---
title: "Operation #2 case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Operation #2 ($0.54) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 73.36% from 30 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/operation2
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:24Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [Operation #2](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/operation2)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · Operation #2

A case on csgo.net, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/operation2?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/operation2?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/operation2) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/operation2?window=all)

Price · $0.54

Advertised RTP · 73.36% · EV $0.40 from 30 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 0.8× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 32.8% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 88.3% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/operation2?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/operation2?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/operation2) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/operation2?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 30 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AWP \| Crakow! (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-crakow-field-tested) | 1 in 9,710 | $19.91 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fairy Tale (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fairy-tale-field-tested) | 1 in 9,698 | $19.63 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| AXIA (Minimal Wear) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-axia-minimal-wear) | 1 in 9,662 | $18.89 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Eco (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-eco-field-tested) | 1 in 8,747 | $11.80 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP7 \| Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-abyssal-apparition-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,339 | $6.44 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sawed-Off \| Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-kiss-love-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,782 | $4.47 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [UMP-45 \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 2,334 | $4.12 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Black Lotus (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-field-tested) | 1 in 1,729 | $3.63 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Vogue (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-field-tested) | 1 in 1,622 | $3.53 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SG 553 \| Integrale (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-integrale-well-worn) | 1 in 1,432 | $3.36 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-field-tested) | 1 in 1,281 | $3.22 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| PAW (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-paw-field-tested) | 1 in 347 | $1.97 | 1.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SG 553 \| Triarch (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-triarch-field-tested) | 1 in 99 | $1.22 | 3.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Avalanche (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-avalanche-well-worn) | 1 in 86 | $1.15 | 3.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Weasel (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-weasel-field-tested) | 1 in 86 | $1.15 | 3.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Saibā Oni (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-saiba-oni-field-tested) | 1 in 46 | $0.87 | 4.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Emphorosaur-S (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-minimal-wear) | 1 in 43 | $0.85 | 4.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Converter (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-converter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 31 | $0.72 | 5.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Block-18 (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-block-18-field-tested) | 1 in 15 | $0.41 | 6.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Sacrifice (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-sacrifice-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14 | $0.36 | 6.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| Cyber Shell (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cyber-shell-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $0.36 | 6.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Sakkaku (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-sakkaku-well-worn) | 1 in 14 | $0.35 | 6.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Urban Rubble (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-urban-rubble-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $0.33 | 6.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Etch Lord (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-etch-lord-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $0.33 | 6.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| VariCamo (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-varicamo-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $0.30 | 5.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Calligraffiti (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-calligraffiti-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $0.30 | 5.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Charm \| Lil' Squatch charm · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-squatch) | 1 in 13 | $0.29 | 5.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Off World (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-off-world-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $0.26 | 5.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| Move It sticker · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-move-it) | 1 in 14 | $0.20 | 3.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Triqua (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-triqua-well-worn) | 1 in 14 | $0.18 | 3.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=operation2)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $0.54 | 73.36% | 30 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $0.54 | 73.14% | 28 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $0.54 | 73.10% | 28 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $0.54 | 73.43% | 29 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $0.54 | 73.74% | 28 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $0.54 | 73.74% | 29 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $0.54 | 73.74% | 28 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $0.54 | 73.77% | 29 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $0.54 | 73.81% | 29 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $0.54 | 74.20% | 29 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $0.54 | 74.23% | 29 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $0.54 | 74.21% | 29 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $0.54 | 74.23% | 29 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $0.54 | 74.27% | 29 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $0.54 | 74.22% | 28 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $0.54 | 74.23% | 29 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $0.54 | 74.16% | 29 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $0.54 | 74.24% | 29 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $0.54 | 74.21% | 29 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $0.54 | 74.25% | 29 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $0.54 | 74.18% | 29 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $0.54 | 74.29% | 29 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $0.54 | 74.62% | 29 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $0.54 | 74.66% | 29 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $0.54 | 74.54% | 29 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $0.54 | 74.28% | 29 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $0.54 | 74.35% | 28 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $0.54 | 74.34% | 28 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $0.54 | 74.33% | 29 |
| 4 Nov, 14:19 UTC | $0.54 | 74.34% | 28 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed pink 0.1% Legendary 0.2% rare 0.0% classified 0.1% Mythical 1.5% restricted 2.2% #8847ff 19.4% mil spec 10.4% violet 21.5% Rare 15.1% #4b69ff 22.3% blue 7.2%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 73.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $73.36 on average: an expected loss of $26.64 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt