---
title: "RespinnersTV case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "RespinnersTV ($4.79) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 75.56% from 29 items with odds, observed 88.98% over 1,110 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/respinnerstv
rendered: 2026-11-11T17:35Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [RespinnersTV](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/respinnerstv)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · RespinnersTV

A case on csgo.net (Blogger), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/respinnerstv?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/respinnerstv?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/respinnerstv) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/respinnerstv?window=all)

Price · $4.79

Advertised RTP · 75.56% · EV $3.62 from 29 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 88.98% · 1,110 openings, odds method

Variance · 3.7× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 31.6% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 86.6% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 83 openings · below min

7 days · 73.19% ±12.21 892 openings

30 days · 88.98% ±10.90 1,110 openings

since tracking started · 88.98% ±10.90 1,110 openings

30.0% 71.0% 112.0%

**Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 76.29% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (78.08% – 99.88%, 1,110 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/respinnerstv?window=24h) | 83 | 71.00% ±40.4 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/respinnerstv?window=7d) | 892 | 73.19% ±12.2 | −0.5σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/respinnerstv) | 1,110 | 88.98% ±10.9 | +2.3σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/respinnerstv?window=all) | 1,110 | 88.98% ±10.9 | +2.3σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 29 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,111 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 19,991 | $858 | 1.2% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Freehand (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-freehand-minimal-wear) | 1 in 19,966 | $548 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-ultraviolet-field-tested) | 1 in 19,964 | $536 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 19,932 | $433 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-ultraviolet-field-tested) | 1 in 19,662 | $253 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 15,231 | $96.01 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Plum Quill (Field-Tested) gloves · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-plum-quill-field-tested) | 1 in 14,937 | $93.49 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-field-tested) | 1 in 9,589 | $63.35 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Fully Tuned (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fully-tuned-field-tested) | 1 in 6,244 | $49.97 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Sugar Rush (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sugar-rush-field-tested) | 1 in 4,788 | $44.19 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,042 | $41.07 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [Charm \| Quick Silver charm · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-quick-silver) | 1 in 2,013 | $31.16 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [M4A4 \| 龍王 (Dragon King) (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dragon-king-field-tested) | 1 in 148 | $12.02 | 2.2% | 7 | 7.5 | 0.93× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Hemoglobin (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-hemoglobin-minimal-wear) | 1 in 137 | $11.68 | 2.4% | 6 | 8.1 | 0.74× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Xiangliu (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-xiangliu-field-tested) | 1 in 133 | $11.55 | 2.4% | 3 | 8.4 | 0.36× |
| [XM1014 \| Tranquility (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-tranquility-field-tested) | 1 in 60 | $8.42 | 3.9% | 13 | 18.4 | 0.71× |
| [MAC-10 \| Disco Tech (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-disco-tech-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $5.12 | 6.5% | 57 | 50.9 | 1.12× |
| [Charm \| Lil' Happy charm · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-happy) | 1 in 21 | $4.96 | 6.6% | 54 | 53.7 | 1.01× |
| [Glock-18 \| Shinobu (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-shinobu-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $4.34 | 7.1% | 69 | 65.4 | 1.06× |
| [AUG \| Death by Puppy (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-death-by-puppy-field-tested) | 1 in 16 | $4.22 | 7.1% | 81 | 67.8 | 1.19× |
| [P250 \| Epicenter (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-epicenter-field-tested) | 1 in 16 | $4.19 | 7.1% | 64 | 68.6 | 0.93× |
| [M4A1-S \| Black Lotus (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $3.64 | 7.3% | 74 | 80.4 | 0.92× |
| [M4A4 \| Tooth Fairy (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-tooth-fairy-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $3.53 | 7.3% | 78 | 82.8 | 0.94× |
| [M4A1-S \| Stratosphere (Field-Tested) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-stratosphere-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $3.49 | 7.3% | 79 | 83.8 | 0.94× |
| [Galil AR \| Stone Cold (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-stone-cold-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $2.58 | 6.5% | 110 | 101.3 | 1.09× |
| [Tec-9 \| Remote Control (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-remote-control-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $2.36 | 6.1% | 59 | 103.7 | 0.57× |
| [AK-47 \| Midnight Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-midnight-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $2.34 | 6.0% | 115 | 103.8 | 1.11× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mulberry (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mulberry-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $1.80 | 4.6% | 110 | 103.1 | 1.07× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Naga (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-naga-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $1.70 | 4.3% | 21 | 101.6 | 0.21× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Talon Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-fade-minimal-wear) [AngryBLAC](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/AngryBLAC) $4.79 $889 185.7x 2026-11-03 06:47 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=respinnerstv)

[M4A1-S | Stratosphere (Field-Tested) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-stratosphere-field-tested) [z01](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/z01) $4.79 $3.45 0.72x 2026-11-11 16:11 UTC

[M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-tooth-fairy-field-tested) [Jerk](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Jerk) $4.79 $3.53 0.74x 2026-11-11 14:52 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Naga (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-naga-field-tested) [Mashono4ka♿](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Mashono4ka%E2%99%BF) $4.79 $1.70 0.35x 2026-11-11 14:37 UTC

[M4A1-S | Stratosphere (Field-Tested) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-stratosphere-field-tested) [Mashono4ka♿](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Mashono4ka%E2%99%BF) $4.79 $3.49 0.73x 2026-11-11 14:36 UTC

[M4A4 | 龍王 (Dragon King) (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dragon-king-field-tested) [Mashono4ka♿](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Mashono4ka%E2%99%BF) $4.79 $12.02 2.51x 2026-11-11 14:36 UTC

[Tec-9 | Remote Control (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-remote-control-well-worn) [Marcinho\*](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Marcinho*-6610743) $4.79 $2.36 0.49x 2026-11-11 14:18 UTC

[Galil AR | Stone Cold (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-stone-cold-well-worn) [ervinka](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/ervinka) $4.79 $2.58 0.54x 2026-11-11 14:17 UTC

[M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-tooth-fairy-field-tested) [Dabula 4ada](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Dabula%204ada) $4.79 $3.53 0.74x 2026-11-11 14:15 UTC

[Glock-18 | Shinobu (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-shinobu-field-tested) [старый](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D1%81%D1%82%D0%B0%D1%80%D1%8B%D0%B9) $4.79 $4.34 0.91x 2026-11-11 13:53 UTC

[Galil AR | Stone Cold (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-stone-cold-well-worn) [HypE](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/HypE) $4.79 $2.58 0.54x 2026-11-11 13:24 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC | $4.79 | 75.56% | 29 |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $4.79 | 75.37% | 29 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $4.79 | 75.20% | 29 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $4.79 | 75.20% | 29 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $4.79 | 75.48% | 29 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $4.79 | 75.82% | 29 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $4.79 | 75.84% | 29 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $4.79 | 75.85% | 29 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $4.79 | 75.84% | 28 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $4.79 | 75.89% | 29 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $4.79 | 76.32% | 29 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $4.79 | 76.32% | 29 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $4.79 | 76.28% | 29 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $4.79 | 76.37% | 28 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $4.79 | 76.38% | 28 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $4.79 | 76.37% | 28 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $4.79 | 76.37% | 28 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $4.79 | 76.35% | 28 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $4.79 | 76.33% | 29 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $4.79 | 76.34% | 29 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $4.79 | 76.36% | 28 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $4.79 | 76.29% | 28 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $4.79 | 76.42% | 28 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $4.79 | 76.75% | 28 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $4.79 | 76.76% | 28 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $4.79 | 76.67% | 28 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $4.79 | 76.34% | 28 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $4.79 | 76.46% | 28 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $4.79 | 76.43% | 28 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $4.79 | 76.44% | 28 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.1% gold 0.0% sunny 0.0% Immortal 0.0% red 0.1% classified 17.8% restricted 19.0% Legendary 25.9% #d32ce6 11.0% Classified 7.5% Mythical 18.6% best hit $889 (185.7x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 75.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $75.56 on average: an expected loss of $24.44 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt