---
title: "Princess mining case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Princess mining ($0.07) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 67.92% from 14 items with odds, observed 125.87% over 1,464 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/princessmining
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:37Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [Princess mining](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/princessmining)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · Princess mining

A case on csgo.net, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/princessmining?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/princessmining?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/princessmining) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/princessmining?window=all)

Price · $0.07

Advertised RTP · 67.92% · EV $0.05 from 14 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 125.87% · 1,464 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.4× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 29.1% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 70.9% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 124.52% ±7.10 233 openings

7 days · 125.44% ±3.25 1,275 openings

30 days · 125.87% ±3.01 1,464 openings

since tracking started · 125.87% ±3.01 1,464 openings

67.0% 99.8% 132.5%

**Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 68.59% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (122.86% – 128.88%, 1,464 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/princessmining?window=24h) | 233 | 124.52% ±7.10 | +15.6σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/princessmining?window=7d) | 1,275 | 125.44% ±3.25 | +34.3σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/princessmining) | 1,464 | 125.87% ±3.01 | +37.3σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/princessmining?window=all) | 1,464 | 125.87% ±3.01 | +37.3σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,467 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [P250 \| Franklin (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-franklin-minimal-wear) | 1 in 64,612 | $1.87 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Naga (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-naga-field-tested) | 1 in 53,755 | $1.71 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-field-tested) | 1 in 17,851 | $1.10 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [AWP \| Pit Viper (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pit-viper-field-tested) | 1 in 14,553 | $1.02 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Night Terror (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,587 | $0.68 | 0.3% | 4 | 0.3 | — |
| [XM1014 \| Zombie Offensive (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-zombie-offensive-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,202 | $0.53 | 0.5% | 4 | 0.7 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Buddy (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-buddy-field-tested) | 1 in 1,462 | $0.46 | 0.7% | 4 | 1.0 | 3.99× |
| [Glock-18 \| Umbral Rabbit (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-umbral-rabbit-field-tested) | 1 in 625 | $0.35 | 1.2% | 15 | 2.3 | 6.39× |
| [Charm \| Splatter Cat charm · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-splatter-cat) | 1 in 56 | $0.15 | 5.7% | 39 | 26.1 | 1.50× |
| [Charm \| Baby's AK charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-babys-ak) | 1 in 49 | $0.14 | 6.2% | 67 | 29.9 | 2.24× |
| [FAMAS \| Meow 36 (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-meow-36-minimal-wear) | 1 in 24 | $0.11 | 10.0% | 24 | 62.2 | 0.39× |
| [P250 \| Bullfrog (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-bullfrog-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $0.08 | 16.4% | 338 | 137.8 | 2.45× |
| [XM1014 \| Mockingbird (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-mockingbird-field-tested) | 11.3% | $0.08 | 18.3% | 454 | 166.0 | 2.73× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Forest Night (Minimal Wear) weapon · Consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-forest-night-minimal-wear) | 70.9% | $0.03 | 40.3% | 0 | 1040.4 | 0.00× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=princessmining)

[P250 | Bullfrog (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-bullfrog-field-tested) [LastDay](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/LastDay) $0.07 $0.08 1.19x 2026-11-11 13:12 UTC

[FAMAS | Meow 36 (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-meow-36-minimal-wear) [mulashka228](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/mulashka228) $0.07 $0.07 1.06x 2026-11-11 13:06 UTC

[FAMAS | Meow 36 (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-meow-36-minimal-wear) [mulashka228](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/mulashka228) $0.07 $0.07 1.06x 2026-11-11 13:06 UTC

[Charm | Baby's AK charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-babys-ak) [mulashka228](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/mulashka228) $0.07 $0.16 2.29x 2026-11-11 13:06 UTC

[P250 | Bullfrog (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-bullfrog-field-tested) [💥 ︻デ 一 ⁅r](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%F0%9F%92%A5%20%EF%B8%BB%E3%83%87%20%20%20%E4%B8%80%20%E2%81%85r) $0.07 $0.08 1.19x 2026-11-11 12:52 UTC

[P250 | Bullfrog (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-bullfrog-field-tested) [Ramz](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Ramz) $0.07 $0.08 1.19x 2026-11-11 12:47 UTC

[XM1014 | Mockingbird (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-mockingbird-field-tested) [Ramz](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Ramz) $0.07 $0.08 1.10x 2026-11-11 12:47 UTC

[XM1014 | Mockingbird (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-mockingbird-field-tested) [💥 ︻デ 一 ⁅r](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%F0%9F%92%A5%20%EF%B8%BB%E3%83%87%20%20%20%E4%B8%80%20%E2%81%85r) $0.07 $0.08 1.10x 2026-11-11 12:41 UTC

[XM1014 | Mockingbird (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-mockingbird-field-tested) [💥 ︻デ 一 ⁅r](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%F0%9F%92%A5%20%EF%B8%BB%E3%83%87%20%20%20%E4%B8%80%20%E2%81%85r) $0.07 $0.08 1.10x 2026-11-11 12:41 UTC

[Charm | Splatter Cat charm · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-splatter-cat) [Рулет Ебаный](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%A0%D1%83%D0%BB%D0%B5%D1%82%20%D0%95%D0%B1%D0%B0%D0%BD%D1%8B%D0%B9) $0.07 $0.18 2.61x 2026-11-11 12:18 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $0.07 | 67.92% | 14 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $0.07 | 67.44% | 15 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $0.07 | 67.84% | 15 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $0.07 | 68.11% | 16 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $0.07 | 68.28% | 16 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $0.07 | 68.26% | 15 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $0.07 | 68.21% | 15 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $0.07 | 68.10% | 16 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $0.07 | 68.01% | 16 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $0.07 | 68.74% | 16 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $0.07 | 68.68% | 16 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $0.07 | 68.76% | 16 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $0.07 | 68.63% | 14 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $0.07 | 68.68% | 15 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $0.07 | 68.46% | 15 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $0.07 | 68.87% | 16 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $0.07 | 68.68% | 15 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $0.07 | 68.51% | 15 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $0.07 | 68.44% | 16 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $0.07 | 68.69% | 16 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $0.07 | 68.63% | 15 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $0.07 | 68.89% | 17 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $0.07 | 69.08% | 17 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $0.07 | 69.27% | 14 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $0.07 | 68.86% | 15 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $0.07 | 68.85% | 16 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $0.07 | 68.89% | 16 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $0.07 | 68.92% | 15 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $0.07 | 69.04% | 15 |
| 4 Nov, 14:19 UTC | $0.07 | 68.48% | 16 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed classified 0.0% restricted 0.1% Mythical 0.0% violet 0.2% blue 1.8% Rare 11.4% milspec 4.2% #4b69ff 11.3% Consumer 70.9% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 67.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $67.92 on average: an expected loss of $32.08 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt