---
title: "Rolls-Royce Cullinan case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Rolls-Royce Cullinan ($339.00) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 73.16% from 12 items with odds, observed 65.40% over 73 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/rollsroyce
rendered: 2026-11-11T16:02Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [Rolls-Royce Cullinan](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/rollsroyce)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · Rolls-Royce Cullinan

A case on csgo.net (Ultra), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/rollsroyce?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/rollsroyce?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/rollsroyce) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/rollsroyce?window=all)

Price · $339.00

Advertised RTP · 73.16% · EV $248.01 from 12 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 65.40% · 73 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 33.7% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 73.7% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 9 openings · below min

7 days · 61 openings · below min

30 days · 73 openings · below min

since tracking started · 73 openings · below min

26.0% 54.3% 82.5%

**Small sample.** 73 openings and 23.7 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/rollsroyce?window=24h) | 9 | 54.13% ±27.5 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/rollsroyce?window=7d) | 61 | 65.92% ±10.4 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/rollsroyce) | 73 | 65.40% ±9.49 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/rollsroyce?window=all) | 73 | 65.40% ±9.49 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 73 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AK-47 \| Hydroponic (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-field-tested) | 1 in 170 | $867 | 2.1% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 135 | $799 | 2.4% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Black Laminate (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-black-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $557 | 4.5% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Nocts (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-nocts-field-tested) | 1 in 35 | $487 | 5.6% | 2 | 2.1 | 0.97× |
| [AUG \| Akihabara Accept (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-field-tested) | 1 in 30 | $456 | 6.2% | 1 | 2.4 | 0.41× |
| [M4A1-S \| Icarus Fell (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-icarus-fell-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $425 | 6.9% | 4 | 2.9 | 1.37× |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Stained (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-stained-field-tested) | 1 in 16 | $352 | 9.0% | 3 | 4.6 | 0.65× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Emerald Jörmungandr (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-emerald-jormungandr-field-tested) | 1 in 15 | $348 | 9.1% | 2 | 4.7 | 0.42× |
| [AK-47 \| Jet Set (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jet-set-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $328 | 9.8% | 7 | 5.4 | 1.30× |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Snow Leopard (Field-Tested) gloves · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-field-tested) | 15.4% | $225 | 14.0% | 3 | 11.2 | 0.27× |
| [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-field-tested) | 24.1% | $160 | 15.5% | 15 | 17.6 | 0.85× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Stained (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-stained-field-tested) | 26.8% | $141 | 15.2% | 22 | 19.6 | 1.12× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[AK-47 | Hydroponic (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-field-tested) [Farga](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Farga) $339 $856 2.52x 2026-11-10 11:06 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Black Laminate (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-black-laminate-minimal-wear) [\_\_\_](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/___) $339 $582 1.72x 2026-11-08 21:05 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Nocts (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-nocts-field-tested) [Arych](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Arych) $339 $520 1.53x 2026-11-04 09:41 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Nocts (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-nocts-field-tested) [𝘐𝘷𝘢𝘯𝘓𝘰𝘬ito](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%F0%9D%98%90%F0%9D%98%B7%F0%9D%98%A2%F0%9D%98%AF%F0%9D%98%93%F0%9D%98%B0%F0%9D%98%ACito) $339 $518 1.53x 2026-11-09 16:56 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=rollsroyce)

[AWP | CMYK (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-cmyk-field-tested) [MPC TURN OFF CAPS](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/MPC%20TURN%20OFF%20CAPS) $339 $112 0.33x 2026-11-11 03:19 UTC

[AWP | CMYK (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-cmyk-field-tested) [MPC TURN OFF CAPS](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/MPC%20TURN%20OFF%20CAPS) $339 $112 0.33x 2026-11-11 02:55 UTC

[AWP | CMYK (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-cmyk-field-tested) [MPC TURN OFF CAPS](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/MPC%20TURN%20OFF%20CAPS) $339 $112 0.33x 2026-11-11 02:44 UTC

[M4A1-S | Icarus Fell (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-icarus-fell-factory-new) [MPC TURN OFF CAPS](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/MPC%20TURN%20OFF%20CAPS) $339 $380 1.12x 2026-11-11 02:19 UTC

[M4A1-S | Icarus Fell (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-icarus-fell-factory-new) [Овик ВодолаZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%9E%D0%B2%D0%B8%D0%BA%20%D0%92%D0%BE%D0%B4%D0%BE%D0%BB%D0%B0Z) $339 $380 1.12x 2026-11-10 19:51 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Stained (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-stained-field-tested) [Овик ВодолаZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%9E%D0%B2%D0%B8%D0%BA%20%D0%92%D0%BE%D0%B4%D0%BE%D0%BB%D0%B0Z) $339 $141 0.41x 2026-11-10 19:50 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Stained (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-stained-field-tested) [Овик ВодолаZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%9E%D0%B2%D0%B8%D0%BA%20%D0%92%D0%BE%D0%B4%D0%BE%D0%BB%D0%B0Z) $339 $141 0.41x 2026-11-10 19:48 UTC

[M4A1-S | Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-field-tested) [Corona](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Corona) $339 $161 0.48x 2026-11-10 18:26 UTC

[AWP | CMYK (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-cmyk-field-tested) [dow](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/dow) $339 $113 0.33x 2026-11-10 17:13 UTC

[M4A1-S | Icarus Fell (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-icarus-fell-factory-new) [123123123](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/123123123) $339 $381 1.12x 2026-11-10 15:43 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC | $339 | 73.16% | 12 |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $339 | 72.97% | 12 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $339 | 72.81% | 13 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $339 | 72.79% | 13 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $339 | 73.07% | 13 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $339 | 73.39% | 13 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $339 | 73.40% | 13 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $339 | 73.38% | 13 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $339 | 73.44% | 13 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $339 | 73.51% | 13 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $339 | 73.92% | 14 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $339 | 73.89% | 13 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $339 | 73.88% | 14 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $339 | 73.91% | 12 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $339 | 73.91% | 12 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $339 | 73.91% | 12 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $339 | 73.92% | 13 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $339 | 73.89% | 13 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $339 | 73.90% | 12 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $339 | 73.91% | 13 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $339 | 73.91% | 13 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $339 | 73.85% | 13 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $339 | 73.96% | 13 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $339 | 74.30% | 13 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $339 | 74.31% | 13 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $339 | 74.22% | 13 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $339 | 73.92% | 13 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $339 | 74.01% | 12 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $339 | 74.00% | 13 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $339 | 74.01% | 13 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed classified 8.0% sunny 16.1% gold 2.0% extraordinary 2.8% covert 54.3% restricted 10.5% covert knife 6.3% best hit $856 (2.52x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 73.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $73.16 on average: an expected loss of $26.84 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt