---
title: "oldsann case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "oldsann ($3.69) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 75.40% from 36 items with odds, observed 73.90% over 673 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/oldsann
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:58Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [oldsann](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/oldsann)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · oldsann

A case on csgo.net (Blogger), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/oldsann?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/oldsann?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/oldsann) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/oldsann?window=all)

Price · $3.69

Advertised RTP · 75.40% · EV $2.78 from 36 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 73.90% · 673 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.5× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 26.8% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 73.2% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 66 openings · below min

7 days · 74.41% ±5.85 550 openings

30 days · 73.90% ±5.27 673 openings

since tracking started · 73.90% ±5.27 673 openings

47.0% 64.8% 82.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/oldsann?window=24h) | 66 | 64.78% ±16.9 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/oldsann?window=7d) | 550 | 74.41% ±5.85 | −0.6σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/oldsann) | 673 | 73.90% ±5.27 | −0.9σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/oldsann?window=all) | 673 | 73.90% ±5.27 | −0.9σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 36 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 673 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Glock-18 \| Twilight Galaxy (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-twilight-galaxy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 172,294 | $197 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-field-tested) | 1 in 151,329 | $156 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Fade (Field-Tested) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-fade-field-tested) | 1 in 134,798 | $137 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-ultraviolet-field-tested) | 1 in 132,576 | $134 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 103,676 | $110 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Master Piece (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-master-piece-field-tested) | 1 in 88,821 | $99.46 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Blood in the Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 77,127 | $91.77 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| X-Ray (Minimal Wear) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-x-ray-minimal-wear) | 1 in 49,561 | $74.01 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Hellfire (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-well-worn) | 1 in 46,936 | $72.26 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 46,727 | $72.12 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Leet Museo (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-leet-museo-well-worn) | 1 in 37,435 | $65.68 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Nightwish (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-minimal-wear) | 1 in 31,316 | $61.12 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Unhinged (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-unhinged-field-tested) | 1 in 17,881 | $49.41 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13,428 | $44.54 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-ultraviolet-field-tested) | 1 in 11,130 | $41.66 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11,036 | $41.54 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AWP \| Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-redline-field-tested) | 1 in 6,416 | $34.37 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A4 \| In Living Color (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-in-living-color-field-tested) | 1 in 4,838 | $31.18 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [USP-S \| The Traitor (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-the-traitor-field-tested) | 1 in 4,635 | $30.73 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Propaganda (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-propaganda-field-tested) | 1 in 3,465 | $27.82 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-atomic-alloy-field-tested) | 1 in 2,265 | $24.07 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-snack-attack-field-tested) | 1 in 917 | $17.70 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-field-tested) | 1 in 291 | $11.95 | 1.5% | 0 | 2.3 | 0.00× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Xiangliu (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-xiangliu-field-tested) | 1 in 269 | $11.63 | 1.6% | 2 | 2.5 | 0.80× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 182 | $10.15 | 2.0% | 3 | 3.7 | 0.81× |
| [AWP \| Elite Build (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-elite-build-field-tested) | 1 in 151 | $9.52 | 2.3% | 10 | 4.4 | 2.25× |
| [AWP \| POP AWP (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pop-awp-minimal-wear) | 1 in 40 | $5.85 | 5.3% | 9 | 16.9 | 0.53× |
| [AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-field-tested) | 1 in 38 | $5.74 | 5.5% | 27 | 17.8 | 1.52× |
| [AUG \| Momentum (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-momentum-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $5.46 | 5.9% | 21 | 20.2 | 1.04× |
| [FAMAS \| Eye of Athena (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-eye-of-athena-field-tested) | 1 in 28 | $5.13 | 6.5% | 23 | 23.7 | 0.97× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Devourer (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-devourer-field-tested) | 1 in 28 | $5.10 | 6.6% | 6 | 24.1 | 0.25× |
| [AWP \| Exoskeleton (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exoskeleton-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $4.60 | 7.6% | 27 | 31.0 | 0.87× |
| [M4A1-S \| Control Panel (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-control-panel-well-worn) | 1 in 21 | $4.55 | 7.7% | 27 | 31.8 | 0.85× |
| [MAG-7 \| BI83 Spectrum (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-bi83-spectrum-field-tested) | 23.8% | $1.75 | 15.0% | 150 | 160.2 | 0.94× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Naga (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-naga-field-tested) | 24.3% | $1.71 | 14.9% | 181 | 163.4 | 1.11× |
| [Glock-18 \| Grinder (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-grinder-minimal-wear) | 25.1% | $1.63 | 14.7% | 149 | 169.1 | 0.88× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=oldsann)

[Desert Eagle | Naga (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-naga-field-tested) [julinha safada SKINS](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/julinha%20safada%20SKINS) $3.69 $1.70 0.46x 2026-11-11 13:46 UTC

[MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-bi83-spectrum-field-tested) [P1NKMAN](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/P1NKMAN) $3.69 $1.74 0.47x 2026-11-11 12:45 UTC

[MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-bi83-spectrum-field-tested) [P1NKMAN](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/P1NKMAN) $3.69 $1.74 0.47x 2026-11-11 12:45 UTC

[Glock-18 | Grinder (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-grinder-minimal-wear) [NemK1NG](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/NemK1NG) $3.69 $1.77 0.48x 2026-11-11 12:06 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Naga (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-naga-field-tested) [,,N!ppL3"](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%2C%2CN!ppL3%22) $3.69 $1.71 0.46x 2026-11-11 10:55 UTC

[MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-bi83-spectrum-field-tested) [,,N!ppL3"](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%2C%2CN!ppL3%22) $3.69 $1.74 0.47x 2026-11-11 10:55 UTC

[AWP | Exoskeleton (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exoskeleton-field-tested) [,,N!ppL3"](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%2C%2CN!ppL3%22) $3.69 $4.61 1.25x 2026-11-11 10:54 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Naga (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-naga-field-tested) [,,N!ppL3"](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%2C%2CN!ppL3%22) $3.69 $1.71 0.46x 2026-11-11 10:54 UTC

[M4A1-S | Control Panel (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-control-panel-well-worn) [,,N!ppL3"](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%2C%2CN!ppL3%22) $3.69 $4.56 1.24x 2026-11-11 10:53 UTC

[Glock-18 | Grinder (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-grinder-minimal-wear) [,,N!ppL3"](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%2C%2CN!ppL3%22) $3.69 $1.77 0.48x 2026-11-11 10:53 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $3.69 | 75.40% | 36 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $3.69 | 75.23% | 36 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $3.69 | 75.22% | 37 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $3.69 | 75.49% | 36 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $3.69 | 75.88% | 36 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $3.69 | 75.88% | 36 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $3.69 | 75.88% | 36 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $3.69 | 75.94% | 36 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $3.69 | 75.95% | 36 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $3.69 | 76.37% | 36 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $3.69 | 76.39% | 36 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $3.69 | 76.35% | 36 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $3.69 | 76.42% | 36 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $3.69 | 76.37% | 36 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $3.69 | 76.38% | 36 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $3.69 | 76.44% | 36 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $3.69 | 76.37% | 36 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $3.69 | 76.38% | 36 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $3.69 | 76.38% | 36 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $3.69 | 76.38% | 36 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $3.69 | 76.30% | 36 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $3.69 | 76.43% | 36 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $3.69 | 76.74% | 36 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $3.69 | 76.82% | 36 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $3.69 | 76.66% | 36 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $3.69 | 76.43% | 36 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $3.69 | 76.48% | 36 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $3.69 | 76.50% | 36 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $3.69 | 76.50% | 36 |
| 4 Nov, 14:19 UTC | $3.69 | 76.42% | 36 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed classified 16.0% covert 0.0% epic 0.0% covert knife 0.0% #eb4b4b 0.0% Covert 0.0% red 0.0% extraordinary 0.0% Ancient 0.0% #d32ee6 2.7% Legendary 0.4% restricted 29.4% violet 2.5% #8847ff 23.8% Mythical 25.1% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 75.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $75.40 on average: an expected loss of $24.60 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt