--- title: "Maybach GLS case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Maybach GLS ($679.00) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 73.05% from 16 items with odds, observed 78.16% over 25 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/maybachgls rendered: 2026-11-11T17:23Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [Maybach GLS](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/maybachgls) # [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · Maybach GLS A case on csgo.net (Ultra), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/maybachgls?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/maybachgls?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/maybachgls) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/maybachgls?window=all) Price · $679.00 Advertised RTP · 73.05% · EV $496.03 from 16 items Observed RTP, 30d · 78.16% · 25 openings, odds method Variance · 0.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 42.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 83.1% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 4 openings · below min 7 days · 21 openings · below min 30 days · 25 openings · below min since tracking started · 25 openings · below min 36.0% 73.3% 110.5% **Small sample.** 25 openings and 10.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/maybachgls?window=24h) | 4 | 73.04% ±36.6 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/maybachgls?window=7d) | 21 | 79.36% ±16.3 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/maybachgls) | 25 | 78.16% ±14.9 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/maybachgls?window=all) | 25 | 78.16% ±14.9 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 25 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Medusa (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-minimal-wear) | 1 in 661 | $2,978 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 233 | $2,030 | 1.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 53 | $1,141 | 4.4% | 1 | 0.5 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 51 | $1,124 | 4.5% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [M4A4 \| Poseidon (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 44 | $1,061 | 4.8% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Superconductor (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-battle-scarred) | 1 in 21 | $729 | 7.1% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.65× | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Blue Steel (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-blue-steel-well-worn) | 1 in 19 | $685 | 7.4% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $520 | 8.3% | 4 | 2.0 | 2.03× | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Bright Water (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-bright-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 12 | $485 | 8.3% | 1 | 2.1 | 0.47× | | [M4A1-S \| Blue Phosphor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blue-phosphor-factory-new) | 1 in 12 | $477 | 8.3% | 1 | 2.2 | 0.46× | | [AWP \| Lightning Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 11 | $464 | 8.3% | 1 | 2.2 | 0.45× | | [★ Karambit \| Night (Field-Tested) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-night-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $457 | 8.3% | 3 | 2.2 | 1.34× | | [AUG \| Akihabara Accept (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $456 | 8.3% | 1 | 2.2 | 0.44× | | [★ Stiletto Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 11 | $433 | 8.2% | 0 | 2.3 | 0.00× | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Amphibious (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-field-tested) | 10.9% | $256 | 5.6% | 2 | 2.7 | 0.73× | | [Glock-18 \| Synth Leaf (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-synth-leaf-field-tested) | 10.9% | $253 | 5.6% | 3 | 2.7 | 1.10× | Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Glock-18 | Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-factory-new) [BARAKUDA](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/BARAKUDA) $679 $1,212 1.78x 2026-11-10 15:20 UTC [M4A4 | Poseidon (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-minimal-wear) [VLIQ](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/VLIQ) $679 $1,141 1.68x 2026-11-07 22:37 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-blue-steel-minimal-wear) [VLIQ](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/VLIQ) $679 $836 1.23x 2026-11-09 04:11 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-battle-scarred) [Loading...](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Loading...) $679 $759 1.12x 2026-11-07 09:47 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-blue-steel-field-tested) [kiber\_n1](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/kiber_n1) $679 $759 1.12x 2026-11-05 01:13 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-battle-scarred) [VLIQ](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/VLIQ) $679 $725 1.07x 2026-11-11 03:45 UTC [★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-doppler-factory-new) [VLIQ](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/VLIQ) $679 $548 0.81x 2026-11-09 04:26 UTC [★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-doppler-factory-new) [Farga](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Farga) $679 $547 0.81x 2026-11-10 11:17 UTC [★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-doppler-factory-new) [Poromedic](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Poromedic) $679 $544 0.80x 2026-11-03 16:30 UTC [★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-doppler-factory-new) [frabbz](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/frabbz) $679 $542 0.80x 2026-11-05 04:43 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=maybachgls) [AUG | Akihabara Accept (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-well-worn) [ЗахарЗубрайло](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%97%D0%B0%D1%85%D0%B0%D1%80%D0%97%D1%83%D0%B1%D1%80%D0%B0%D0%B9%D0%BB%D0%BE) $679 $335 0.49x 2026-11-11 08:58 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-battle-scarred) [VLIQ](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/VLIQ) $679 $725 1.07x 2026-11-11 03:45 UTC [★ Karambit | Night (Field-Tested) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-night-field-tested) [MPC TURN OFF CAPS](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/MPC%20TURN%20OFF%20CAPS) $679 $462 0.68x 2026-11-11 02:22 UTC [★ Karambit | Night (Field-Tested) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-night-field-tested) [MPC TURN OFF CAPS](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/MPC%20TURN%20OFF%20CAPS) $679 $462 0.68x 2026-11-11 01:55 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Bright Water (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-bright-water-minimal-wear) [Poromedic](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Poromedic) $679 $494 0.73x 2026-11-10 17:38 UTC [Glock-18 | Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-factory-new) [BARAKUDA](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/BARAKUDA) $679 $1,212 1.78x 2026-11-10 15:20 UTC [Glock-18 | Synth Leaf (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-synth-leaf-field-tested) [626](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/626) $679 $253 0.37x 2026-11-10 14:19 UTC [★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-doppler-factory-new) [Farga](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Farga) $679 $547 0.81x 2026-11-10 11:17 UTC [AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) [Farga](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Farga) $679 $450 0.66x 2026-11-10 11:07 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-field-tested) [Darkus](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Darkus) $679 $264 0.39x 2026-11-10 07:16 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC | $679 | 73.05% | 16 | | 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $679 | 72.87% | 16 | | 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $679 | 72.70% | 16 | | 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $679 | 72.68% | 16 | | 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $679 | 72.96% | 16 | | 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $679 | 73.28% | 16 | | 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $679 | 73.29% | 16 | | 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $679 | 73.27% | 16 | | 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $679 | 73.34% | 16 | | 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $679 | 73.40% | 16 | | 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $679 | 73.81% | 16 | | 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $679 | 73.78% | 16 | | 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $679 | 73.78% | 16 | | 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $679 | 73.80% | 16 | | 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $679 | 73.80% | 16 | | 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $679 | 73.80% | 16 | | 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $679 | 73.81% | 16 | | 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $679 | 73.78% | 16 | | 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $679 | 73.79% | 16 | | 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $679 | 73.80% | 16 | | 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $679 | 73.80% | 16 | | 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $679 | 73.74% | 16 | | 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $679 | 73.86% | 16 | | 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $679 | 74.19% | 16 | | 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $679 | 74.20% | 16 | | 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $679 | 74.11% | 16 | | 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $679 | 73.81% | 16 | | 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $679 | 73.90% | 16 | | 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $679 | 73.89% | 16 | | 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $679 | 73.90% | 16 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 31.9% sunny 9.8% restricted 12.8% Covert 2.0% classified 10.9% extraordinary 15.7% covert knife 7.9% #ffd700 9.0% best hit $1,212 (1.78x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 73.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $73.05 on average: an expected loss of $26.95 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt