---
title: "Тыквенное латте case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Тыквенное латте ($4.79) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 75.36% from 30 items with odds, observed 76.55% over 11.6K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/pumpkinlatte
rendered: 2026-11-11T14:09Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [Тыквенное латте](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/pumpkinlatte)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · Тыквенное латте

A case on csgo.net (Battle), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/pumpkinlatte?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/pumpkinlatte?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/pumpkinlatte) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/pumpkinlatte?window=all)

Price · $4.79

Advertised RTP · 75.36% · EV $3.61 from 30 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 76.55% · 11.6K openings, odds method

Variance · 0.5× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 29.3% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 88.3% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 74.09% ±3.70 1,524 openings

7 days · 76.54% ±1.50 9,767 openings

30 days · 76.55% ±1.38 11.6K openings

since tracking started · 76.55% ±1.38 11.6K openings

69.5% 74.0% 78.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/pumpkinlatte?window=24h) | 1,524 | 74.09% ±3.70 | −0.6σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/pumpkinlatte?window=7d) | 9,767 | 76.54% ±1.50 | +0.5σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/pumpkinlatte) | 11.6K | 76.55% ±1.38 | +0.5σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/pumpkinlatte?window=all) | 11.6K | 76.55% ±1.38 | +0.5σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 30 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 11.6K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 9,659 | $147 | 0.4% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.83× |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 9,224 | $110 | 0.3% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.80× |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 8,863 | $95.83 | 0.3% | 4 | 1.3 | 3.06× |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Chocolate Chesterfield (Field-Tested) gloves · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-chocolate-chesterfield-field-tested) | 1 in 8,139 | $79.01 | 0.3% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.70× |
| [AWP \| Sovereign Flame (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-sovereign-flame-well-worn) | 1 in 7,896 | $75.08 | 0.3% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.68× |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-field-tested) | 1 in 6,677 | $60.93 | 0.3% | 4 | 1.7 | 2.30× |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-minimal-wear) | 1 in 6,208 | $56.89 | 0.3% | 0 | 1.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-red-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 4,962 | $47.99 | 0.3% | 1 | 2.3 | 0.43× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-field-tested) | 1 in 3,337 | $38.24 | 0.3% | 7 | 3.5 | 2.01× |
| [USP-S \| The Traitor (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-the-traitor-field-tested) | 1 in 2,074 | $30.73 | 0.4% | 6 | 5.6 | 1.07× |
| [AK-47 \| Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-field-tested) | 1 in 1,122 | $24.00 | 0.6% | 16 | 10.3 | 1.55× |
| [USP-S \| Spiral Glitch (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-spiral-glitch-well-worn) | 1 in 548 | $18.37 | 0.9% | 22 | 21.2 | 1.04× |
| [SSG 08 \| Bloodshot (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-bloodshot-field-tested) | 1 in 472 | $17.39 | 1.0% | 20 | 24.6 | 0.81× |
| [AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-field-tested) | 1 in 170 | $11.95 | 2.0% | 70 | 68.4 | 1.02× |
| [PP-Bizon \| High Roller (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-high-roller-field-tested) | 1 in 109 | $10.11 | 2.6% | 84 | 106.6 | 0.79× |
| [AUG \| Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-bengal-tiger-field-tested) | 1 in 78 | $8.90 | 3.2% | 165 | 148.3 | 1.11× |
| [SG 553 \| Colony IV (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-colony-iv-field-tested) | 1 in 75 | $8.77 | 3.2% | 84 | 153.9 | 0.55× |
| [SSG 08 \| Big Iron (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-big-iron-field-tested) | 1 in 71 | $8.54 | 3.4% | 189 | 164.4 | 1.15× |
| [AWP \| The End (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-end-field-tested) | 1 in 67 | $8.35 | 3.5% | 155 | 173.8 | 0.89× |
| [P250 \| Kintsugi (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-kintsugi-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $5.38 | 6.0% | 470 | 468.0 | 1.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Searing Rage (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-searing-rage-field-tested) | 1 in 19 | $4.63 | 6.8% | 633 | 619.6 | 1.02× |
| [M4A4 \| Evil Daimyo (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-evil-daimyo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 16 | $4.27 | 7.2% | 45 | 708.4 | 0.06× |
| [SG 553 \| Cyrex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-cyrex-field-tested) | 1 in 16 | $4.26 | 7.2% | 732 | 710.1 | 1.03× |
| [Glock-18 \| Vogue (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $3.53 | 7.8% | 856 | 923.3 | 0.93× |
| [M4A1-S \| Stratosphere (Field-Tested) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-stratosphere-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $3.44 | 7.8% | 908 | 954.3 | 0.95× |
| [USP-S \| Cortex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $3.41 | 7.8% | 957 | 962.5 | 0.99× |
| [AWP \| Exothermic (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exothermic-field-tested) | 11.2% | $2.31 | 7.2% | 1,210 | 1301.7 | 0.93× |
| [Tec-9 \| Remote Control (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-remote-control-well-worn) | 11.5% | $2.11 | 6.7% | 572 | 1338.3 | 0.43× |
| [AK-47 \| Breakthrough (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-breakthrough-field-tested) | 11.7% | $1.88 | 6.1% | 1,256 | 1360.8 | 0.92× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mulberry (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mulberry-field-tested) | 11.7% | $1.80 | 5.9% | 1,165 | 1361.9 | 0.86× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=pumpkinlatte)

[SG 553 | Cyrex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-cyrex-field-tested) [КИПЯЩИЙ АНДРЕЙ](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%9A%D0%98%D0%9F%D0%AF%D0%A9%D0%98%D0%99%20%D0%90%D0%9D%D0%94%D0%A0%D0%95%D0%99) $4.79 $4.39 0.92x 2026-11-11 14:09 UTC

[AK-47 | Breakthrough (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-breakthrough-field-tested) [Tatar\_malay](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Tatar_malay) $4.79 $1.88 0.39x 2026-11-11 14:02 UTC

[M4A1-S | Stratosphere (Field-Tested) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-stratosphere-field-tested) [Tatar\_malay](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Tatar_malay) $4.79 $3.47 0.72x 2026-11-11 14:02 UTC

[USP-S | Cortex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-field-tested) [Iwe](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Iwe) $4.79 $3.53 0.74x 2026-11-11 14:01 UTC

[AWP | Exothermic (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exothermic-field-tested) [Mersedes-Benz](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Mersedes-Benz) $4.79 $2.32 0.48x 2026-11-11 13:59 UTC

[AWP | The End (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-end-field-tested) [Mersedes-Benz](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Mersedes-Benz) $4.79 $8.78 1.83x 2026-11-11 13:56 UTC

[M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-evil-daimyo-minimal-wear) [ϟ smaker ϟ](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%CF%9F%20smaker%20%CF%9F) $4.79 $2.79 0.58x 2026-11-11 13:52 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Mulberry (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mulberry-field-tested) [VALERON142RUS](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/VALERON142RUS) $4.79 $1.80 0.38x 2026-11-11 13:50 UTC

[M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-evil-daimyo-minimal-wear) [VALERON142RUS](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/VALERON142RUS) $4.79 $2.79 0.58x 2026-11-11 13:50 UTC

[USP-S | Cortex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-field-tested) [Mersedes-Benz](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Mersedes-Benz) $4.79 $3.53 0.74x 2026-11-11 13:50 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $4.79 | 75.36% | 30 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $4.79 | 75.19% | 30 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $4.79 | 75.19% | 30 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $4.79 | 75.48% | 30 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $4.79 | 75.81% | 30 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $4.79 | 75.81% | 30 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $4.79 | 75.79% | 30 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $4.79 | 75.85% | 30 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $4.79 | 75.92% | 30 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $4.79 | 76.35% | 30 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $4.79 | 76.34% | 30 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $4.79 | 76.28% | 30 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $4.79 | 76.32% | 30 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $4.79 | 76.34% | 30 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $4.79 | 76.38% | 30 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $4.79 | 76.38% | 30 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $4.79 | 76.35% | 30 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $4.79 | 76.36% | 30 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $4.79 | 76.32% | 30 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $4.79 | 76.35% | 30 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $4.79 | 76.25% | 30 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $4.79 | 76.41% | 30 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $4.79 | 76.76% | 30 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $4.79 | 76.76% | 30 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $4.79 | 76.66% | 30 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $4.79 | 76.34% | 30 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $4.79 | 76.44% | 30 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $4.79 | 76.42% | 30 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $4.79 | 76.45% | 30 |
| 4 Nov, 14:19 UTC | $4.79 | 76.41% | 30 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.1% extraordinary 0.0% sunny 0.0% Immortal 0.0% red 0.1% classified 18.9% pink 22.6% #d32ee6 1.4% restricted 17.3% Legendary 8.0% Classified 8.2% #8847ff 11.7% Mythical 11.7% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 75.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $75.36 on average: an expected loss of $24.64 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt