---
title: "Бесплатный MG case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Бесплатный MG ($0.00) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: no published odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/mg
rendered: 2026-11-11T15:13Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [Бесплатный MG](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/mg)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · Бесплатный MG

A case on csgo.net (Free), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/mg?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/mg?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/mg) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/mg?window=all)

Price · $0.00

Advertised RTP · —

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/mg?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/mg?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/mg) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/mg?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 34 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Glock-18 \| Mirror Mosaic (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-mirror-mosaic-field-tested) | 1 in 9,468 | $4.79 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Searing Rage (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-searing-rage-field-tested) | 1 in 9,379 | $4.54 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Zeus x27 \| Olympus (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-olympus-minimal-wear) | 1 in 9,083 | $3.94 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Black Lotus (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-field-tested) | 1 in 8,867 | $3.64 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Stratosphere (Field-Tested) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-stratosphere-field-tested) | 1 in 8,732 | $3.49 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Phobos (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-phobos-minimal-wear) | 1 in 6,039 | $2.11 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Steel Delta (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-steel-delta-field-tested) | 1 in 5,511 | $1.96 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Pit Viper (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pit-viper-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,119 | $1.18 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Charm \| Lil' Squirt charm · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-squirt) | 1 in 2,018 | $1.15 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Re-Entry (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-re-entry-field-tested) | 1 in 2,034 | $1.15 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Ticket to Hell (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ticket-to-hell-minimal-wear) | 1 in 990 | $0.87 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Serpent Strike (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-serpent-strike-minimal-wear) | 1 in 495 | $0.67 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Charm \| Chicken Lil' charm · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-chicken-lil) | 1 in 429 | $0.63 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [UMP-45 \| Continuum (Well-Worn) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-continuum-well-worn) | 1 in 166 | $0.45 | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Carnivore (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-carnivore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 163 | $0.44 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Wintergreen (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wintergreen-field-tested) | 1 in 160 | $0.44 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP7 \| Just Smile (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-just-smile-field-tested) | 1 in 115 | $0.39 | 2.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [UMP-45 \| Arctic Wolf (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-arctic-wolf-field-tested) | 1 in 96 | $0.36 | 3.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| 27 (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-27-minimal-wear) | 1 in 86 | $0.34 | 3.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Classic Crate (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-classic-crate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 65 | $0.31 | 3.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| Valence (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-valence-field-tested) | 1 in 62 | $0.30 | 4.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Red Quartz (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-red-quartz-minimal-wear) | 1 in 41 | $0.25 | 5.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Scumbria (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-scumbria-well-worn) | 1 in 35 | $0.23 | 5.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Calligraffiti (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-calligraffiti-well-worn) | 1 in 29 | $0.21 | 6.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Charm \| Pocket AWP charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-pocket-awp) | 1 in 12 | $0.10 | 6.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Trigger Discipline (Field-Tested) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-trigger-discipline-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $0.09 | 6.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Charm \| Biomech charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-biomech) | 1 in 12 | $0.09 | 6.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Death Rattle (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-death-rattle-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $0.09 | 6.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Meow 36 (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-meow-36-well-worn) | 1 in 12 | $0.07 | 5.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P2000 \| Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $0.07 | 4.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P2000 \| Red Wing (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-red-wing-well-worn) | 1 in 12 | $0.06 | 4.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP9 \| Nexus (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-nexus-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $0.06 | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SG 553 \| Cyberforce (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-cyberforce-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $0.06 | 4.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Destroyer (Field-Tested) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-destroyer-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $0.06 | 4.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=mg)

[MP9 | Nexus (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-nexus-field-tested) [Fortune Or Fate](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Fortune%20Or%20Fate) $0 $0.06 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:08 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Scumbria (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-scumbria-well-worn) [31 rus](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/31%20rus) $0 $0.23 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:08 UTC

[Charm | Biomech charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-biomech) [31 rus](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/31%20rus) $0 $0.09 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:08 UTC

[Tec-9 | Red Quartz (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-red-quartz-minimal-wear) [Fortune Or Fate](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Fortune%20Or%20Fate) $0 $0.26 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:08 UTC

[Tec-9 | Red Quartz (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-red-quartz-minimal-wear) [Fortune Or Fate](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Fortune%20Or%20Fate) $0 $0.26 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:07 UTC

[UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-arctic-wolf-field-tested) [Wave gordo](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Wave%20gordo) $0 $0.36 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:06 UTC

[Charm | Pocket AWP charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-pocket-awp) [Wave gordo](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Wave%20gordo) $0 $0.11 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:06 UTC

[FAMAS | Meow 36 (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-meow-36-well-worn) [Wave gordo](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Wave%20gordo) $0 $0.07 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:06 UTC

[MAC-10 | Classic Crate (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-classic-crate-minimal-wear) [Fox](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Fox) $0 $0.31 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:04 UTC

[Charm | Biomech charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-biomech) [Zfire7](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Zfire7) $0 $0.09 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:04 UTC

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC | $0 | — | 34 |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $0 | — | 34 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $0 | — | 36 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $0 | — | 35 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $0 | — | 34 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $0 | — | 35 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $0 | — | 34 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $0 | — | 35 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $0 | — | 35 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $0 | — | 34 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $0 | — | 34 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $0 | — | 34 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $0 | — | 34 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $0 | — | 34 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $0 | — | 34 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $0 | — | 35 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $0 | — | 34 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $0 | — | 34 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $0 | — | 35 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $0 | — | 35 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $0 | — | 35 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $0 | — | 35 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $0 | — | 34 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $0 | — | 35 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $0 | — | 36 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $0 | — | 35 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $0 | — | 35 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $0 | — | 35 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $0 | — | 35 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $0 | — | 36 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed 1 8.1% pink 0.0% Legendary 0.0% Classified 0.0% #8847ff 1.3% Rare 8.1% restricted 2.5% #d32ce6 0.0% violet 0.0% Mythical 1.0% uncommon 0.2% common 8.8% milspec 17.2% #4b69ff 31.8% blue 11.0% mil spec 1.5% industrial 8.4%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** Every case pays out less than it costs on average; the rare items carry most of the advertised value and most openings return a fraction of the price. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt