---
title: "Red Bull case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Red Bull ($1.69) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 72.96% from 30 items with odds, observed 79.01% over 4,604 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/redbullf1
rendered: 2026-11-11T19:54Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [Red Bull](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/redbullf1)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · Red Bull

A case on csgo.net (Blogger), first seen 8 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/redbullf1?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/redbullf1?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/redbullf1) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/redbullf1?window=all)

Price · $1.69

Advertised RTP · 72.96% · EV $1.23 from 30 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 79.01% · 4,604 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.1× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 30.5% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 82.6% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 79.00% ±6.84 918 openings

7 days · 79.01% ±3.03 4,604 openings

30 days · 79.01% ±3.03 4,604 openings

since tracking started · 79.01% ±3.03 4,604 openings

71.5% 79.0% 86.5%

**Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 73.27% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (75.98% – 82.04%, 4,604 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/redbullf1?window=24h) | 918 | 79.00% ±6.84 | +1.8σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/redbullf1?window=7d) | 4,604 | 79.01% ±3.03 | +3.7σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/redbullf1) | 4,604 | 79.01% ±3.03 | +3.7σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/redbullf1?window=all) | 4,604 | 79.01% ±3.03 | +3.7σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 30 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4,950 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AK-47 \| The Empress (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-minimal-wear) | 1 in 9,957 | $99.26 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Seigaiha (Field-Tested) gloves · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-seigaiha-field-tested) | 1 in 9,889 | $72.25 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Kukri Knife \| Blue Steel (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-blue-steel-well-worn) | 1 in 9,851 | $65.36 | 0.5% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [M4A4 \| The Emperor (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-emperor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 9,793 | $58.50 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Bright Water (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-bright-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 9,289 | $38.07 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Inheritance (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-inheritance-field-tested) | 1 in 8,746 | $30.88 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [P250 \| Undertow (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-undertow-minimal-wear) | 1 in 7,660 | $23.99 | 0.3% | 2 | 0.6 | — |
| [P2000 \| Corticera (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-corticera-field-tested) | 1 in 4,818 | $15.74 | 0.3% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Eastern Enigma (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-eastern-enigma-well-worn) | 1 in 3,318 | $12.75 | 0.3% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.34× |
| [AUG \| Syd Mead (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-syd-mead-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,435 | $11.02 | 0.4% | 0 | 2.0 | 0.00× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 2,234 | $10.61 | 0.4% | 1 | 2.2 | 0.45× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Cardiac (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-cardiac-field-tested) | 1 in 1,052 | $7.84 | 0.6% | 5 | 4.7 | 1.06× |
| [AWP \| Ice Coaled (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-ice-coaled-field-tested) | 1 in 769 | $6.97 | 0.7% | 8 | 6.4 | 1.24× |
| [M4A1-S \| Nightmare (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nightmare-well-worn) | 1 in 603 | $6.37 | 0.9% | 2 | 8.2 | 0.24× |
| [Glock-18 \| Mirror Mosaic (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-mirror-mosaic-field-tested) | 1 in 276 | $4.79 | 1.4% | 26 | 18.0 | 1.45× |
| [Glock-18 \| Shinobu (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-shinobu-field-tested) | 1 in 210 | $4.34 | 1.7% | 33 | 23.6 | 1.40× |
| [USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-field-tested) | 1 in 93 | $3.20 | 2.8% | 59 | 53.3 | 1.11× |
| [AUG \| Lapis Lazuli (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-lapis-lazuli-well-worn) | 1 in 53 | $2.58 | 3.9% | 39 | 92.7 | 0.42× |
| [AK-47 \| Midnight Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-midnight-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 42 | $2.34 | 4.5% | 124 | 116.8 | 1.06× |
| [MP9 \| Arctic Tri-Tone (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-arctic-tri-tone-field-tested) | 1 in 38 | $2.23 | 4.8% | 165 | 130.6 | 1.26× |
| [AK-47 \| Steel Delta (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-steel-delta-field-tested) | 1 in 28 | $1.96 | 5.6% | 131 | 174.8 | 0.75× |
| [MAG-7 \| BI83 Spectrum (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-bi83-spectrum-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $1.74 | 6.4% | 254 | 222.8 | 1.14× |
| [SSG 08 \| Ghost Crusader (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-ghost-crusader-field-tested) | 1 in 16 | $1.44 | 7.5% | 375 | 318.4 | 1.18× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Triumvirate (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-triumvirate-field-tested) | 1 in 15 | $1.41 | 7.6% | 354 | 327.0 | 1.08× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Directive (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-directive-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $1.19 | 8.2% | 504 | 422.1 | 1.19× |
| [USP-S \| Sleeping Potion (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-sleeping-potion-field-tested) | 10.9% | $0.96 | 8.5% | 661 | 539.0 | 1.23× |
| [AWP \| Capillary (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-capillary-minimal-wear) | 11.4% | $0.91 | 8.4% | 369 | 564.7 | 0.65× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Hydro Strike (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-hydro-strike-field-tested) | 11.8% | $0.87 | 8.3% | 768 | 585.2 | 1.31× |
| [MP7 \| Cirrus (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-cirrus-field-tested) | 13.4% | $0.64 | 7.0% | 209 | 663.6 | 0.31× |
| [USP-S \| Torque (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-torque-field-tested) | 13.5% | $0.61 | 6.7% | 402 | 667.6 | 0.60× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=redbullf1)

[Dual Berettas | Hydro Strike (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-hydro-strike-field-tested) [s1vka](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/s1vka) $1.69 $0.86 0.51x 2026-11-11 19:52 UTC

[SSG 08 | Ghost Crusader (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-ghost-crusader-field-tested) [s1vka](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/s1vka) $1.69 $1.41 0.83x 2026-11-11 19:52 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Triumvirate (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-triumvirate-field-tested) [Грусдь](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%93%D1%80%D1%83%D1%81%D0%B4%D1%8C) $1.69 $1.37 0.81x 2026-11-11 19:49 UTC

[SSG 08 | Ghost Crusader (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-ghost-crusader-field-tested) [Nu3x](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Nu3x) $1.69 $1.41 0.83x 2026-11-11 19:44 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Hydro Strike (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-hydro-strike-field-tested) [pimba na beiça SKINS](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/pimba%20na%20bei%C3%A7a%20SKINS) $1.69 $0.86 0.51x 2026-11-11 19:44 UTC

[USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-sleeping-potion-field-tested) [TanZero](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/TanZero) $1.69 $0.96 0.57x 2026-11-11 19:42 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Hydro Strike (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-hydro-strike-field-tested) [TanZero](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/TanZero) $1.69 $0.86 0.51x 2026-11-11 19:42 UTC

[AK-47 | Midnight Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-midnight-laminate-field-tested) [TanZero](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/TanZero) $1.69 $2.32 1.37x 2026-11-11 19:42 UTC

[USP-S | Torque (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-torque-field-tested) [TanZero](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/TanZero) $1.69 $0.61 0.36x 2026-11-11 19:42 UTC

[MP7 | Cirrus (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-cirrus-field-tested) [𝓐𝓽𝓼𝓾𝓶𝓸 火影](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%F0%9D%93%90%F0%9D%93%BD%F0%9D%93%BC%F0%9D%93%BE%F0%9D%93%B6%F0%9D%93%B8%20%E7%81%AB%E5%BD%B1) $1.69 $0.62 0.37x 2026-11-11 19:42 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC | $1.69 | 72.96% | 30 |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $1.69 | 72.75% | 30 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $1.69 | 72.62% | 30 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $1.69 | 72.59% | 30 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $1.69 | 72.99% | 30 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $1.69 | 73.32% | 30 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $1.69 | 73.27% | 30 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $1.69 | 73.26% | 29 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $1.69 | 73.27% | 29 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $1.69 | 73.31% | 29 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $1.69 | 73.77% | 29 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $1.69 | 73.71% | 30 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $1.69 | 73.84% | 30 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $1.69 | 73.75% | 30 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.0% Immortal 0.0% red 0.0% classified 1.2% pink 0.7% Legendary 0.5% restricted 0.0% violet 22.9% Mythical 2.4% Rare 28.3% #8847ff 30.3% mil spec 13.5% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 73.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $72.96 on average: an expected loss of $27.04 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt