---
title: "PREDATOR case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "PREDATOR ($6.09) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 76.25% from 39 items with odds, observed 76.63% over 1,140 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/predator
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:24Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [PREDATOR](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/predator)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · PREDATOR

A case on csgo.net (Blogger), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/predator?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/predator?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/predator) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/predator?window=all)

Price · $6.09

Advertised RTP · 76.25% · EV $4.64 from 39 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 76.63% · 1,140 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 26.7% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 86.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 80.34% ±14.97 203 openings

7 days · 76.66% ±7.04 973 openings

30 days · 76.63% ±6.52 1,140 openings

since tracking started · 76.63% ±6.52 1,140 openings

64.5% 80.3% 96.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/predator?window=24h) | 203 | 80.34% ±15.0 | +0.5σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/predator?window=7d) | 973 | 76.66% ±7.04 | −0.1σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/predator) | 1,140 | 76.63% ±6.52 | −0.1σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/predator?window=all) | 1,140 | 76.63% ±6.52 | −0.1σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 39 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,140 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-field-tested) | 1 in 198,411 | $1,149 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 187,611 | $569 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 187,218 | $563 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Nocts (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-nocts-field-tested) | 1 in 181,200 | $489 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 175,206 | $441 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 98,121 | $227 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Dragonfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-minimal-wear) | 1 in 84,804 | $208 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Golden Koi (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-golden-koi-minimal-wear) | 1 in 58,074 | $171 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-field-tested) | 1 in 47,967 | $156 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 19,715 | $110 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-case-hardened-well-worn) | 1 in 19,179 | $109 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mecha-industries-field-tested) | 1 in 18,559 | $107 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Roll Cage (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-roll-cage-field-tested) | 1 in 15,130 | $99.71 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Jaguar (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jaguar-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14,162 | $97.36 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Wasteland Rebel (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-wasteland-rebel-field-tested) | 1 in 13,326 | $95.26 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AWP \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 12,795 | $93.88 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 3,782 | $61.45 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Nightwish (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,722 | $61.12 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-field-tested) | 1 in 2,966 | $56.56 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Hydra Gloves \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 2,442 | $52.94 | 0.5% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,197 | $41.54 | 0.7% | 0 | 1.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,058 | $39.83 | 0.8% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 1,007 | $39.17 | 0.8% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.88× |
| [Glock-18 \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 890 | $37.55 | 0.9% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Transport (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-transport-field-tested) | 1 in 701 | $34.62 | 1.1% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.62× |
| [USP-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 635 | $33.46 | 1.1% | 1 | 1.8 | 0.56× |
| [MAC-10 \| Stalker (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-stalker-field-tested) | 1 in 594 | $32.71 | 1.2% | 3 | 1.9 | 1.56× |
| [AWP \| Chromatic Aberration (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chromatic-aberration-field-tested) | 1 in 550 | $31.85 | 1.2% | 0 | 2.1 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| The Traitor (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-the-traitor-field-tested) | 1 in 495 | $30.73 | 1.3% | 1 | 2.3 | 0.43× |
| [MP7 \| Bloodsport (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-field-tested) | 1 in 482 | $30.45 | 1.4% | 1 | 2.4 | 0.42× |
| [M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 403 | $28.62 | 1.5% | 3 | 2.8 | 1.06× |
| [Tec-9 \| Fuel Injector (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-fuel-injector-minimal-wear) | 1 in 40 | $12.50 | 6.7% | 5 | 28.4 | 0.18× |
| [P250 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 38 | $12.23 | 6.9% | 28 | 30.0 | 0.93× |
| [AUG \| Syd Mead (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-syd-mead-minimal-wear) | 1 in 31 | $11.32 | 7.8% | 33 | 36.5 | 0.90× |
| [M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-leaded-glass-minimal-wear) | 1 in 31 | $11.22 | 7.9% | 48 | 37.3 | 1.29× |
| [AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-field-tested) | 13.2% | $5.74 | 16.3% | 169 | 150.4 | 1.12× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Boost Protocol (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-boost-protocol-field-tested) | 24.3% | $2.93 | 15.3% | 284 | 276.5 | 1.03× |
| [AWP \| Worm God (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-worm-god-minimal-wear) | 24.8% | $2.38 | 12.7% | 272 | 282.2 | 0.96× |
| [Tec-9 \| Remote Control (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-remote-control-well-worn) | 24.3% | $2.11 | 11.1% | 54 | 277.3 | 0.19× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=predator)

[AWP | Worm God (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-worm-god-minimal-wear) [002](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/002) $6.09 $2.34 0.38x 2026-11-11 13:09 UTC

[M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-leaded-glass-minimal-wear) [The Lupa](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/The%20Lupa) $6.09 $10.71 1.76x 2026-11-11 13:07 UTC

[AUG | Syd Mead (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-syd-mead-minimal-wear) [99](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/99) $6.09 $11.40 1.87x 2026-11-11 12:59 UTC

[Tec-9 | Fuel Injector (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-fuel-injector-minimal-wear) [Сырок](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%A1%D1%8B%D1%80%D0%BE%D0%BA) $6.09 $11.45 1.88x 2026-11-11 12:58 UTC

[AWP | Worm God (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-worm-god-minimal-wear) [Сырок](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%A1%D1%8B%D1%80%D0%BE%D0%BA) $6.09 $2.39 0.39x 2026-11-11 12:58 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Boost Protocol (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-boost-protocol-field-tested) [SYND1CAT](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/SYND1CAT) $6.09 $2.97 0.49x 2026-11-11 12:54 UTC

[★ Moto Gloves | Transport (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-transport-field-tested) [SYND1CAT](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/SYND1CAT) $6.09 $34.70 5.70x 2026-11-11 12:54 UTC

[AWP | Worm God (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-worm-god-minimal-wear) [P1NKMAN](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/P1NKMAN) $6.09 $2.39 0.39x 2026-11-11 12:54 UTC

[Tec-9 | Remote Control (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-remote-control-well-worn) [P1NKMAN](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/P1NKMAN) $6.09 $2.36 0.39x 2026-11-11 12:54 UTC

[AWP | Worm God (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-worm-god-minimal-wear) [P1NKMAN](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/P1NKMAN) $6.09 $2.39 0.39x 2026-11-11 12:53 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $6.09 | 76.25% | 39 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $6.09 | 76.06% | 39 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $6.09 | 76.11% | 39 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $6.09 | 76.37% | 39 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $6.09 | 76.72% | 38 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $6.09 | 76.75% | 38 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $6.09 | 76.71% | 38 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $6.09 | 76.73% | 39 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $6.09 | 76.81% | 39 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $6.09 | 77.26% | 39 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $6.09 | 77.23% | 39 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $6.09 | 77.21% | 39 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $6.09 | 77.27% | 39 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $6.09 | 77.28% | 39 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $6.09 | 77.27% | 39 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $6.09 | 77.26% | 39 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $6.09 | 77.22% | 39 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $6.09 | 77.26% | 39 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $6.09 | 77.26% | 38 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $6.09 | 77.27% | 38 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $6.09 | 77.22% | 39 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $6.09 | 77.30% | 38 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $6.09 | 77.68% | 39 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $6.09 | 77.64% | 39 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $6.09 | 77.56% | 39 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $6.09 | 77.30% | 38 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $6.09 | 77.33% | 39 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $6.09 | 77.35% | 39 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $6.09 | 77.36% | 39 |
| 4 Nov, 14:19 UTC | $6.09 | 77.35% | 39 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.9% rare 0.0% extraordinary 0.2% sunny 0.0% covert knife 0.0% red 0.2% Ancient 0.5% classified 5.1% Legendary 3.2% pink 27.6% #d32ee6 13.2% #8847ff 49.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 76.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $76.25 on average: an expected loss of $23.75 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt