---
title: "Monsters case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Monsters ($0.41) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 75.69% from 35 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/monsters
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:52Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [Monsters](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/monsters)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · Monsters

A case on csgo.net, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/monsters?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/monsters?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/monsters) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/monsters?window=all)

Price · $0.41

Advertised RTP · 75.69% · EV $0.31 from 35 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 1.0× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 25.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 75.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/monsters?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/monsters?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/monsters) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/monsters?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 35 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [FAMAS \| Roll Cage (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-roll-cage-field-tested) | 1 in 199,403 | $99.71 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Nightwish (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-minimal-wear) | 1 in 197,435 | $61.12 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Chromatic Aberration (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chromatic-aberration-field-tested) | 1 in 183,188 | $31.85 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP7 \| Bloodsport (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-field-tested) | 1 in 180,995 | $30.45 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Temukau (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-field-tested) | 1 in 178,802 | $29.25 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 177,547 | $28.62 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Turbo Peek (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-turbo-peek-field-tested) | 1 in 117,253 | $16.13 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Fever Dream (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 78,271 | $12.40 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| Muertos (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-muertos-minimal-wear) | 1 in 76,584 | $12.25 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Xiangliu (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-xiangliu-field-tested) | 1 in 69,421 | $11.63 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [G3SG1 \| The Executioner (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-the-executioner-field-tested) | 1 in 62,979 | $11.08 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-rapid-eye-movement-minimal-wear) | 1 in 16,461 | $6.42 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| POP AWP (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pop-awp-minimal-wear) | 1 in 12,703 | $5.85 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Disco Tech (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-disco-tech-field-tested) | 1 in 11,682 | $5.68 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Evil Daimyo (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-evil-daimyo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,162 | $4.27 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SG 553 \| Cyrex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-cyrex-field-tested) | 1 in 5,139 | $4.26 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Slate (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-field-tested) | 1 in 3,607 | $3.77 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P90 \| Nostalgia (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-nostalgia-field-tested) | 1 in 3,405 | $3.70 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Vogue (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-field-tested) | 1 in 2,984 | $3.53 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Urban Hazard (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-urban-hazard-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,010 | $2.44 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Red Astor (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-red-astor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 363 | $1.71 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAG-7 \| Core Breach (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-core-breach-field-tested) | 1 in 99 | $1.07 | 3.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Uncharted (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-uncharted-field-tested) | 1 in 27 | $0.63 | 7.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [UMP-45 \| Moonrise (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-moonrise-minimal-wear) | 1 in 23 | $0.59 | 8.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SG 553 \| Darkwing (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-darkwing-field-tested) | 1 in 21 | $0.56 | 8.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Violent Daimyo (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-violent-daimyo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 19 | $0.53 | 8.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Signal (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-signal-field-tested) | 1 in 18 | $0.51 | 9.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Sakkaku (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-sakkaku-well-worn) | 10.0% | $0.35 | 11.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Survivor Z (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-survivor-z-field-tested) | 10.9% | $0.32 | 11.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| Verdigris (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-verdigris-field-tested) | 12.3% | $0.28 | 10.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Red Quartz (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-red-quartz-minimal-wear) | 13.1% | $0.25 | 10.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [PP-Bizon \| Runic (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-runic-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $0.07 | 1.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SG 553 \| Ol' Rusty (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-ol-rusty-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $0.06 | 1.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SCAR-20 \| Fragments (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-fragments-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $0.06 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP7 \| Sunbaked (Field-Tested) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-sunbaked-field-tested) | 1 in 16 | $0.05 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=monsters)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $0.41 | 75.69% | 35 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $0.41 | 75.47% | 35 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $0.41 | 75.50% | 35 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $0.41 | 75.78% | 35 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $0.41 | 76.09% | 35 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $0.41 | 76.14% | 35 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $0.41 | 76.23% | 35 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $0.41 | 76.21% | 35 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $0.41 | 76.12% | 35 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $0.41 | 76.65% | 35 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $0.41 | 76.63% | 35 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $0.41 | 76.66% | 35 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $0.41 | 76.60% | 35 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $0.41 | 76.77% | 35 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $0.41 | 76.66% | 35 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $0.41 | 76.72% | 35 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $0.41 | 76.55% | 35 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $0.41 | 76.58% | 35 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $0.41 | 76.52% | 35 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $0.41 | 76.68% | 35 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $0.41 | 76.66% | 35 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $0.41 | 76.78% | 35 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $0.41 | 77.06% | 35 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $0.41 | 77.08% | 35 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $0.41 | 76.97% | 35 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $0.41 | 76.78% | 35 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $0.41 | 76.81% | 35 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $0.41 | 76.88% | 35 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $0.41 | 76.92% | 35 |
| 4 Nov, 14:19 UTC | $0.41 | 76.94% | 35 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.0% red 0.0% Ancient 0.0% #d32ee6 0.0% classified 0.1% Legendary 0.0% pink 0.0% violet 11.0% restricted 23.2% Mythical 4.7% mil spec 28.5% Rare 3.7% #4b69ff 8.2% milspec 7.2% blue 7.0% Consumer Grade 6.2%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 75.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $75.69 on average: an expected loss of $24.31 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt