---
title: "Mecha Industries mining case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Mecha Industries mining ($0.14) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 65.04% from 6 items with odds, observed 6076.36% over 929 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/mecha
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:24Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [Mecha Industries mining](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/mecha)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · Mecha Industries mining

A case on csgo.net (Battle), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/mecha?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/mecha?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/mecha) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/mecha?window=all)

Price · $0.14

Advertised RTP · 65.04% · EV $0.09 from 6 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 6076.36% · 929 openings, odds method

Variance · 79.5× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 93 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 98.9% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 132 openings · below min

7 days · 6079.29% ±64.01 761 openings

30 days · 6076.36% ±58.02 929 openings

since tracking started · 6076.36% ±58.02 929 openings

64.5% 3104.3% 6144.0%

**Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 65.88% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (6018.35% – 6134.38%, 929 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/mecha?window=24h) | 132 | 3943.94% ±149.8 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/mecha?window=7d) | 761 | 6079.29% ±64.0 | +184.1σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/mecha) | 929 | 6076.36% ±58.0 | +203.1σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/mecha?window=all) | 929 | 6076.36% ±58.0 | +203.1σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 930 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [M4A1-S \| Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mecha-industries-field-tested) | 1 in 9,883 | $107 | 11.9% | 11 | 0.1 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-mecha-industries-field-tested) | 1 in 4,689 | $23.49 | 5.5% | 35 | 0.2 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-field-tested) | 1 in 95 | $5.18 | 59.6% | 202 | 9.7 | 20.74× |
| [SSG 08 \| Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-blue-spruce-field-tested) | 66.8% | $0.03 | 20.5% | 0 | 621.4 | 0.00× |
| [AUG \| Commando Company (Minimal Wear) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-commando-company-minimal-wear) | 20.0% | \<$0.01 | 1.8% | 0 | 186.3 | 0.00× |
| [Tec-9 \| Army Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-army-mesh-field-tested) | 12.1% | \<$0.01 | 0.7% | 0 | 112.3 | 0.00× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[M4A1-S | Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mecha-industries-field-tested) [Mommy](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Mommy) $0.14 $107 766.7x 2026-11-10 06:33 UTC

[M4A1-S | Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mecha-industries-field-tested) [Dream Team nikitosik](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Dream%20Team%20nikitosik) $0.14 $106 756.9x 2026-11-09 13:32 UTC

[M4A1-S | Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mecha-industries-field-tested) [Great27](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Great27) $0.14 $104 740.2x 2026-11-08 21:02 UTC

[M4A1-S | Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mecha-industries-field-tested) [IGROGAME](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/IGROGAME) $0.14 $104 740.2x 2026-11-04 22:17 UTC

[M4A1-S | Mecha Industries weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mecha-industries) [GLADIATOR](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/GLADIATOR) $0.14 $103 739.2x 2026-11-02 23:25 UTC

[M4A1-S | Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mecha-industries-field-tested) [悪いな, 兄弟。](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%E6%82%AA%E3%81%84%E3%81%AA%2C%20%E5%85%84%E5%BC%9F%E3%80%82) $0.14 $103 732.6x 2026-11-05 07:08 UTC

[M4A1-S | Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mecha-industries-field-tested) [Yauja](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Yauja) $0.14 $101 723.9x 2026-11-06 18:53 UTC

[M4A1-S | Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mecha-industries-field-tested) [エレイン](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%E3%82%A8%E3%83%AC%E3%82%A4%E3%83%B3) $0.14 $100 715.6x 2026-11-06 17:06 UTC

[M4A1-S | Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mecha-industries-field-tested) [Wea](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Wea) $0.14 $99.68 712.0x 2026-11-06 09:30 UTC

[M4A1-S | Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mecha-industries-field-tested) [ツNOOB☢ツ](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%E3%83%84NOOB%E2%98%A2%E3%83%84) $0.14 $97.14 693.9x 2026-11-04 07:34 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=mecha)

[Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-field-tested) [VPOPIK](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/VPOPIK) $0.14 $5.14 36.71x 2026-11-11 13:24 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-field-tested) [Methew J](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Methew%20J) $0.14 $5.14 36.71x 2026-11-11 13:21 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-field-tested) [VPOPIK](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/VPOPIK) $0.14 $5.14 36.71x 2026-11-11 13:08 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-field-tested) [VPOPIK](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/VPOPIK) $0.14 $5.14 36.71x 2026-11-11 13:08 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-field-tested) [VPOPIK](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/VPOPIK) $0.14 $5.18 37.00x 2026-11-11 12:53 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-field-tested) [VPOPIK](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/VPOPIK) $0.14 $5.18 37.00x 2026-11-11 12:38 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-field-tested) [VPOPIK](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/VPOPIK) $0.14 $5.18 37.00x 2026-11-11 12:38 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-field-tested) [VPOPIK](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/VPOPIK) $0.14 $5.18 37.00x 2026-11-11 12:36 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-field-tested) [VPOPIK](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/VPOPIK) $0.14 $5.18 37.00x 2026-11-11 12:36 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-field-tested) [fpsharkdev](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/fpsharkdev) $0.14 $5.18 37.00x 2026-11-11 12:34 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $0.14 | 65.04% | 6 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $0.14 | 64.62% | 6 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $0.14 | 64.98% | 6 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $0.14 | 65.36% | 6 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $0.14 | 65.44% | 6 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $0.14 | 65.48% | 6 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $0.14 | 65.55% | 6 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $0.14 | 65.43% | 6 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $0.14 | 65.35% | 6 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $0.14 | 65.96% | 6 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $0.14 | 65.85% | 6 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $0.14 | 65.81% | 6 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $0.14 | 66.06% | 6 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $0.14 | 65.99% | 6 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $0.14 | 65.97% | 6 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $0.14 | 66.00% | 6 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $0.14 | 66.02% | 6 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $0.14 | 66.15% | 6 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $0.14 | 66.05% | 6 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $0.14 | 66.11% | 6 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $0.14 | 66.05% | 6 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $0.14 | 65.84% | 6 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $0.14 | 66.26% | 6 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $0.14 | 66.35% | 6 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $0.14 | 66.15% | 6 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $0.14 | 66.14% | 6 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $0.14 | 65.87% | 6 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $0.14 | 66.04% | 6 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $0.14 | 66.03% | 6 |
| 4 Nov, 14:19 UTC | $0.14 | 66.03% | 6 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.0% classified 0.0% Legendary 1.0% consumer 78.9% #b0c3d9 20.0% best hit $107 (766.7x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 65.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $65.04 on average: an expected loss of $34.96 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt