---
title: "Ricardo Quik case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Ricardo Quik ($1.69) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 64.25% from 8 items with odds, observed 260.84% over 630 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/ricardoquik
rendered: 2026-11-11T21:34Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [Ricardo Quik](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/ricardoquik)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · Ricardo Quik

A case on csgo.net (Blogger), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/ricardoquik?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/ricardoquik?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/ricardoquik) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/ricardoquik?window=all)

Price · $1.69

Advertised RTP · 64.25% · EV $1.09 from 8 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 260.84% · 630 openings, odds method

Variance · 343.5× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 377 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 99.4% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 129 openings · below min

7 days · 552 openings · below min

30 days · 630 openings · below min

since tracking started · 630 openings · below min

-0.5% 291.8% 584.0%

**Small sample.** 630 openings and 1.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/ricardoquik?window=24h) | 129 | 264.92% ±318.6 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/ricardoquik?window=7d) | 552 | 285.79% ±156.3 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/ricardoquik) | 630 | 260.84% ±145.8 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/ricardoquik?window=all) | 630 | 260.84% ±145.8 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 631 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AWP \| Medusa (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-minimal-wear) | 1 in 9,991 | $2,978 | 27.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AUG \| Akihabara Accept (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-field-tested) | 1 in 7,922 | $456 | 5.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-case-hardened-well-worn) | 1 in 1,170 | $149 | 11.7% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| King Snake (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-king-snake-field-tested) | 1 in 637 | $119 | 17.2% | 15 | 1.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 325 | $94.01 | 26.7% | 6 | 1.9 | 3.09× |
| [Glock-18 \| High Beam (Minimal Wear) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-high-beam-minimal-wear) | 40.9% | $0.15 | 5.8% | 0 | 258.2 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Boreal Forest (Well-Worn) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-boreal-forest-well-worn) | 29.6% | $0.11 | 3.0% | 0 | 187.0 | 0.00× |
| [MP9 \| Black Sand (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-well-worn) | 28.9% | $0.11 | 2.9% | 336 | 182.2 | 1.84× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) [Crica\_BR](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Crica_BR) $1.69 $177 105.0x 2026-11-06 19:29 UTC

[★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-case-hardened-well-worn) [JPCadeirante-.](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/JPCadeirante-.) $1.69 $143 84.85x 2026-11-10 09:18 UTC

[★ Driver Gloves | King Snake (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-king-snake-field-tested) [mops700](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/mops700) $1.69 $129 76.56x 2026-11-06 23:00 UTC

[★ Driver Gloves | King Snake (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-king-snake-field-tested) [Nikishos](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Nikishos) $1.69 $129 76.56x 2026-11-06 22:22 UTC

[★ Driver Gloves | King Snake (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-king-snake-field-tested) [𝕊𝔸𝕋𝕌ℝℕ](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%F0%9D%95%8A%F0%9D%94%B8%F0%9D%95%8B%F0%9D%95%8C%E2%84%9D%E2%84%95) $1.69 $122 72.32x 2026-11-06 15:13 UTC

[★ Driver Gloves | King Snake (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-king-snake-field-tested) [Lz](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Lz) $1.69 $122 72.23x 2026-11-06 17:43 UTC

[★ Driver Gloves | King Snake (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-king-snake-field-tested) [Lz](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Lz) $1.69 $122 72.23x 2026-11-06 17:43 UTC

[★ Driver Gloves | King Snake (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-king-snake-field-tested) [Lz](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Lz) $1.69 $122 72.23x 2026-11-06 17:43 UTC

[★ Driver Gloves | King Snake (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-king-snake-field-tested) [Crica\_BR](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Crica_BR) $1.69 $120 70.85x 2026-11-06 19:25 UTC

[★ Driver Gloves | King Snake (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-king-snake-field-tested) [Lz](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Lz) $1.69 $120 70.85x 2026-11-07 17:53 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=ricardoquik)

[MP9 | Black Sand (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-well-worn) [gggdanli9](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/gggdanli9) $1.69 $0.10 0.06x 2026-11-11 19:53 UTC

[MP9 | Black Sand (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-well-worn) [MindFree](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/MindFree) $1.69 $0.10 0.06x 2026-11-11 19:47 UTC

[MP9 | Black Sand (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-well-worn) [MindFree](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/MindFree) $1.69 $0.10 0.06x 2026-11-11 19:46 UTC

[MP9 | Black Sand (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-well-worn) [MindFree](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/MindFree) $1.69 $0.10 0.06x 2026-11-11 19:46 UTC

[MP9 | Black Sand (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-well-worn) [MindFree](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/MindFree) $1.69 $0.10 0.06x 2026-11-11 19:46 UTC

[MP9 | Black Sand (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-well-worn) [Xinaa](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Xinaa) $1.69 $0.10 0.06x 2026-11-11 19:43 UTC

[MP9 | Black Sand (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-well-worn) [Xinaa](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Xinaa) $1.69 $0.10 0.06x 2026-11-11 19:42 UTC

[MP9 | Black Sand (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-well-worn) [voditelpogybam](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/voditelpogybam) $1.69 $0.10 0.06x 2026-11-11 19:40 UTC

[MP9 | Black Sand (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-well-worn) [Sh1psy](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Sh1psy) $1.69 $0.10 0.06x 2026-11-11 18:37 UTC

[MP9 | Black Sand (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-well-worn) [Crica\_BR](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Crica_BR) $1.69 $0.10 0.06x 2026-11-11 18:23 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC | $1.69 | 64.25% | 8 |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $1.69 | 64.10% | 8 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $1.69 | 63.95% | 8 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $1.69 | 63.93% | 8 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $1.69 | 64.19% | 8 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $1.69 | 64.47% | 8 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $1.69 | 64.48% | 8 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $1.69 | 64.47% | 8 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $1.69 | 64.50% | 8 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $1.69 | 64.58% | 8 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $1.69 | 64.93% | 8 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $1.69 | 64.91% | 8 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $1.69 | 64.91% | 8 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $1.69 | 64.94% | 8 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $1.69 | 64.93% | 8 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $1.69 | 64.93% | 8 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $1.69 | 64.94% | 8 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $1.69 | 64.90% | 8 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $1.69 | 64.93% | 8 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $1.69 | 64.92% | 8 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $1.69 | 64.94% | 8 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $1.69 | 64.87% | 8 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $1.69 | 64.98% | 8 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $1.69 | 65.27% | 8 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $1.69 | 65.26% | 8 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $1.69 | 65.19% | 8 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $1.69 | 64.95% | 8 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $1.69 | 65.03% | 8 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $1.69 | 65.01% | 8 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $1.69 | 65.03% | 8 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.3% covert knife 0.1% extraordinary 0.2% Uncommon 40.9% Industrial Grade 29.6% #4b69ff 28.9% best hit $177 (105.0x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 64.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $64.25 on average: an expected loss of $35.75 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt