---
title: "Операции case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Операции ($6.79) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 64.43% from 45 items with odds, observed 68.54% over 2,882 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/operations
rendered: 2026-11-11T14:27Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [Операции](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/operations)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · Операции

A case on csgo.net, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/operations?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/operations?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/operations) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/operations?window=all)

Price · $6.79

Advertised RTP · 64.43% · EV $4.37 from 45 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 68.54% · 2,882 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.5× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 36.3% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 92.4% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 67.11% ±8.07 284 openings

7 days · 68.07% ±2.83 2,492 openings

30 days · 68.54% ±2.64 2,882 openings

since tracking started · 68.54% ±2.64 2,882 openings

58.5% 67.3% 76.0%

**Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 65.23% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (65.90% – 71.18%, 2,882 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/operations?window=24h) | 284 | 67.11% ±8.07 | +0.7σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/operations?window=7d) | 2,492 | 68.07% ±2.83 | +2.0σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/operations) | 2,882 | 68.54% ±2.64 | +2.5σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/operations?window=all) | 2,882 | 68.54% ±2.64 | +2.5σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 45 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,886 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Karambit \| Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-ultraviolet-minimal-wear) | 1 in 193,583 | $592 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 185,193 | $441 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Dragonfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-minimal-wear) | 1 in 113,158 | $208 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Target Acquired (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-target-acquired-field-tested) | 1 in 93,603 | $182 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Cobalt Skulls (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-cobalt-skulls-field-tested) | 1 in 89,747 | $177 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Cyrex (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-cyrex-field-tested) | 1 in 89,461 | $177 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P90 \| Asiimov (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-asiimov-minimal-wear) | 1 in 79,091 | $165 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Silk Tiger (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-silk-tiger-field-tested) | 1 in 77,034 | $163 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-field-tested) | 1 in 71,668 | $156 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-field-tested) | 1 in 40,148 | $120 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-minimal-wear) | 1 in 36,878 | $116 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Neon Rider (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-neon-rider-minimal-wear) | 1 in 36,523 | $115 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 35,327 | $114 | 0.1% | 2 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 31,615 | $109 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Master Piece (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-master-piece-field-tested) | 1 in 25,138 | $99.46 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Jaguar (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jaguar-minimal-wear) | 1 in 23,773 | $97.36 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Wasteland Rebel (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-wasteland-rebel-field-tested) | 1 in 22,439 | $95.26 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AWP \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 21,586 | $93.88 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Polygon (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-polygon-field-tested) | 1 in 15,718 | $83.52 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Mogul (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-mogul-field-tested) | 1 in 10,964 | $73.41 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Leet Museo (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-leet-museo-well-worn) | 1 in 7,989 | $65.68 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-field-tested) | 1 in 6,438 | $60.93 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,280 | $56.89 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-field-tested) | 1 in 5,193 | $56.56 | 0.2% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,588 | $44.54 | 0.4% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.79× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,110 | $41.54 | 0.4% | 6 | 1.4 | 4.39× |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,867 | $39.83 | 0.5% | 4 | 1.5 | 2.59× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Bright Water (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-bright-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,687 | $38.48 | 0.5% | 4 | 1.7 | 2.34× |
| [AWP \| Chrome Cannon (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chrome-cannon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,037 | $32.57 | 0.7% | 4 | 2.8 | 1.44× |
| [AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-legion-of-anubis-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,024 | $32.43 | 0.7% | 8 | 2.8 | 2.84× |
| [AWP \| Chromatic Aberration (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chromatic-aberration-field-tested) | 1 in 972 | $31.85 | 0.7% | 4 | 3.0 | 1.35× |
| [FAMAS \| Commemoration (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-field-tested) | 1 in 782 | $29.56 | 0.9% | 1 | 3.7 | 0.27× |
| [M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 712 | $28.62 | 0.9% | 3 | 4.1 | 0.74× |
| [M4A1-S \| Guardian (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-guardian-field-tested) | 1 in 343 | $22.19 | 1.5% | 7 | 8.4 | 0.83× |
| [AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-field-tested) | 1 in 64 | $11.95 | 4.3% | 43 | 45.2 | 0.95× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 43 | $10.15 | 5.4% | 68 | 67.5 | 1.01× |
| [P250 \| Cartel (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cartel-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $9.91 | 5.6% | 55 | 71.4 | 0.77× |
| [AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $5.74 | 9.6% | 232 | 210.3 | 1.10× |
| [AUG \| Death by Puppy (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-death-by-puppy-field-tested) | 10.6% | $4.23 | 10.3% | 282 | 306.1 | 0.92× |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-field-tested) | 10.8% | $4.15 | 10.2% | 305 | 311.7 | 0.98× |
| [Glock-18 \| Vogue (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-field-tested) | 12.2% | $3.53 | 9.8% | 314 | 351.1 | 0.89× |
| [P250 \| Visions (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-visions-field-tested) | 12.4% | $3.39 | 9.6% | 345 | 359.1 | 0.96× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Dezastre (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-dezastre-well-worn) | 12.7% | $3.24 | 9.4% | 236 | 366.5 | 0.64× |
| [FAMAS \| ZX Spectron (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-zx-spectron-field-tested) | 13.1% | $2.95 | 8.8% | 336 | 378.3 | 0.89× |
| [FAMAS \| Sergeant (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-sergeant-field-tested) | 13.3% | $2.38 | 7.3% | 375 | 384.8 | 0.97× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=operations)

[Dual Berettas | Dezastre (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-dezastre-well-worn) [Bilendor](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Bilendor) $6.79 $3.25 0.48x 2026-11-11 13:49 UTC

[Glock-18 | Vogue (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-field-tested) [What's up man](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/What's%20up%20man) $6.79 $3.53 0.52x 2026-11-11 13:27 UTC

[FAMAS | ZX Spectron (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-zx-spectron-field-tested) [Methew J](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Methew%20J) $6.79 $2.85 0.42x 2026-11-11 13:17 UTC

[AUG | Death by Puppy (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-death-by-puppy-field-tested) [Bilendor](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Bilendor) $6.79 $4.23 0.62x 2026-11-11 13:03 UTC

[AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-field-tested) [Сельский Слесарь](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%A1%D0%B5%D0%BB%D1%8C%D1%81%D0%BA%D0%B8%D0%B9%20%D0%A1%D0%BB%D0%B5%D1%81%D0%B0%D1%80%D1%8C) $6.79 $5.74 0.85x 2026-11-11 12:55 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Dezastre (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-dezastre-well-worn) [В нереальной зоне](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%92%20%D0%BD%D0%B5%D1%80%D0%B5%D0%B0%D0%BB%D1%8C%D0%BD%D0%BE%D0%B9%20%D0%B7%D0%BE%D0%BD%D0%B5) $6.79 $3.53 0.52x 2026-11-11 12:53 UTC

[AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-field-tested) [Сельский Слесарь](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%A1%D0%B5%D0%BB%D1%8C%D1%81%D0%BA%D0%B8%D0%B9%20%D0%A1%D0%BB%D0%B5%D1%81%D0%B0%D1%80%D1%8C) $6.79 $4.15 0.61x 2026-11-11 12:45 UTC

[AUG | Death by Puppy (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-death-by-puppy-field-tested) [Сельский Слесарь](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%A1%D0%B5%D0%BB%D1%8C%D1%81%D0%BA%D0%B8%D0%B9%20%D0%A1%D0%BB%D0%B5%D1%81%D0%B0%D1%80%D1%8C) $6.79 $4.24 0.62x 2026-11-11 12:44 UTC

[FAMAS | ZX Spectron (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-zx-spectron-field-tested) [Сельский Слесарь](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%A1%D0%B5%D0%BB%D1%8C%D1%81%D0%BA%D0%B8%D0%B9%20%D0%A1%D0%BB%D0%B5%D1%81%D0%B0%D1%80%D1%8C) $6.79 $2.89 0.43x 2026-11-11 12:44 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Dezastre (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-dezastre-well-worn) [🩶L,E,K,A🩶](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%F0%9F%A9%B6L%2CE%2CK%2CA%F0%9F%A9%B6) $6.79 $3.53 0.52x 2026-11-11 12:35 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $6.79 | 64.43% | 45 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $6.79 | 64.34% | 45 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $6.79 | 64.32% | 46 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $6.79 | 64.56% | 45 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $6.79 | 64.84% | 45 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $6.79 | 64.82% | 45 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $6.79 | 64.83% | 46 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $6.79 | 64.86% | 46 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $6.79 | 64.93% | 46 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $6.79 | 65.30% | 45 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $6.79 | 65.29% | 45 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $6.79 | 65.26% | 45 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $6.79 | 65.30% | 45 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $6.79 | 65.26% | 45 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $6.79 | 65.31% | 45 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $6.79 | 65.33% | 45 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $6.79 | 65.29% | 45 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $6.79 | 65.27% | 45 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $6.79 | 65.28% | 45 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $6.79 | 65.30% | 45 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $6.79 | 65.23% | 45 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $6.79 | 65.33% | 45 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $6.79 | 65.63% | 45 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $6.79 | 65.65% | 45 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $6.79 | 65.54% | 45 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $6.79 | 65.29% | 45 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $6.79 | 65.39% | 45 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $6.79 | 65.34% | 45 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $6.79 | 65.37% | 45 |
| 4 Nov, 14:19 UTC | $6.79 | 65.34% | 45 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.4% sunny 0.0% classified 14.9% extraordinary 0.0% Covert 0.0% red 0.0% Ancient 0.4% restricted 2.3% #d32ee6 7.3% Legendary 23.0% pink 12.4% violet 12.7% #8847ff 26.4% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 64.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $64.43 on average: an expected loss of $35.57 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt