---
title: "japaskins case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "japaskins ($0.10) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 66.07% from 6 items with odds, observed 11606.67% over 543 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/japaskins
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:56Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [japaskins](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/japaskins)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · japaskins

A case on csgo.net (Blogger), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/japaskins?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/japaskins?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/japaskins) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/japaskins?window=all)

Price · $0.10

Advertised RTP · 66.07% · EV $0.07 from 6 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 11606.67% · 543 openings, odds method

Variance · 85.9× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 185 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 99.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 70 openings · below min

7 days · 474 openings · below min

30 days · 543 openings · below min

since tracking started · 543 openings · below min

65.5% 5877.0% 11688.5%

**Small sample.** 543 openings and 2.7 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/japaskins?window=24h) | 70 | 11015.57% ±217.9 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/japaskins?window=7d) | 474 | 11255.84% ±86.3 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/japaskins) | 543 | 11606.67% ±81.3 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/japaskins?window=all) | 543 | 11606.67% ±81.3 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 543 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-field-tested) | 1 in 7,611 | $38.24 | 7.6% | 20 | 0.1 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Stalker (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-stalker-field-tested) | 1 in 6,661 | $32.71 | 7.4% | 9 | 0.1 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Conspiracy (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-conspiracy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,926 | $19.36 | 10.0% | 40 | 0.2 | — |
| [Charm \| Lil' Ferno charm · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-ferno) | 1 in 1,179 | $13.28 | 17.1% | 104 | 0.5 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Ramese's Reach (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-rameses-reach-field-tested) | 1 in 254 | $7.69 | 45.9% | 359 | 2.1 | 167.81× |
| [AUG \| Commando Company (Minimal Wear) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-commando-company-minimal-wear) | 99.5% | \<$0.01 | 12.0% | 0 | 540.1 | 0.00× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[Desert Eagle | Code Red (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-field-tested) [CtaRbIй](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/CtaRbI%D0%B9) $0.10 $40.35 403.5x 2026-11-08 05:02 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Code Red (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-field-tested) [🅻🅸🅶🅷🆃🅰🅻🅸](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%F0%9F%85%BB%F0%9F%85%B8%F0%9F%85%B6%F0%9F%85%B7%F0%9F%86%83%F0%9F%85%B0%F0%9F%85%BB%F0%9F%85%B8) $0.10 $39.73 397.3x 2026-11-10 23:17 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Code Red (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-field-tested) [🅻🅸🅶🅷🆃🅰🅻🅸](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%F0%9F%85%BB%F0%9F%85%B8%F0%9F%85%B6%F0%9F%85%B7%F0%9F%86%83%F0%9F%85%B0%F0%9F%85%BB%F0%9F%85%B8) $0.10 $39.73 397.3x 2026-11-10 23:07 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Code Red (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-field-tested) [🅻🅸🅶🅷🆃🅰🅻🅸](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%F0%9F%85%BB%F0%9F%85%B8%F0%9F%85%B6%F0%9F%85%B7%F0%9F%86%83%F0%9F%85%B0%F0%9F%85%BB%F0%9F%85%B8) $0.10 $39.73 397.3x 2026-11-10 22:53 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Code Red (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-field-tested) [blind](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/blind) $0.10 $39.53 395.3x 2026-11-03 17:20 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Code Red (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-field-tested) [Ramz](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Ramz) $0.10 $39.51 395.1x 2026-11-03 22:19 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Code Red (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-field-tested) [garibaldo vila sésamo](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/garibaldo%20vila%20s%C3%A9samo) $0.10 $39.19 391.9x 2026-11-09 02:27 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Code Red (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-field-tested) [BERZMAD](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/BERZMAD) $0.10 $38.76 387.6x 2026-11-05 17:04 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Code Red (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-field-tested) [BERZMAD](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/BERZMAD) $0.10 $38.61 386.1x 2026-11-05 19:10 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Code Red (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-field-tested) [♡ houdy ♡](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%E2%99%A1%20houdy%20%E2%99%A1) $0.10 $38.53 385.3x 2026-11-05 22:53 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=japaskins)

[Glock-18 | Ramese's Reach (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-rameses-reach-field-tested) [Ramz](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Ramz) $0.10 $7.69 76.90x 2026-11-11 12:40 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-conspiracy-minimal-wear) [nononono](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/nononono) $0.10 $18.96 189.6x 2026-11-11 12:12 UTC

[Glock-18 | Ramese's Reach (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-rameses-reach-field-tested) [nononono](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/nononono) $0.10 $7.69 76.90x 2026-11-11 12:10 UTC

[Glock-18 | Ramese's Reach (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-rameses-reach-field-tested) [скрытопульный бл](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D1%81%D0%BA%D1%80%D1%8B%D1%82%D0%BE%D0%BF%D1%83%D0%BB%D1%8C%D0%BD%D1%8B%D0%B9%20%D0%B1%D0%BB) $0.10 $7.69 76.90x 2026-11-11 12:10 UTC

[Charm | Lil' Ferno charm · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-ferno) [скрытопульный бл](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D1%81%D0%BA%D1%80%D1%8B%D1%82%D0%BE%D0%BF%D1%83%D0%BB%D1%8C%D0%BD%D1%8B%D0%B9%20%D0%B1%D0%BB) $0.10 $13.37 133.7x 2026-11-11 12:10 UTC

[Glock-18 | Ramese's Reach (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-rameses-reach-field-tested) [ELISTINSKYI](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/ELISTINSKYI) $0.10 $7.69 76.90x 2026-11-11 11:49 UTC

[Glock-18 | Ramese's Reach (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-rameses-reach-field-tested) [ELISTINSKYI](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/ELISTINSKYI) $0.10 $7.69 76.90x 2026-11-11 11:49 UTC

[Charm | Lil' Ferno charm · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-ferno) [ELISTINSKYI](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/ELISTINSKYI) $0.10 $13.37 133.7x 2026-11-11 11:47 UTC

[Glock-18 | Ramese's Reach (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-rameses-reach-field-tested) [ELISTINSKYI](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/ELISTINSKYI) $0.10 $7.69 76.90x 2026-11-11 11:47 UTC

[Glock-18 | Ramese's Reach (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-rameses-reach-field-tested) [Vaadoo](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Vaadoo) $0.10 $7.70 77.00x 2026-11-11 10:31 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $0.10 | 66.07% | 6 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $0.10 | 65.83% | 6 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $0.10 | 65.85% | 6 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $0.10 | 66.94% | 6 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $0.10 | 67.22% | 6 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $0.10 | 67.20% | 6 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $0.10 | 67.20% | 6 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $0.10 | 66.78% | 6 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $0.10 | 66.81% | 6 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $0.10 | 67.16% | 6 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $0.10 | 67.15% | 6 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $0.10 | 67.14% | 6 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $0.10 | 67.16% | 6 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $0.10 | 67.14% | 6 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $0.10 | 67.18% | 6 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $0.10 | 67.19% | 6 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $0.10 | 67.13% | 6 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $0.10 | 67.15% | 6 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $0.10 | 67.33% | 6 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $0.10 | 67.45% | 6 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $0.10 | 67.12% | 6 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $0.10 | 67.25% | 6 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $0.10 | 68.06% | 6 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $0.10 | 67.81% | 6 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $0.10 | 67.53% | 6 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $0.10 | 67.33% | 6 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $0.10 | 67.25% | 6 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $0.10 | 67.31% | 6 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $0.10 | 67.56% | 6 |
| 4 Nov, 14:19 UTC | $0.10 | 67.51% | 6 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.0% classified 0.0% #eb4b4b 0.1% violet 0.4% #b0c3d9 99.5% best hit $40.35 (403.5x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 66.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $66.07 on average: an expected loss of $33.93 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt