---
title: "Operation Winner case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Operation Winner ($0.00) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: no published odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/operationwinner
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:39Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [Operation Winner](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/operationwinner)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · Operation Winner

A case on csgo.net, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/operationwinner?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/operationwinner?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/operationwinner) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/operationwinner?window=all)

Price · $0.00

Advertised RTP · —

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/operationwinner?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/operationwinner?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/operationwinner) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/operationwinner?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 45 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Bloodhound Gloves \| Guerrilla (Field-Tested) gloves · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-guerrilla-field-tested) | 1 in 4,257 | $146 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-ultraviolet-field-tested) | 1 in 4,088 | $134 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 3,045 | $94.23 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 3,032 | $93.88 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-ultraviolet-field-tested) | 1 in 2,396 | $78.93 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Night (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-night-field-tested) | 1 in 2,073 | $72.24 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Kukri Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 2,055 | $71.89 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Jade (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-jade-field-tested) | 1 in 1,768 | $66.21 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-ultraviolet-field-tested) | 1 in 1,674 | $64.36 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Nightwish (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,509 | $61.12 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-field-tested) | 1 in 1,499 | $60.93 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP9 \| Starlight Protector (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-starlight-protector-field-tested) | 1 in 1,331 | $57.58 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| POW! (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-pow-field-tested) | 1 in 1,327 | $57.50 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Bright Water (Minimal Wear) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-bright-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,185 | $54.60 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Angry Mob (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-angry-mob-field-tested) | 1 in 1,020 | $51.14 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Unhinged (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-unhinged-field-tested) | 1 in 941 | $49.41 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Bad Trip (Minimal Wear) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-bad-trip-minimal-wear) | 1 in 790 | $45.94 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Queen Jaguar (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-queen-jaguar-field-tested) | 1 in 765 | $45.35 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-boreal-forest-field-tested) | 1 in 690 | $43.48 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Vaporwave (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-vaporwave-field-tested) | 1 in 681 | $43.24 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 615 | $41.54 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 582 | $40.63 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 530 | $39.17 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 352 | $33.46 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Stalker (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-stalker-field-tested) | 1 in 332 | $32.71 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| In Living Color (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-in-living-color-field-tested) | 1 in 293 | $31.18 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP7 \| Bloodsport (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-field-tested) | 1 in 275 | $30.45 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Temukau (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-field-tested) | 1 in 248 | $29.25 | 1.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Hydra Gloves \| Mangrove (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-mangrove-field-tested) | 1 in 223 | $28.12 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-snack-attack-field-tested) | 1 in 69 | $17.70 | 3.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Turbo Peek (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-turbo-peek-field-tested) | 1 in 56 | $16.13 | 3.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Hellish (Field-Tested) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellish-field-tested) | 1 in 41 | $14.00 | 4.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 31 | $12.23 | 4.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-leaded-glass-minimal-wear) | 1 in 27 | $11.22 | 4.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P90 \| Shapewood (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-shapewood-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $9.26 | 5.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Nouveau Rouge (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nouveau-rouge-field-tested) | 1 in 15 | $7.60 | 5.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Party Animal (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-party-animal-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $7.19 | 5.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [1st Lieutenant Farlow \| SWAT agent · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/1st-lieutenant-farlow-swat) | 1 in 14 | $6.99 | 5.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Ice Coaled (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-ice-coaled-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $6.49 | 5.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Nightmare (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nightmare-well-worn) | 1 in 13 | $6.32 | 5.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $5.74 | 5.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| The Outsiders (Field-Tested) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-outsiders-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $5.45 | 5.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Spider Lily (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-spider-lily-well-worn) | 1 in 12 | $5.20 | 5.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Mirror Mosaic (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-mirror-mosaic-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $5.05 | 5.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $4.15 | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=operationwinner)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $0 | — | 45 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $0 | — | 45 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $0 | — | 45 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $0 | — | 45 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $0 | — | 45 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $0 | — | 45 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $0 | — | 45 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $0 | — | 45 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $0 | — | 45 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $0 | — | 45 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $0 | — | 45 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $0 | — | 45 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $0 | — | 45 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $0 | — | 45 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $0 | — | 45 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $0 | — | 45 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $0 | — | 45 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $0 | — | 45 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $0 | — | 45 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $0 | — | 44 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $0 | — | 45 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $0 | — | 43 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $0 | — | 44 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $0 | — | 44 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $0 | — | 44 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $0 | — | 44 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $0 | — | 44 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $0 | — | 44 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $0 | — | 44 |
| 4 Nov, 14:19 UTC | $0 | — | 44 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed gold 0.1% covert knife 0.2% covert 2.0% extraordinary 0.8% rare 10.8% red 0.2% Ancient 0.6% Immortal 0.1% uncommon 0.1% classified 16.7% #d32ee6 9.9% pink 41.2% restricted 8.5% Legendary 8.7%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** Every case pays out less than it costs on average; the rare items carry most of the advertised value and most openings return a fraction of the price. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt