---
title: "Leodobancarios case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Leodobancarios ($3.39) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 76.49% from 36 items with odds, observed 77.77% over 881 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/leodobancarios
rendered: 2026-11-11T21:56Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [Leodobancarios](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/leodobancarios)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · Leodobancarios

A case on csgo.net (Blogger), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/leodobancarios?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/leodobancarios?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/leodobancarios) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/leodobancarios?window=all)

Price · $3.39

Advertised RTP · 76.49% · EV $2.59 from 36 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 77.77% · 881 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 26.4% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 73.6% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 59 openings · below min

7 days · 78.12% ±6.61 714 openings

30 days · 77.77% ±5.96 881 openings

since tracking started · 77.77% ±5.96 881 openings

65.0% 86.8% 108.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/leodobancarios?window=24h) | 59 | 86.81% ±21.2 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/leodobancarios?window=7d) | 714 | 78.12% ±6.61 | +0.3σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/leodobancarios) | 881 | 77.77% ±5.96 | +0.2σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/leodobancarios?window=all) | 881 | 77.77% ±5.96 | +0.2σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 36 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 881 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Glock-18 \| Twilight Galaxy (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-twilight-galaxy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 164,233 | $196 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-damascus-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 148,235 | $167 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 142,762 | $160 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-field-tested) | 1 in 140,161 | $156 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 94,858 | $114 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 86,170 | $107 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Wasteland Rebel (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-wasteland-rebel-field-tested) | 1 in 69,567 | $95.42 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Blood in the Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 66,350 | $93.16 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Smoke Out (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-smoke-out-field-tested) | 1 in 53,154 | $83.84 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P90 \| Death by Kitty (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-death-by-kitty-field-tested) | 1 in 35,729 | $70.73 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Nightwish (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-minimal-wear) | 1 in 23,466 | $60.01 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Black Laminate (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-black-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 19,288 | $55.77 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP9 \| Starlight Protector (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-starlight-protector-field-tested) | 1 in 17,337 | $53.62 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Unhinged (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-unhinged-field-tested) | 1 in 13,556 | $49.05 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-field-tested) | 1 in 7,554 | $39.91 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 5,922 | $36.68 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Black Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-black-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 4,614 | $33.66 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AWP \| Chromatic Aberration (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chromatic-aberration-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,963 | $31.94 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [USP-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 3,957 | $31.93 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [M4A4 \| The Battlestar (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-battlestar-field-tested) | 1 in 3,221 | $29.76 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Temukau (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-field-tested) | 1 in 2,811 | $28.41 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [AWP \| Electric Hive (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-electric-hive-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,675 | $27.93 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [P90 \| Shallow Grave (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-shallow-grave-field-tested) | 1 in 1,611 | $23.50 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [USP-S \| Caiman (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-caiman-field-tested) | 1 in 1,478 | $22.82 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Conspiracy (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-conspiracy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 970 | $19.76 | 0.8% | 1 | 0.9 | — |
| [AWP \| Fever Dream (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 240 | $12.20 | 2.0% | 4 | 3.7 | 1.09× |
| [MP7 \| Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-abyssal-apparition-minimal-wear) | 1 in 43 | $6.45 | 5.8% | 19 | 20.7 | 0.92× |
| [M4A1-S \| Nightmare (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nightmare-well-worn) | 1 in 41 | $6.37 | 5.9% | 5 | 21.3 | 0.23× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $5.19 | 7.9% | 6 | 34.9 | 0.17× |
| [MAC-10 \| Disco Tech (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-disco-tech-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $5.12 | 8.1% | 41 | 35.9 | 1.14× |
| [MP9 \| Mount Fuji (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-mount-fuji-field-tested) | 1 in 19 | $4.56 | 9.3% | 60 | 46.4 | 1.29× |
| [AK-47 \| Slate (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $3.85 | 11.0% | 80 | 65.2 | 1.23× |
| [AK-47 \| Steel Delta (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-steel-delta-field-tested) | 17.3% | $1.96 | 13.1% | 79 | 152.7 | 0.52× |
| [AK-47 \| Elite Build (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-field-tested) | 18.4% | $1.74 | 12.3% | 93 | 161.9 | 0.57× |
| [SSG 08 \| Ghost Crusader (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-ghost-crusader-field-tested) | 19.1% | $1.44 | 10.6% | 128 | 168.5 | 0.76× |
| [MAC-10 \| Last Dive (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-last-dive-field-tested) | 18.8% | $1.18 | 8.6% | 149 | 165.7 | 0.90× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=leodobancarios)

[MAC-10 | Last Dive (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-last-dive-field-tested) [gggdanli9](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/gggdanli9) $3.39 $1.18 0.35x 2026-11-11 19:59 UTC

[XM1014 | Black Tie weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-black-tie) [TanZero](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/TanZero) $3.39 $1.20 0.35x 2026-11-11 19:51 UTC

[AK-47 | Slate (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-field-tested) [TanZero](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/TanZero) $3.39 $3.86 1.14x 2026-11-11 19:51 UTC

[AK-47 | Steel Delta (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-steel-delta-field-tested) [Vam Pizda](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Vam%20Pizda) $3.39 $1.90 0.56x 2026-11-11 19:40 UTC

[AK-47 | Elite Build (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-field-tested) [MORIARTI](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/MORIARTI) $3.39 $1.73 0.51x 2026-11-11 18:59 UTC

[AK-47 | Slate (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-field-tested) [ricardo](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/ricardo) $3.39 $3.84 1.13x 2026-11-11 18:50 UTC

[MAC-10 | Disco Tech (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-disco-tech-field-tested) [\[1v4\]❤Мур❤堕天使の叫](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%5B1v4%5D%E2%9D%A4%D0%9C%D1%83%D1%80%E2%9D%A4%E5%A0%95%E5%A4%A9%E4%BD%BF%E3%81%AE%E5%8F%AB) $3.39 $5.46 1.61x 2026-11-11 18:21 UTC

[SSG 08 | Ghost Crusader (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-ghost-crusader-field-tested) [\[1v4\]❤Мур❤堕天使の叫](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%5B1v4%5D%E2%9D%A4%D0%9C%D1%83%D1%80%E2%9D%A4%E5%A0%95%E5%A4%A9%E4%BD%BF%E3%81%AE%E5%8F%AB) $3.39 $1.41 0.42x 2026-11-11 18:20 UTC

[AK-47 | Slate (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-field-tested) [\[1v4\]❤Мур❤堕天使の叫](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%5B1v4%5D%E2%9D%A4%D0%9C%D1%83%D1%80%E2%9D%A4%E5%A0%95%E5%A4%A9%E4%BD%BF%E3%81%AE%E5%8F%AB) $3.39 $3.84 1.13x 2026-11-11 18:20 UTC

[MAC-10 | Last Dive (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-last-dive-field-tested) [\[1v4\]❤Мур❤堕天使の叫](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%5B1v4%5D%E2%9D%A4%D0%9C%D1%83%D1%80%E2%9D%A4%E5%A0%95%E5%A4%A9%E4%BD%BF%E3%81%AE%E5%8F%AB) $3.39 $1.18 0.35x 2026-11-11 18:20 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC | $3.39 | 76.49% | 36 |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $3.39 | 76.24% | 37 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $3.39 | 76.08% | 37 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $3.39 | 76.09% | 37 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $3.39 | 76.39% | 37 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $3.39 | 76.71% | 37 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $3.39 | 76.74% | 37 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $3.39 | 76.73% | 37 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $3.39 | 76.76% | 37 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $3.39 | 76.87% | 37 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $3.39 | 77.26% | 37 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $3.39 | 77.19% | 37 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $3.39 | 77.24% | 37 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $3.39 | 77.25% | 37 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $3.39 | 77.33% | 37 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $3.39 | 77.27% | 37 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $3.39 | 77.25% | 37 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $3.39 | 77.26% | 37 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $3.39 | 77.24% | 36 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $3.39 | 77.26% | 36 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $3.39 | 77.25% | 37 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $3.39 | 77.25% | 36 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $3.39 | 77.30% | 36 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $3.39 | 77.63% | 36 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $3.39 | 77.67% | 37 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $3.39 | 77.60% | 37 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $3.39 | 77.28% | 37 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $3.39 | 77.36% | 37 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $3.39 | 77.34% | 38 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $3.39 | 77.35% | 38 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed classified 3.0% covert knife 0.0% covert 0.1% red 0.0% extraordinary 0.0% Ancient 0.0% mil spec 0.0% pink 2.5% Legendary 8.0% violet 5.3% Mythical 7.4% Rare 35.7% #8847ff 37.9% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 76.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $76.49 on average: an expected loss of $23.51 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt