---
title: "kroko3abra case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "kroko3abra ($1.39) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 74.88% from 38 items with odds, observed 74.87% over 3,333 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/kroko3abra
rendered: 2026-11-11T18:59Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [kroko3abra](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/kroko3abra)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · kroko3abra

A case on csgo.net (Blogger), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/kroko3abra?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/kroko3abra?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/kroko3abra) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/kroko3abra?window=all)

Price · $1.39

Advertised RTP · 74.88% · EV $1.04 from 38 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 74.87% · 3,333 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.8× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 31.5% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 86.6% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

7 days · 74.05% ±3.52 2,389 openings

30 days · 74.87% ±2.98 3,333 openings

since tracking started · 74.87% ±2.98 3,333 openings

70.0% 74.3% 78.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/kroko3abra?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/kroko3abra?window=7d) | 2,389 | 74.05% ±3.52 | −0.8σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/kroko3abra) | 3,333 | 74.87% ±2.98 | −0.4σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/kroko3abra?window=all) | 3,333 | 74.87% ±2.98 | −0.4σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 38 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,339 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [SG 553 \| Hazard Pay (Minimal Wear) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-hazard-pay-minimal-wear) | 1 in 196,362 | $179 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P90 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 195,375 | $165 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 191,201 | $133 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| The Coalition (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-coalition-well-worn) | 1 in 189,860 | $126 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Graphite (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-graphite-minimal-wear) | 1 in 189,674 | $125 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-field-tested) | 1 in 188,931 | $122 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 178,514 | $96.17 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Blood in the Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 172,874 | $88.03 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 149,882 | $68.41 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Leet Museo (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-leet-museo-well-worn) | 1 in 145,999 | $66.14 | 0.0% | 1 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-field-tested) | 1 in 132,638 | $59.51 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP9 \| Starlight Protector (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-starlight-protector-field-tested) | 1 in 117,194 | $53.30 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Player Two (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-field-tested) | 1 in 109,056 | $50.44 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 80,581 | $41.63 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-field-tested) | 1 in 70,824 | $38.85 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Transport (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-transport-field-tested) | 1 in 55,083 | $34.38 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Stalker (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-stalker-field-tested) | 1 in 50,940 | $33.18 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [USP-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 47,224 | $32.08 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Commemoration (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-field-tested) | 1 in 39,559 | $29.75 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Temukau (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-field-tested) | 1 in 37,453 | $29.09 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-snack-attack-field-tested) | 1 in 9,754 | $17.60 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-field-tested) | 1 in 6,011 | $14.86 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Monkey Business (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-monkey-business-field-tested) | 1 in 3,152 | $11.91 | 0.4% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.94× |
| [G3SG1 \| The Executioner (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-the-executioner-field-tested) | 1 in 1,350 | $8.91 | 0.6% | 5 | 2.5 | 2.02× |
| [SG 553 \| Colony IV (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-colony-iv-field-tested) | 1 in 1,238 | $8.65 | 0.7% | 2 | 2.7 | 0.74× |
| [MP7 \| Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 587 | $6.69 | 1.1% | 7 | 5.7 | 1.23× |
| [MP7 \| Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-abyssal-apparition-minimal-wear) | 1 in 548 | $6.54 | 1.1% | 3 | 6.1 | 0.49× |
| [M4A4 \| Evil Daimyo (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-evil-daimyo-field-tested) | 1 in 62 | $2.95 | 4.6% | 63 | 54.3 | 1.16× |
| [AK-47 \| Safety Net (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safety-net-field-tested) | 1 in 54 | $2.81 | 5.0% | 73 | 61.7 | 1.18× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Tigris (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tigris-well-worn) | 1 in 26 | $2.06 | 7.5% | 21 | 126.8 | 0.17× |
| [AK-47 \| Elite Build (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-field-tested) | 1 in 18 | $1.71 | 9.2% | 91 | 186.3 | 0.49× |
| [SSG 08 \| Ghost Crusader (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-ghost-crusader-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $1.31 | 10.8% | 346 | 287.2 | 1.20× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Directive (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-directive-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $1.22 | 11.1% | 383 | 315.9 | 1.21× |
| [AWP \| Acheron (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-acheron-field-tested) | 12.9% | $0.87 | 10.8% | 70 | 432.2 | 0.16× |
| [Glock-18 \| Moonrise (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-moonrise-field-tested) | 13.4% | $0.82 | 10.6% | 630 | 447.6 | 1.41× |
| [M4A1-S \| Night Terror (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-minimal-wear) | 13.8% | $0.76 | 10.1% | 650 | 461.1 | 1.41× |
| [MAC-10 \| Sakkaku (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-sakkaku-field-tested) | 14.2% | $0.56 | 7.7% | 51 | 475.6 | 0.11× |
| [XM1014 \| Zombie Offensive (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-zombie-offensive-minimal-wear) | 14.1% | $0.53 | 7.2% | 440 | 470.8 | 0.93× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=kroko3abra)

[Glock-18 | Moonrise (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-moonrise-field-tested) [Masturb1nhio](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Masturb1nhio) $1.39 $0.82 0.59x 2026-11-09 09:34 UTC

[Glock-18 | Moonrise (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-moonrise-field-tested) [Masturb1nhio](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Masturb1nhio) $1.39 $0.82 0.59x 2026-11-09 09:33 UTC

[XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-zombie-offensive-minimal-wear) [Masturb1nhio](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Masturb1nhio) $1.39 $0.53 0.38x 2026-11-09 09:32 UTC

[Glock-18 | Moonrise (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-moonrise-field-tested) [Masturb1nhio](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Masturb1nhio) $1.39 $0.82 0.59x 2026-11-09 09:32 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Directive (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-directive-field-tested) [Masturb1nhio](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Masturb1nhio) $1.39 $1.22 0.88x 2026-11-09 09:31 UTC

[SSG 08 | Ghost Crusader (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-ghost-crusader-field-tested) [Masturb1nhio](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Masturb1nhio) $1.39 $1.30 0.94x 2026-11-09 09:31 UTC

[AK-47 | Elite Build (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-field-tested) [Masturb1nhio](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Masturb1nhio) $1.39 $1.71 1.23x 2026-11-09 09:31 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Directive (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-directive-field-tested) [Masturb1nhio](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Masturb1nhio) $1.39 $1.22 0.88x 2026-11-09 09:31 UTC

[AK-47 | Elite Build (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-field-tested) [Masturb1nhio](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Masturb1nhio) $1.39 $1.71 1.23x 2026-11-09 09:31 UTC

[Glock-18 | Moonrise (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-moonrise-field-tested) [Masturb1nhio](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Masturb1nhio) $1.39 $0.82 0.59x 2026-11-09 09:30 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $1.39 | 74.88% | 38 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $1.39 | 75.42% | 38 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $1.39 | 75.26% | 37 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $1.39 | 75.28% | 37 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $1.39 | 75.34% | 37 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $1.39 | 75.29% | 37 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $1.39 | 75.38% | 37 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $1.39 | 75.42% | 37 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $1.39 | 75.41% | 37 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $1.39 | 75.34% | 37 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $1.39 | 75.27% | 37 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $1.39 | 75.49% | 37 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $1.39 | 75.83% | 37 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $1.39 | 75.72% | 38 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $1.39 | 75.62% | 37 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $1.39 | 75.38% | 37 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $1.39 | 75.42% | 37 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $1.39 | 75.34% | 38 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $1.39 | 75.54% | 37 |
| 4 Nov, 14:19 UTC | $1.39 | 75.53% | 38 |
| 4 Nov, 08:09 UTC | $1.39 | 75.38% | 38 |
| 4 Nov, 07:05 UTC | $1.39 | 75.53% | 38 |
| 4 Nov, 05:18 UTC | $1.39 | 75.65% | 36 |
| 3 Nov, 23:08 UTC | $1.39 | 75.55% | 37 |
| 3 Nov, 16:38 UTC | $1.39 | 75.65% | 38 |
| 3 Nov, 15:56 UTC | $1.39 | 75.63% | 37 |
| 3 Nov, 10:09 UTC | $1.39 | 75.81% | 37 |
| 3 Nov, 09:10 UTC | $1.39 | 75.92% | 37 |
| 3 Nov, 08:08 UTC | $1.39 | 75.97% | 37 |
| 3 Nov, 07:37 UTC | $1.39 | 76.09% | 37 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed Classified 0.0% covert 0.0% red 0.0% classified 0.4% Covert 0.0% Ancient 0.0% extraordinary 0.0% restricted 5.8% Mythical 15.4% Rare 5.6% #8847ff 31.5% #4b69ff 12.9% violet 28.3% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 74.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $74.88 on average: an expected loss of $25.12 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt