---
title: "Kilowatt Case case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Kilowatt Case ($1.09) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 75.14% from 9 items with odds, observed 77.18% over 6,345 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/kilowattcase
rendered: 2026-11-11T19:44Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [Kilowatt Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/kilowattcase)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · Kilowatt Case

A case on csgo.net (Standard), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/kilowattcase?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/kilowattcase?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/kilowattcase) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/kilowattcase?window=all)

Price · $1.09

Advertised RTP · 75.14% · EV $0.82 from 9 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 77.18% · 6,345 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.7× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 12.2% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 87.8% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 93.92% ±11.50 530 openings

7 days · 78.07% ±4.17 3,898 openings

30 days · 77.18% ±3.30 6,345 openings

since tracking started · 77.18% ±3.30 6,345 openings

73.0% 89.5% 106.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/kilowattcase?window=24h) | 530 | 93.92% ±11.5 | +3.2σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/kilowattcase?window=7d) | 3,898 | 78.07% ±4.17 | +1.1σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/kilowattcase) | 6,345 | 77.18% ±3.30 | +0.7σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/kilowattcase?window=all) | 6,345 | 77.18% ±3.30 | +0.7σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6,351 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Kukri Knife \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-case-hardened-well-worn) | 1 in 9,608 | $82.86 | 1.1% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [AWP \| Chrome Cannon (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chrome-cannon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,846 | $31.94 | 0.7% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.92× |
| [AK-47 \| Inheritance (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-inheritance-field-tested) | 1 in 5,599 | $30.88 | 0.7% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [Zeus x27 \| Olympus (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-olympus-minimal-wear) | 1 in 32 | $3.94 | 15.0% | 140 | 197.7 | 0.71× |
| [M4A1-S \| Black Lotus (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $3.64 | 16.9% | 227 | 242.1 | 0.94× |
| [USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-field-tested) | 1 in 19 | $3.20 | 20.5% | 334 | 333.8 | 1.00× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Analog Input (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-analog-input-minimal-wear) | 30.9% | $0.46 | 17.3% | 564 | 1960.9 | 0.29× |
| [Glock-18 \| Block-18 (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-block-18-field-tested) | 29.1% | $0.41 | 14.7% | 3,803 | 1848.0 | 2.06× |
| [MP7 \| Just Smile (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-just-smile-field-tested) | 27.8% | $0.39 | 13.1% | 133 | 1765.6 | 0.08× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Kukri Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-case-hardened-well-worn) [cat\_vjuh](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/cat_vjuh) $1.09 $82.72 75.89x 2026-11-11 03:21 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=kilowattcase)

[Glock-18 | Block-18 (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-block-18-field-tested) [вова](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%B2%D0%BE%D0%B2%D0%B0) $1.09 $0.41 0.37x 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC

[Glock-18 | Block-18 (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-block-18-field-tested) [вова](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%B2%D0%BE%D0%B2%D0%B0) $1.09 $0.41 0.37x 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-analog-input-minimal-wear) [AMA HASLA MOTHERFACKA](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/AMA%20HASLA%20MOTHERFACKA) $1.09 $0.46 0.42x 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC

[Glock-18 | Block-18 (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-block-18-field-tested) [вова](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%B2%D0%BE%D0%B2%D0%B0) $1.09 $0.41 0.37x 2026-11-11 19:36 UTC

[Glock-18 | Block-18 (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-block-18-field-tested) [вова](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%B2%D0%BE%D0%B2%D0%B0) $1.09 $0.41 0.37x 2026-11-11 19:36 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-analog-input-minimal-wear) [Мамут рахал](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%9C%D0%B0%D0%BC%D1%83%D1%82%20%D1%80%D0%B0%D1%85%D0%B0%D0%BB) $1.09 $0.46 0.42x 2026-11-11 19:31 UTC

[Glock-18 | Block-18 (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-block-18-field-tested) [Мамут рахал](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%9C%D0%B0%D0%BC%D1%83%D1%82%20%D1%80%D0%B0%D1%85%D0%B0%D0%BB) $1.09 $0.41 0.37x 2026-11-11 19:31 UTC

[Glock-18 | Block-18 (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-block-18-field-tested) [Мамут рахал](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%9C%D0%B0%D0%BC%D1%83%D1%82%20%D1%80%D0%B0%D1%85%D0%B0%D0%BB) $1.09 $0.41 0.37x 2026-11-11 19:30 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-analog-input-minimal-wear) [Мамут рахал](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%9C%D0%B0%D0%BC%D1%83%D1%82%20%D1%80%D0%B0%D1%85%D0%B0%D0%BB) $1.09 $0.46 0.42x 2026-11-11 19:30 UTC

[M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-field-tested) [Мамут рахал](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%9C%D0%B0%D0%BC%D1%83%D1%82%20%D1%80%D0%B0%D1%85%D0%B0%D0%BB) $1.09 $3.72 3.41x 2026-11-11 19:30 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC | $1.09 | 75.14% | 9 |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $1.09 | 75.01% | 9 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $1.09 | 74.82% | 7 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $1.09 | 74.78% | 8 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $1.09 | 75.11% | 7 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $1.09 | 75.41% | 8 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $1.09 | 75.45% | 8 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $1.09 | 75.42% | 8 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $1.09 | 75.45% | 8 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $1.09 | 75.54% | 8 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $1.09 | 75.91% | 9 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $1.09 | 75.90% | 9 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $1.09 | 75.89% | 9 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $1.09 | 75.88% | 9 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $1.09 | 75.84% | 8 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $1.09 | 75.94% | 8 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $1.09 | 75.94% | 9 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $1.09 | 75.95% | 8 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $1.09 | 75.91% | 8 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $1.09 | 75.95% | 8 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $1.09 | 75.98% | 8 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $1.09 | 75.89% | 8 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $1.09 | 75.96% | 8 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $1.09 | 76.31% | 7 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $1.09 | 76.40% | 7 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $1.09 | 76.22% | 7 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $1.09 | 76.03% | 7 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $1.09 | 76.10% | 7 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $1.09 | 76.09% | 7 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $1.09 | 76.07% | 7 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert knife 0.0% Ancient 0.0% red 0.0% Legendary 6.9% classified 5.3% violet 60.0% Mythical 27.8% best hit $82.72 (75.89x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 75.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $75.14 on average: an expected loss of $24.86 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt