---
title: "Revolver Case case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Revolver Case ($5.39) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 76.75% from 10 items with odds, observed 166.23% over 104 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/revolver
rendered: 2026-11-11T19:16Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [Revolver Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/revolver)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · Revolver Case

A case on csgo.net (Standard), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/revolver?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/revolver?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/revolver) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/revolver?window=all)

Price · $5.39

Advertised RTP · 76.75% · EV $4.14 from 10 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 166.23% · 104 openings, odds method

Variance · 3.9× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 23.1% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 76.9% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 11 openings · below min

7 days · 169.17% ±37.62 101 openings

30 days · 166.23% ±37.12 104 openings

since tracking started · 166.23% ±37.12 104 openings

-0.5% 103.5% 207.5%

**Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 77.44% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (129.11% – 203.35%, 104 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/revolver?window=24h) | 11 | 48.14% ±111.5 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/revolver?window=7d) | 101 | 169.17% ±37.6 | +4.8σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/revolver) | 104 | 166.23% ±37.1 | +4.7σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/revolver?window=all) | 104 | 166.23% ±37.1 | +4.7σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 104 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Karambit \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 9,983 | $861 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 9,865 | $428 | 1.0% | 1 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 7,624 | $151 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-forest-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 4,439 | $94.78 | 0.5% | 1 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Royal Paladin (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-royal-paladin-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,108 | $78.32 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [R8 Revolver \| Fade (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-fade-field-tested) | 1 in 3,009 | $77.11 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-field-tested) | 1 in 19 | $11.98 | 15.2% | 8 | 5.5 | 1.46× |
| [G3SG1 \| The Executioner (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-the-executioner-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $10.43 | 19.1% | 9 | 7.9 | 1.14× |
| [P90 \| Shapewood (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-shapewood-field-tested) | 10.1% | $9.30 | 22.7% | 13 | 10.5 | 1.24× |
| [XM1014 \| Teclu Burner (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-teclu-burner-minimal-wear) | 76.9% | $2.02 | 37.6% | 48 | 80.0 | 0.60× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-crimson-web-field-tested) [Роршах](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%A0%D0%BE%D1%80%D1%88%D0%B0%D1%85) $5.39 $417 77.29x 2026-11-08 13:54 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=revolver)

[XM1014 | Teclu Burner (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-teclu-burner-minimal-wear) [MindFree](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/MindFree) $5.39 $2.02 0.37x 2026-11-11 13:35 UTC

[XM1014 | Teclu Burner (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-teclu-burner-minimal-wear) [T3NGIZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/T3NGIZ) $5.39 $2.02 0.37x 2026-11-11 13:30 UTC

[XM1014 | Teclu Burner (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-teclu-burner-minimal-wear) [T3NGIZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/T3NGIZ) $5.39 $2.02 0.37x 2026-11-11 13:30 UTC

[XM1014 | Teclu Burner (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-teclu-burner-minimal-wear) [Konstantin](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Konstantin) $5.39 $2.81 0.52x 2026-11-10 21:18 UTC

[XM1014 | Teclu Burner (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-teclu-burner-minimal-wear) [Konstantin](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Konstantin) $5.39 $2.81 0.52x 2026-11-10 21:18 UTC

[XM1014 | Teclu Burner (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-teclu-burner-minimal-wear) [Konstantin](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Konstantin) $5.39 $2.81 0.52x 2026-11-10 21:18 UTC

[XM1014 | Teclu Burner (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-teclu-burner-minimal-wear) [Konstantin](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Konstantin) $5.39 $2.81 0.52x 2026-11-10 21:18 UTC

[XM1014 | Teclu Burner (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-teclu-burner-minimal-wear) [Konstantin](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Konstantin) $5.39 $2.81 0.52x 2026-11-10 21:17 UTC

[XM1014 | Teclu Burner (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-teclu-burner-minimal-wear) [Konstantin](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Konstantin) $5.39 $2.81 0.52x 2026-11-10 21:17 UTC

[XM1014 | Teclu Burner (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-teclu-burner-minimal-wear) [Konstantin](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Konstantin) $5.39 $2.81 0.52x 2026-11-10 21:17 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC | $5.39 | 76.75% | 10 |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $5.39 | 76.58% | 10 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $5.39 | 76.34% | 10 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $5.39 | 76.33% | 10 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $5.39 | 76.71% | 21 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $5.39 | 77.05% | 10 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $5.39 | 77.03% | 10 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $5.39 | 77.02% | 11 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $5.39 | 77.10% | 10 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $5.39 | 77.16% | 10 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $5.39 | 77.58% | 10 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $5.39 | 77.56% | 10 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $5.39 | 77.53% | 10 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $5.39 | 77.56% | 10 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $5.39 | 77.56% | 10 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $5.39 | 77.56% | 10 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $5.39 | 77.54% | 10 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $5.39 | 77.61% | 10 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $5.39 | 77.52% | 10 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $5.39 | 77.62% | 10 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $5.39 | 77.61% | 10 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $5.39 | 77.49% | 21 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $5.39 | 77.64% | 21 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $5.39 | 77.98% | 21 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $5.39 | 77.99% | 21 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $5.39 | 77.94% | 10 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $5.39 | 77.62% | 10 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $5.39 | 77.70% | 21 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $5.39 | 77.64% | 21 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $5.39 | 77.68% | 21 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.1% #ffd700 0.0% classified 23.0% #8847ff 76.9% best hit $417 (77.29x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 76.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $76.75 on average: an expected loss of $23.25 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt