---
title: "Prisma 2 Case case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Prisma 2 Case ($0.93) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 76.69% from 16 items with odds, observed 71.57% over 1,225 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/prisma2
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:46Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [Prisma 2 Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/prisma2)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · Prisma 2 Case

A case on csgo.net (Standard), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/prisma2?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/prisma2?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/prisma2) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/prisma2?window=all)

Price · $0.93

Advertised RTP · 76.69% · EV $0.71 from 16 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 71.57% · 1,225 openings, odds method

Variance · 23.0× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 37.3% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 99.2% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 50 openings · below min

7 days · 71.92% ±30.68 914 openings

30 days · 71.57% ±26.38 1,225 openings

since tracking started · 71.57% ±26.38 1,225 openings

-0.5% 97.5% 195.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/prisma2?window=24h) | 50 | 63.48% ±131.6 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/prisma2?window=7d) | 914 | 71.92% ±30.7 | −0.4σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/prisma2) | 1,225 | 71.57% ±26.4 | −0.5σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/prisma2?window=all) | 1,225 | 71.57% ±26.4 | −0.5σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,226 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Bayonet \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 9,999 | $327 | 4.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 9,998 | $283 | 4.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Urban Masked (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-urban-masked-field-tested) | 1 in 9,860 | $67.72 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Bullet Queen (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bullet-queen-field-tested) | 1 in 9,714 | $53.04 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Player Two (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-minimal-wear) | 1 in 9,708 | $52.68 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-field-tested) | 1 in 437 | $5.74 | 1.8% | 5 | 2.8 | 1.78× |
| [MAC-10 \| Disco Tech (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-disco-tech-field-tested) | 1 in 424 | $5.68 | 1.9% | 2 | 2.9 | 0.69× |
| [MAG-7 \| Justice (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-justice-field-tested) | 1 in 318 | $5.11 | 2.3% | 5 | 3.9 | 1.30× |
| [SSG 08 \| Fever Dream (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-fever-dream-field-tested) | 11.5% | $0.90 | 14.5% | 94 | 141.1 | 0.67× |
| [AWP \| Capillary (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-capillary-minimal-wear) | 11.6% | $0.89 | 14.5% | 67 | 142.2 | 0.47× |
| [P2000 \| Acid Etched (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-acid-etched-field-tested) | 13.4% | $0.60 | 11.3% | 188 | 164.2 | 1.14× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Apocalypto (Field-Tested) weapon · 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-apocalypto-field-tested) | 13.4% | $0.59 | 11.1% | 109 | 164.3 | 0.66× |
| [SG 553 \| Darkwing (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-darkwing-field-tested) | 13.4% | $0.56 | 10.5% | 164 | 164.0 | 1.00× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Enforcer (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-enforcer-field-tested) | 13.3% | $0.54 | 10.1% | 184 | 163.5 | 1.13× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Blue Ply (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blue-ply-field-tested) | 11.6% | $0.36 | 5.9% | 98 | 142.1 | 0.69× |
| [AUG \| Tom Cat (Field-Tested) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-tom-cat-field-tested) | 11.0% | $0.33 | 5.1% | 3 | 134.3 | 0.02× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=prisma2)

[SSG 08 | Fever Dream (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-fever-dream-field-tested) [adle08](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/adle08) $0.93 $0.96 1.03x 2026-11-11 13:14 UTC

[SG 553 | Darkwing (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-darkwing-field-tested) [adle08](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/adle08) $0.93 $0.68 0.73x 2026-11-11 13:14 UTC

[SCAR-20 | Enforcer (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-enforcer-field-tested) [adle08](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/adle08) $0.93 $0.55 0.59x 2026-11-11 13:14 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Field-Tested) weapon · 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-apocalypto-field-tested) [5ooN](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/5ooN) $0.93 $0.59 0.63x 2026-11-11 11:51 UTC

[AUG | Tom Cat (Field-Tested) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-tom-cat-field-tested) [Revelation](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Revelation) $0.93 $0.33 0.35x 2026-11-11 11:05 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Blue Ply (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blue-ply-field-tested) [???](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%3F%3F%3F) $0.93 $0.37 0.39x 2026-11-11 09:07 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Blue Ply (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blue-ply-field-tested) [-kZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/-kZ) $0.93 $0.36 0.39x 2026-11-11 04:26 UTC

[AWP | Capillary (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-capillary-minimal-wear) [-kZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/-kZ) $0.93 $0.89 0.96x 2026-11-11 04:26 UTC

[SSG 08 | Fever Dream (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-fever-dream-field-tested) [4 tabua](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/4%20tabua) $0.93 $0.93 1.00x 2026-11-11 02:44 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Field-Tested) weapon · 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-apocalypto-field-tested) [4 tabua](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/4%20tabua) $0.93 $0.58 0.62x 2026-11-11 02:44 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $0.93 | 76.69% | 16 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $0.93 | 76.48% | 15 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $0.93 | 76.55% | 15 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $0.93 | 76.86% | 15 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $0.93 | 77.20% | 15 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $0.93 | 77.13% | 15 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $0.93 | 77.08% | 15 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $0.93 | 77.42% | 15 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $0.93 | 77.28% | 15 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $0.93 | 77.74% | 15 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $0.93 | 77.63% | 15 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $0.93 | 77.83% | 15 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $0.93 | 77.65% | 15 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $0.93 | 77.83% | 16 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $0.93 | 77.68% | 15 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $0.93 | 77.94% | 16 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $0.93 | 77.66% | 15 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $0.93 | 77.63% | 15 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $0.93 | 77.81% | 15 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $0.93 | 77.88% | 16 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $0.93 | 77.76% | 16 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $0.93 | 77.83% | 16 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $0.93 | 78.19% | 15 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $0.93 | 78.19% | 15 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $0.93 | 78.05% | 15 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $0.93 | 77.76% | 15 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $0.93 | 77.80% | 15 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $0.93 | 77.86% | 15 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $0.93 | 77.91% | 16 |
| 4 Nov, 14:19 UTC | $0.93 | 77.96% | 15 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed 3 13.4% covert 0.0% sunny 0.0% covert knife 0.0% #d32ee6 0.2% Legendary 0.2% classified 0.3% #8847ff 11.5% Rare 11.6% Mythical 40.1% #4b69ff 11.6% Mil Spec Grade 11.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 76.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $76.69 on average: an expected loss of $23.31 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt