---
title: "Overpass 2024 case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Overpass 2024 ($6.79) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 76.22% from 6 items with odds, observed 98.91% over 23 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/overpass2024
rendered: 2026-11-11T20:40Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [Overpass 2024](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/overpass2024)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · Overpass 2024

A case on csgo.net (Collection), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/overpass2024?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/overpass2024?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/overpass2024) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/overpass2024?window=all)

Price · $6.79

Advertised RTP · 76.22% · EV $5.18 from 6 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 98.91% · 23 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.8× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 32.3% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 67.7% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 6 openings · below min

7 days · 21 openings · below min

30 days · 23 openings · below min

since tracking started · 23 openings · below min

-0.5% 69.0% 138.5%

**Small sample.** 23 openings and 7.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/overpass2024?window=24h) | 6 | 66.45% ±71.2 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/overpass2024?window=7d) | 21 | 82.05% ±37.4 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/overpass2024) | 23 | 98.91% ±36.1 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/overpass2024?window=all) | 23 | 98.91% ±36.1 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 23 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AK-47 \| B the Monster (Field-Tested) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-b-the-monster-field-tested) | 1 in 332 | $61.61 | 3.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AWP \| Crakow! (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-crakow-field-tested) | 1 in 16 | $20.17 | 25.0% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.68× |
| [Zeus x27 \| Dragon Snore (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-dragon-snore-field-tested) | 25.6% | $9.63 | 47.7% | 10 | 5.9 | 1.70× |
| [XM1014 \| Monster Melt (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-monster-melt-field-tested) | 25.4% | $2.08 | 10.2% | 5 | 5.8 | 0.85× |
| [AUG \| Eye of Zapems (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-eye-of-zapems-field-tested) | 21.1% | $1.66 | 6.8% | 6 | 4.9 | 1.24× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Sweet Little Angels (Field-Tested) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-sweet-little-angels-field-tested) | 21.1% | $1.65 | 6.7% | 0 | 4.9 | 0.00× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=overpass2024)

[XM1014 | Monster Melt (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-monster-melt-field-tested) [Nafanya](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Nafanya) $6.79 $2.09 0.31x 2026-11-11 16:43 UTC

[XM1014 | Monster Melt (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-monster-melt-field-tested) [Nafanya](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Nafanya) $6.79 $2.09 0.31x 2026-11-11 16:43 UTC

[XM1014 | Monster Melt (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-monster-melt-field-tested) [ЗахарЗубрайло](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%97%D0%B0%D1%85%D0%B0%D1%80%D0%97%D1%83%D0%B1%D1%80%D0%B0%D0%B9%D0%BB%D0%BE) $6.79 $2.02 0.30x 2026-11-11 11:46 UTC

[Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-dragon-snore-field-tested) [ЗахарЗубрайло](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%97%D0%B0%D1%85%D0%B0%D1%80%D0%97%D1%83%D0%B1%D1%80%D0%B0%D0%B9%D0%BB%D0%BE) $6.79 $9.63 1.42x 2026-11-11 11:46 UTC

[Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-dragon-snore-field-tested) [ЗахарЗубрайло](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%97%D0%B0%D1%85%D0%B0%D1%80%D0%97%D1%83%D0%B1%D1%80%D0%B0%D0%B9%D0%BB%D0%BE) $6.79 $9.63 1.42x 2026-11-11 11:46 UTC

[AUG | Eye of Zapems (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-eye-of-zapems-field-tested) [ЗахарЗубрайло](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%97%D0%B0%D1%85%D0%B0%D1%80%D0%97%D1%83%D0%B1%D1%80%D0%B0%D0%B9%D0%BB%D0%BE) $6.79 $1.61 0.24x 2026-11-11 08:26 UTC

[Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-dragon-snore-field-tested) [4öPT](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/4%C3%B6PT) $6.79 $9.49 1.40x 2026-11-10 17:02 UTC

[XM1014 | Monster Melt (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-monster-melt-field-tested) [𝐒𝐌𝟏𝐋𝐄](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%F0%9D%90%92%F0%9D%90%8C%F0%9D%9F%8F%F0%9D%90%8B%F0%9D%90%84) $6.79 $2.08 0.31x 2026-11-10 13:09 UTC

[Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-dragon-snore-field-tested) [23](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/23) $6.79 $9.53 1.40x 2026-11-10 11:55 UTC

[AUG | Eye of Zapems (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-eye-of-zapems-field-tested) [Mijo55](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Mijo55) $6.79 $1.69 0.25x 2026-11-09 22:54 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC | $6.79 | 76.22% | 6 |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $6.79 | 76.00% | 6 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $6.79 | 75.84% | 6 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $6.79 | 75.88% | 6 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $6.79 | 76.11% | 6 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $6.79 | 76.46% | 6 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $6.79 | 76.48% | 6 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $6.79 | 76.43% | 5 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $6.79 | 76.47% | 6 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $6.79 | 76.57% | 6 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $6.79 | 77.02% | 5 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $6.79 | 76.98% | 5 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $6.79 | 76.98% | 5 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $6.79 | 77.00% | 5 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $6.79 | 76.98% | 5 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $6.79 | 76.98% | 15 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $6.79 | 77.01% | 5 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $6.79 | 76.98% | 5 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $6.79 | 77.00% | 15 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $6.79 | 77.02% | 15 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $6.79 | 77.02% | 15 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $6.79 | 76.94% | 5 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $6.79 | 77.05% | 15 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $6.79 | 77.42% | 15 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $6.79 | 77.40% | 15 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $6.79 | 77.34% | 15 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $6.79 | 77.04% | 15 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $6.79 | 77.14% | 5 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $6.79 | 77.10% | 15 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $6.79 | 77.09% | 15 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed rare 0.3% pink 6.4% #d32ce6 25.6% violet 46.6% uncommon 21.1% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 76.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $76.22 on average: an expected loss of $23.78 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt