---
title: "RK case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "RK ($1.59) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 63.70% from 12 items with odds, observed 7710.20% over 14 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/rk
rendered: 2026-11-11T16:03Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [RK](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/rk)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · RK

A case on csgo.net (Blogger), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/rk?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/rk?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/rk) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/rk?window=all)

Price · $1.59

Advertised RTP · 63.70% · EV $1.01 from 12 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 7710.20% · 14 openings, odds method

Variance · 54.1× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 136 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 99.3% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 1 openings · below min

7 days · 11 openings · below min

30 days · 14 openings · below min

since tracking started · 14 openings · below min

62.5% 4163.8% 8265.0%

**Small sample.** 14 openings and 0.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/rk?window=24h) | 1 | 6112.58% ±1430.8 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/rk?window=7d) | 11 | 7832.65% ±431.6 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/rk) | 14 | 7710.20% ±383.5 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/rk?window=all) | 14 | 7710.20% ±383.5 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 14 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-field-tested) | 1 in 5,271 | $347 | 6.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,928 | $289 | 7.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,859 | $204 | 10.9% | 1 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Graphite (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-graphite-minimal-wear) | 1 in 485 | $124 | 25.2% | 4 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 233 | $96.01 | 40.7% | 6 | 0.1 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| High Beam (Minimal Wear) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-high-beam-minimal-wear) | 29.1% | $0.15 | 4.4% | 0 | 4.1 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Urban DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-urban-ddpat-field-tested) | 19.8% | $0.10 | 2.0% | 0 | 2.8 | 0.00× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Carbon Fiber (Minimal Wear) weapon · 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-carbon-fiber-minimal-wear) | 16.2% | $0.09 | 1.4% | 0 | 2.3 | 0.00× |
| [G3SG1 \| Green Apple (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-green-apple-minimal-wear) | 13.1% | $0.07 | 0.9% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Ocean Topo (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-ocean-topo-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $0.05 | 0.4% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Orange Peel (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-orange-peel-field-tested) | 1 in 15 | $0.04 | 0.2% | 0 | 1.0 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Palm (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-palm-field-tested) | 1 in 18 | $0.03 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.8 | — |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[M4A1-S | Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-fade-minimal-wear) [JPCadeirante-.](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/JPCadeirante-.) $1.59 $188 118.0x 2026-11-07 04:01 UTC

[M4A1-S | Fade (Factory New) weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-fade-factory-new) [snkrsl](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/snkrsl) $1.59 $168 105.5x 2026-11-08 17:04 UTC

[M4A1-S | Fade (Factory New) weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-fade-factory-new) [torch](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/torch) $1.59 $155 97.45x 2026-11-10 12:58 UTC

[AWP | Graphite (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-graphite-minimal-wear) [TTTRROOOOLL](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/TTTRROOOOLL) $1.59 $128 80.65x 2026-11-06 23:46 UTC

[AWP | Graphite (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-graphite-minimal-wear) [dasten911](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/dasten911) $1.59 $126 78.94x 2026-11-09 16:26 UTC

[AWP | Graphite weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-graphite) [JPCadeirante-.](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/JPCadeirante-.) $1.59 $125 78.80x 2026-11-03 00:00 UTC

[AWP | Graphite (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-graphite-minimal-wear) [kamo\_sss](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/kamo_sss) $1.59 $124 78.08x 2026-11-03 15:51 UTC

[AWP | Graphite (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-graphite-minimal-wear) [torch](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/torch) $1.59 $124 77.76x 2026-11-10 13:00 UTC

[USP-S | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-field-tested) [torch](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/torch) $1.59 $97.19 61.13x 2026-11-11 00:20 UTC

[USP-S | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-field-tested) [torch](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/torch) $1.59 $96.99 61.00x 2026-11-10 12:55 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=rk)

[USP-S | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-field-tested) [torch](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/torch) $1.59 $97.19 61.13x 2026-11-11 00:20 UTC

[AWP | Graphite (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-graphite-minimal-wear) [torch](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/torch) $1.59 $124 77.76x 2026-11-10 13:00 UTC

[M4A1-S | Fade (Factory New) weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-fade-factory-new) [torch](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/torch) $1.59 $155 97.45x 2026-11-10 12:58 UTC

[USP-S | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-field-tested) [torch](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/torch) $1.59 $96.99 61.00x 2026-11-10 12:55 UTC

[USP-S | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-field-tested) [dasten911](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/dasten911) $1.59 $95.74 60.21x 2026-11-09 16:26 UTC

[AWP | Graphite (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-graphite-minimal-wear) [dasten911](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/dasten911) $1.59 $126 78.94x 2026-11-09 16:26 UTC

[M4A1-S | Fade (Factory New) weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-fade-factory-new) [snkrsl](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/snkrsl) $1.59 $168 105.5x 2026-11-08 17:04 UTC

[M4A1-S | Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-fade-minimal-wear) [JPCadeirante-.](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/JPCadeirante-.) $1.59 $188 118.0x 2026-11-07 04:01 UTC

[USP-S | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-field-tested) [爪卂尺丨卂](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%E7%88%AA%E5%8D%82%E5%B0%BA%E4%B8%A8%E5%8D%82) $1.59 $95.73 60.21x 2026-11-07 04:01 UTC

[AWP | Graphite (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-graphite-minimal-wear) [TTTRROOOOLL](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/TTTRROOOOLL) $1.59 $128 80.65x 2026-11-06 23:46 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC | $1.59 | 63.70% | 12 |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $1.59 | 63.55% | 12 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $1.59 | 63.42% | 12 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $1.59 | 63.40% | 12 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $1.59 | 63.64% | 12 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $1.59 | 63.92% | 12 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $1.59 | 63.93% | 12 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $1.59 | 63.93% | 12 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $1.59 | 63.96% | 12 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $1.59 | 64.02% | 12 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $1.59 | 64.38% | 12 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $1.59 | 64.37% | 12 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $1.59 | 64.36% | 12 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $1.59 | 64.39% | 12 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $1.59 | 64.38% | 12 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $1.59 | 64.38% | 12 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $1.59 | 64.39% | 12 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $1.59 | 64.35% | 12 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $1.59 | 64.37% | 12 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $1.59 | 64.36% | 12 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $1.59 | 64.37% | 12 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $1.59 | 64.31% | 12 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $1.59 | 64.42% | 12 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $1.59 | 64.71% | 12 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $1.59 | 64.70% | 12 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $1.59 | 64.64% | 12 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $1.59 | 64.39% | 12 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $1.59 | 64.46% | 12 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $1.59 | 64.44% | 12 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $1.59 | 64.46% | 12 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed 2 16.2% extraordinary 0.0% covert 0.5% epic 0.1% classified 0.2% Uncommon 57.6% industrial 25.5% best hit $188 (118.0x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 63.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $63.70 on average: an expected loss of $36.30 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt