 | $116 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Neon Rider (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-neon-rider-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,160 | $114 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 3,005 | $112 | 0.3% | 2 | 0.3 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-field-tested) | 1 in 2,743 | $108 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-field-tested) | 1 in 2,489 | $105 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [AWP \| BOOM (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-boom-field-tested) | 1 in 1,360 | $85.34 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Royal Paladin (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-royal-paladin-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,057 | $78.32 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 816 | $71.67 | 0.7% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.84× |
| [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 785 | $70.73 | 0.7% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.61× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 522 | $61.49 | 0.9% | 0 | 1.9 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-field-tested) | 1 in 496 | $60.44 | 0.9% | 7 | 2.0 | 3.58× |
| [AK-47 \| Nightwish (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-minimal-wear) | 1 in 486 | $60.01 | 0.9% | 2 | 2.0 | 1.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Player Two (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-minimal-wear) | 1 in 320 | $51.91 | 1.2% | 1 | 3.0 | 0.33× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-field-tested) | 1 in 152 | $39.91 | 2.0% | 3 | 6.4 | 0.47× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 144 | $39.13 | 2.1% | 6 | 6.8 | 0.89× |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Desert Shamagh (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-desert-shamagh-field-tested) | 1 in 119 | $36.56 | 2.4% | 3 | 8.2 | 0.37× |
| [MAC-10 \| Stalker (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-stalker-field-tested) | 1 in 88 | $32.73 | 2.9% | 9 | 11.1 | 0.81× |
| [FAMAS \| Commemoration (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-field-tested) | 1 in 71 | $30.24 | 3.3% | 15 | 13.7 | 1.09× |
| [M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-atomic-alloy-field-tested) | 1 in 39 | $24.08 | 4.7% | 17 | 24.7 | 0.69× |
| [Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-snack-attack-well-worn) | 1 in 18 | $17.14 | 7.3% | 15 | 54.2 | 0.28× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $16.59 | 7.6% | 43 | 58.0 | 0.74× |
| [SSG 08 \| Turbo Peek (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-turbo-peek-field-tested) | 1 in 16 | $16.15 | 7.8% | 47 | 61.2 | 0.77× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Monkey Business (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-monkey-business-field-tested) | 11.1% | $11.73 | 10.0% | 102 | 107.7 | 0.95× |
| [AUG \| Syd Mead (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-syd-mead-minimal-wear) | 12.1% | $11.02 | 10.2% | 101 | 117.7 | 0.86× |
| [P90 \| Shapewood (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-shapewood-field-tested) | 14.8% | $9.30 | 10.6% | 145 | 144.2 | 1.01× |
| [SSG 08 \| Big Iron (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-big-iron-field-tested) | 16.2% | $8.44 | 10.5% | 160 | 157.9 | 1.01× |
| [MP7 \| Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-abyssal-apparition-minimal-wear) | 19.0% | $6.45 | 9.4% | 132 | 184.3 | 0.72× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=ixgamingcase)

[AUG | Syd Mead (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-syd-mead-minimal-wear) [datss](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/datss) $16.99 $11.03 0.65x 2026-11-11 15:41 UTC

[Glock-18 | Snack Attack (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-snack-attack-well-worn) [31 rus](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/31%20rus) $16.99 $17.07 1.00x 2026-11-11 15:19 UTC

[P90 | Shapewood (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-shapewood-field-tested) [HyKAC](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/HyKAC) $16.99 $9.30 0.55x 2026-11-11 14:59 UTC

[AUG | Syd Mead (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-syd-mead-minimal-wear) [HyKAC](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/HyKAC) $16.99 $11.02 0.65x 2026-11-11 14:38 UTC

[P90 | Shapewood (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-shapewood-minimal-wear) [HyKAC](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/HyKAC) $16.99 $9.30 0.55x 2026-11-11 14:34 UTC

[MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-abyssal-apparition-minimal-wear) [HyKAC](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/HyKAC) $16.99 $6.45 0.38x 2026-11-11 14:21 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-field-tested) [WHO&SOS](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/WHO%26SOS) $16.99 $16.59 0.98x 2026-11-11 14:21 UTC

[MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-abyssal-apparition-minimal-wear) [WHO&SOS](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/WHO%26SOS) $16.99 $6.45 0.38x 2026-11-11 14:21 UTC

[FAMAS | Commemoration (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-field-tested) [Iwe](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Iwe) $16.99 $30.24 1.78x 2026-11-11 14:05 UTC

[MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-abyssal-apparition-minimal-wear) [Iwe](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Iwe) $16.99 $6.45 0.38x 2026-11-11 14:05 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC | $16.99 | 76.85% | 38 |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $16.99 | 76.65% | 38 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $16.99 | 76.49% | 38 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $16.99 | 76.47% | 38 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $16.99 | 76.78% | 38 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $16.99 | 77.11% | 38 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $16.99 | 77.10% | 38 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $16.99 | 77.09% | 39 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $16.99 | 77.15% | 38 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $16.99 | 77.23% | 38 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $16.99 | 77.65% | 38 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $16.99 | 77.62% | 38 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $16.99 | 77.61% | 38 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $16.99 | 77.65% | 38 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $16.99 | 77.64% | 37 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $16.99 | 77.64% | 38 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $16.99 | 77.66% | 38 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $16.99 | 77.63% | 38 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $16.99 | 77.63% | 38 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $16.99 | 77.65% | 38 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $16.99 | 77.64% | 38 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $16.99 | 77.57% | 37 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $16.99 | 77.70% | 38 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $16.99 | 78.05% | 37 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $16.99 | 78.07% | 37 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $16.99 | 77.97% | 37 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $16.99 | 77.65% | 38 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $16.99 | 77.75% | 38 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $16.99 | 77.74% | 38 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $16.99 | 77.75% | 38 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 4.9% extraordinary 0.8% #ffd700 0.0% covert knife 0.0% red 0.2% classified 53.5% gold 0.1% Covert 0.1% pink 5.6% #d32ee6 22.5% Legendary 12.1% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 76.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $76.85 on average: an expected loss of $23.15 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt