---
title: "Фиолетовая коллекция case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Фиолетовая коллекция ($1.39) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 62.29% from 37 items with odds, observed 61.74% over 1,807 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/purplecollection
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:55Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [Фиолетовая коллекция](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/purplecollection)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · Фиолетовая коллекция

A case on csgo.net, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/purplecollection?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/purplecollection?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/purplecollection) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/purplecollection?window=all)

Price · $1.39

Advertised RTP · 62.29% · EV $0.87 from 37 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 61.74% · 1,807 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 25.8% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 92.9% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 56.79% ±9.03 259 openings

7 days · 61.25% ±3.59 1,476 openings

30 days · 61.74% ±3.21 1,807 openings

since tracking started · 61.74% ±3.21 1,807 openings

47.0% 56.8% 66.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/purplecollection?window=24h) | 259 | 56.79% ±9.03 | −1.2σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/purplecollection?window=7d) | 1,476 | 61.25% ±3.59 | −0.9σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/purplecollection) | 1,807 | 61.74% ±3.21 | −0.8σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/purplecollection?window=all) | 1,807 | 61.74% ±3.21 | −0.8σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 37 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,810 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Galil AR \| Phoenix Blacklight (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-phoenix-blacklight-field-tested) | 1 in 140,717 | $61.74 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Sugar Rush (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sugar-rush-field-tested) | 1 in 92,767 | $44.09 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-field-tested) | 1 in 77,900 | $39.83 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 77,900 | $39.83 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 69,697 | $37.55 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Chromatic Aberration (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chromatic-aberration-field-tested) | 1 in 49,242 | $31.85 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Electric Hive (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-electric-hive-minimal-wear) | 1 in 35,926 | $27.87 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Sawed-Off \| Wasteland Princess (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-wasteland-princess-field-tested) | 1 in 26,745 | $24.80 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AWP \| Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pink-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 19,370 | $21.95 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fairy Tale (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fairy-tale-field-tested) | 1 in 14,272 | $19.63 | 0.2% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Afterimage (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-afterimage-field-tested) | 1 in 8,756 | $16.51 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Turbo Peek (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-turbo-peek-field-tested) | 1 in 8,206 | $16.13 | 0.2% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [AWP \| Fever Dream (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,834 | $12.40 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [M4A4 \| 龍王 (Dragon King) (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dragon-king-field-tested) | 1 in 3,508 | $12.02 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-field-tested) | 1 in 3,461 | $11.97 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-field-tested) | 1 in 3,446 | $11.95 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Xiangliu (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-xiangliu-field-tested) | 1 in 3,188 | $11.63 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [G3SG1 \| Flux (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-flux-field-tested) | 1 in 610 | $6.58 | 1.2% | 1 | 3.0 | 0.34× |
| [FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-rapid-eye-movement-minimal-wear) | 1 in 568 | $6.42 | 1.3% | 1 | 3.2 | 0.31× |
| [MAC-10 \| Disco Tech (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-disco-tech-field-tested) | 1 in 400 | $5.68 | 1.6% | 2 | 4.5 | 0.44× |
| [MP9 \| Mount Fuji (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-mount-fuji-field-tested) | 1 in 247 | $4.78 | 2.2% | 2 | 7.3 | 0.27× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-kiss-love-minimal-wear) | 1 in 205 | $4.47 | 2.5% | 0 | 8.8 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Vogue (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-field-tested) | 1 in 110 | $3.53 | 3.7% | 14 | 16.5 | 0.85× |
| [MAC-10 \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-ultraviolet-field-tested) | 1 in 105 | $3.47 | 3.8% | 12 | 17.2 | 0.70× |
| [Galil AR \| Chromatic Aberration (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-field-tested) | 1 in 99 | $3.40 | 4.0% | 17 | 18.2 | 0.93× |
| [UMP-45 \| Wild Child (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-wild-child-field-tested) | 1 in 78 | $3.09 | 4.6% | 28 | 23.3 | 1.20× |
| [P2000 \| Wicked Sick (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-wicked-sick-field-tested) | 1 in 77 | $3.08 | 4.6% | 13 | 23.4 | 0.56× |
| [SSG 08 \| Fever Dream (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-fever-dream-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $0.90 | 9.6% | 111 | 167.7 | 0.66× |
| [MAC-10 \| Saibā Oni (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-saiba-oni-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $0.87 | 9.5% | 191 | 170.2 | 1.12× |
| [Glock-18 \| Moonrise (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-moonrise-field-tested) | 1 in 10 | $0.78 | 8.8% | 254 | 176.3 | 1.44× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Trigger Discipline (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-field-tested) | 1 in 10 | $0.68 | 7.8% | 218 | 179.0 | 1.22× |
| [UMP-45 \| Moonrise (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-moonrise-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10 | $0.59 | 6.6% | 225 | 176.3 | 1.28× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Space Cat (Minimal Wear) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-space-cat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10 | $0.58 | 6.5% | 80 | 175.8 | 0.46× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Violent Daimyo (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-violent-daimyo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11 | $0.53 | 5.8% | 56 | 171.9 | 0.33× |
| [Nova \| Exo (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-exo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11 | $0.47 | 5.0% | 17 | 164.6 | 0.10× |
| [Charm \| Hang Loose charm · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-hang-loose) | 1 in 12 | $0.40 | 3.8% | 67 | 150.2 | 0.45× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Flora Carnivora (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-flora-carnivora-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $0.39 | 3.7% | 59 | 148.9 | 0.40× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=purplecollection)

[Glock-18 | Moonrise (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-moonrise-field-tested) [vjbaN](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/vjbaN) $1.39 $0.78 0.56x 2026-11-11 13:53 UTC

[PP-Bizon | Space Cat (Minimal Wear) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-space-cat-minimal-wear) [🐻❤Sangirqa❤🐻](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%F0%9F%90%BB%E2%9D%A4Sangirqa%E2%9D%A4%F0%9F%90%BB) $1.39 $0.58 0.42x 2026-11-11 13:50 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Flora Carnivora (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-flora-carnivora-field-tested) [★Morya★](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%E2%98%85Morya%E2%98%85) $1.39 $0.39 0.28x 2026-11-11 13:41 UTC

[UMP-45 | Moonrise (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-moonrise-minimal-wear) [ANTISOCIAL](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/ANTISOCIAL) $1.39 $0.59 0.42x 2026-11-11 13:23 UTC

[Glock-18 | Moonrise (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-moonrise-field-tested) [DRAP](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/DRAP) $1.39 $0.78 0.56x 2026-11-11 13:18 UTC

[Glock-18 | Moonrise (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-moonrise-field-tested) [Methew J](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Methew%20J) $1.39 $0.78 0.56x 2026-11-11 13:17 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Violent Daimyo (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-violent-daimyo-minimal-wear) [Din Djarin](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Din%20Djarin) $1.39 $0.53 0.38x 2026-11-11 13:13 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Violent Daimyo (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-violent-daimyo-minimal-wear) [Džega](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/D%C5%BEega) $1.39 $0.53 0.38x 2026-11-11 13:12 UTC

[PP-Bizon | Space Cat (Minimal Wear) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-space-cat-minimal-wear) [LastDay](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/LastDay) $1.39 $0.58 0.42x 2026-11-11 13:11 UTC

[MAC-10 | Saibā Oni (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-saiba-oni-field-tested) [Zoha](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Zoha) $1.39 $1.00 0.72x 2026-11-11 13:09 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $1.39 | 62.29% | 37 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $1.39 | 62.22% | 37 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $1.39 | 62.21% | 37 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $1.39 | 62.41% | 36 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $1.39 | 62.73% | 35 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $1.39 | 62.71% | 36 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $1.39 | 62.74% | 36 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $1.39 | 62.76% | 36 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $1.39 | 62.76% | 38 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $1.39 | 63.09% | 38 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $1.39 | 63.14% | 38 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $1.39 | 63.11% | 38 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $1.39 | 63.08% | 36 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $1.39 | 63.08% | 36 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $1.39 | 63.14% | 35 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $1.39 | 63.08% | 35 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $1.39 | 62.92% | 34 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $1.39 | 63.02% | 36 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $1.39 | 63.15% | 36 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $1.39 | 63.10% | 34 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $1.39 | 63.10% | 34 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $1.39 | 63.26% | 34 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $1.39 | 63.36% | 34 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $1.39 | 63.52% | 33 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $1.39 | 63.27% | 34 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $1.39 | 63.06% | 34 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $1.39 | 63.12% | 33 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $1.39 | 63.07% | 33 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $1.39 | 63.21% | 33 |
| 4 Nov, 14:19 UTC | $1.39 | 63.25% | 34 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed violet 8.6% classified 0.1% covert 0.0% Ancient 0.0% restricted 9.7% Legendary 2.2% #d32ee6 0.2% pink 3.2% mil spec 10.5% #8847ff 36.7% Mythical 9.9% Restricted 9.7% milspec 9.1% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 62.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $62.29 on average: an expected loss of $37.71 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt