--- title: "magixx case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "magixx ($0.67) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 72.57% from 12 items with odds, observed 22102.97% over 382 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/magixx rendered: 2026-11-11T18:18Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [magixx](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/magixx) # [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · magixx A case on csgo.net, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/magixx?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/magixx?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/magixx) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/magixx?window=all) Price · $0.67 Advertised RTP · 72.57% · EV $0.49 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 22102.97% · 382 openings, odds method Variance · 222.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 595 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 99.7% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 49 openings · below min 7 days · 296 openings · below min 30 days · 382 openings · below min since tracking started · 382 openings · below min 71.5% 11164.3% 22257.0% **Small sample.** 382 openings and 0.7 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/magixx?window=24h) | 49 | 18470.82% ±422.9 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/magixx?window=7d) | 296 | 21561.71% ±173.5 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/magixx) | 382 | 22102.97% ±153.4 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/magixx?window=all) | 382 | 22102.97% ±153.4 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 382 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 9,518 | $599 | 12.9% | 9 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 8,779 | $428 | 10.0% | 12 | 0.0 | — | | [MP9 \| Hot Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hot-rod-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,653 | $212 | 9.4% | 6 | 0.1 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Cyrex (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-cyrex-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,132 | $171 | 11.2% | 42 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 1,078 | $109 | 20.9% | 124 | 0.4 | — | | [Charm \| Butane Buddy charm · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-butane-buddy) | 1 in 907 | $103 | 23.3% | 140 | 0.4 | — | | [UMP-45 \| Gunsmoke (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-gunsmoke-field-tested) | 39.3% | $0.10 | 7.9% | 0 | 150.1 | 0.00× | | [MP7 \| Sunbaked (Field-Tested) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-sunbaked-field-tested) | 19.9% | $0.05 | 2.0% | 0 | 76.1 | 0.00× | | [AUG \| Storm (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-storm-minimal-wear) | 15.6% | $0.04 | 1.2% | 0 | 59.5 | 0.00× | | [Negev \| Army Sheen (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-army-sheen-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10 | $0.03 | 0.5% | 0 | 38.0 | 0.00× | | [MP7 \| Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-forest-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $0.02 | 0.3% | 0 | 30.5 | 0.00× | | [AUG \| Contractor (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-contractor-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $0.02 | 0.2% | 0 | 26.8 | 0.00× | Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) [JPCadeirante-.](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/JPCadeirante-.) $0.67 $916 1,367x 2026-11-10 04:20 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) [VEM PRA twitch.tv/jpndub](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/VEM%20PRA%20twitch.tv%2Fjpndub) $0.67 $645 962.9x 2026-11-04 01:38 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) [MECÂNICO DO MCQUEEN](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/MEC%C3%82NICO%20DO%20MCQUEEN) $0.67 $623 930.1x 2026-11-05 03:18 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) [JPCadeirante-.](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/JPCadeirante-.) $0.67 $622 928.8x 2026-11-07 03:25 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) [BIKS 2º](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/BIKS%202%C2%BA) $0.67 $622 928.2x 2026-11-08 22:22 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) [Mk\_And](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Mk_And) $0.67 $620 925.0x 2026-11-03 17:31 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) [Ch00zer](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Ch00zer) $0.67 $619 923.3x 2026-11-03 20:13 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) [RicardoRPH](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/RicardoRPH) $0.67 $619 923.2x 2026-11-05 01:11 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) [Kuda](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Kuda) $0.67 $608 906.8x 2026-11-05 17:08 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-crimson-web-field-tested) [Mooney4](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Mooney4) $0.67 $432 644.2x 2026-11-11 01:38 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=magixx) [★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-web-field-tested) [ww](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/ww) $0.67 $109 162.0x 2026-11-11 16:41 UTC [Charm | Butane Buddy charm · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-butane-buddy) [mmjuad](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/mmjuad) $0.67 $100 149.9x 2026-11-11 15:33 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-web-field-tested) [PROTEST](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/PROTEST) $0.67 $109 163.4x 2026-11-11 14:47 UTC [Charm | Butane Buddy charm · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-butane-buddy) [ww](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/ww) $0.67 $103 153.3x 2026-11-11 14:44 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-web-field-tested) [Xinaa](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Xinaa) $0.67 $109 163.3x 2026-11-11 12:26 UTC [Charm | Butane Buddy charm · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-butane-buddy) [JPCadeirante-.](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/JPCadeirante-.) $0.67 $103 153.1x 2026-11-11 10:23 UTC [Charm | Butane Buddy charm · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-butane-buddy) [JPCadeirante-.](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/JPCadeirante-.) $0.67 $103 153.1x 2026-11-11 09:22 UTC [MP9 | Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hot-rod-factory-new) [JPCadeirante-.](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/JPCadeirante-.) $0.67 $191 285.4x 2026-11-11 09:22 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-web-field-tested) [JPCadeirante-.](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/JPCadeirante-.) $0.67 $110 164.7x 2026-11-11 08:32 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-web-field-tested) [JPCadeirante-.](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/JPCadeirante-.) $0.67 $110 164.3x 2026-11-11 07:20 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC | $0.67 | 72.57% | 12 | | 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $0.67 | 72.37% | 12 | | 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $0.67 | 72.21% | 12 | | 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $0.67 | 72.23% | 12 | | 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $0.67 | 72.47% | 12 | | 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $0.67 | 72.80% | 12 | | 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $0.67 | 72.81% | 12 | | 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $0.67 | 72.82% | 12 | | 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $0.67 | 72.82% | 12 | | 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $0.67 | 72.92% | 12 | | 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $0.67 | 73.33% | 12 | | 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $0.67 | 73.29% | 12 | | 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $0.67 | 73.29% | 12 | | 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $0.67 | 73.32% | 12 | | 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $0.67 | 73.29% | 12 | | 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $0.67 | 73.32% | 12 | | 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $0.67 | 73.30% | 12 | | 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $0.67 | 73.27% | 12 | | 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $0.67 | 73.28% | 12 | | 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $0.67 | 73.30% | 12 | | 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $0.67 | 73.33% | 12 | | 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $0.67 | 73.25% | 12 | | 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $0.67 | 73.34% | 12 | | 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $0.67 | 73.72% | 12 | | 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $0.67 | 73.72% | 12 | | 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $0.67 | 73.63% | 12 | | 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $0.67 | 73.34% | 12 | | 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $0.67 | 73.43% | 12 | | 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $0.67 | 73.41% | 12 | | 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $0.67 | 73.45% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 0.1% mil spec 0.0% extraordinary 0.1% Ancient 0.1% industrial 39.3% Consumer Grade 19.9% consumer 40.5% best hit $916 (1,367x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 72.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $72.57 on average: an expected loss of $27.43 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt