---
title: "RTX 5090 case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "RTX 5090 ($68.99) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 73.01% from 39 items with odds, observed 75.56% over 660 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/rtx5090
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:29Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [RTX 5090](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/rtx5090)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · RTX 5090

A case on csgo.net (Battle), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/rtx5090?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/rtx5090?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/rtx5090) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/rtx5090?window=all)

Price · $68.99

Advertised RTP · 73.01% · EV $50.37 from 39 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 75.56% · 660 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.5× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 30.3% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 79.7% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 63 openings · below min

7 days · 76.28% ±5.69 576 openings

30 days · 75.56% ±5.31 660 openings

since tracking started · 75.56% ±5.31 660 openings

42.5% 62.5% 82.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/rtx5090?window=24h) | 63 | 60.02% ±16.7 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/rtx5090?window=7d) | 576 | 76.28% ±5.69 | +0.9σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/rtx5090) | 660 | 75.56% ±5.31 | +0.6σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/rtx5090?window=all) | 660 | 75.56% ±5.31 | +0.6σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 39 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 660 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-field-tested) | 1 in 8,147 | $1,149 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 8,102 | $1,138 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Poseidon (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 7,822 | $1,074 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 7,702 | $1,050 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [AWP \| Desert Hydra (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-desert-hydra-minimal-wear) | 1 in 7,630 | $1,036 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Imminent Danger (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-imminent-danger-minimal-wear) | 1 in 7,525 | $1,016 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-field-tested) | 1 in 4,644 | $667 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Emerald Web (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-well-worn) | 1 in 3,694 | $584 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 3,437 | $563 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Black Laminate (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-black-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 3,318 | $553 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Nocts (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-nocts-field-tested) | 1 in 2,576 | $489 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Icarus Fell (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-icarus-fell-factory-new) | 1 in 1,860 | $424 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [AUG \| Akihabara Accept (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-well-worn) | 1 in 1,032 | $335 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Emerald Jörmungandr (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-emerald-jormungandr-field-tested) | 1 in 875 | $315 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 280 | $205 | 1.5% | 1 | 2.4 | 0.42× |
| [M4A4 \| Eye of Horus (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-eye-of-horus-field-tested) | 1 in 234 | $191 | 1.6% | 2 | 2.8 | 0.71× |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 234 | $191 | 1.6% | 2 | 2.8 | 0.71× |
| [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 152 | $162 | 2.1% | 3 | 4.3 | 0.69× |
| [AWP \| Graphite (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-graphite-minimal-wear) | 1 in 77 | $122 | 3.1% | 10 | 8.5 | 1.17× |
| [AWP \| CMYK (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-cmyk-field-tested) | 1 in 63 | $111 | 3.5% | 10 | 10.5 | 0.96× |
| [M4A1-S \| Master Piece (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-master-piece-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $99.46 | 3.9% | 3 | 13.2 | 0.23× |
| [P90 \| Emerald Dragon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-emerald-dragon-field-tested) | 1 in 39 | $87.48 | 4.4% | 11 | 16.8 | 0.66× |
| [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 29 | $72.12 | 5.0% | 17 | 22.9 | 0.74× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Pilot (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-pilot-well-worn) | 1 in 29 | $71.95 | 5.0% | 29 | 23.0 | 1.26× |
| [P90 \| Death by Kitty (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-death-by-kitty-field-tested) | 1 in 28 | $70.56 | 5.0% | 24 | 23.7 | 1.01× |
| [M4A1-S \| Player Two (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $52.68 | 5.2% | 33 | 32.8 | 1.01× |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $51.77 | 5.2% | 23 | 33.3 | 0.69× |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 18 | $44.54 | 4.9% | 33 | 36.6 | 0.90× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $41.54 | 4.7% | 35 | 37.8 | 0.93× |
| [AWP \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $40.63 | 4.7% | 54 | 38.1 | 1.42× |
| [FAMAS \| Waters of Nephthys (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-waters-of-nephthys-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $37.82 | 4.4% | 32 | 38.8 | 0.82× |
| [AK-47 \| Aquamarine Revenge (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $35.81 | 4.2% | 27 | 39.2 | 0.69× |
| [AWP \| LongDog (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-longdog-well-worn) | 1 in 17 | $35.04 | 4.1% | 35 | 39.3 | 0.89× |
| [USP-S \| Whiteout (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-whiteout-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $33.79 | 4.0% | 36 | 39.3 | 0.92× |
| [AK-47 \| Inheritance (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-inheritance-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $32.87 | 3.9% | 37 | 39.3 | 0.94× |
| [AWP \| Chrome Cannon (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chrome-cannon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $32.57 | 3.9% | 45 | 39.3 | 1.14× |
| [★ Hydra Gloves \| Emerald (Field-Tested) gloves · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-emerald-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $32.33 | 3.8% | 53 | 39.3 | 1.35× |
| [AK-47 \| Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-field-tested) | 1 in 18 | $24.00 | 2.6% | 35 | 36.7 | 0.95× |
| [USP-S \| Caiman (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-caiman-field-tested) | 1 in 18 | $23.00 | 2.5% | 6 | 36.0 | 0.17× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) [ytb: Lukasscz](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/ytb%3A%20Lukasscz) $68.99 $1,130 16.37x 2026-11-05 05:32 UTC

[M4A4 | Poseidon (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-minimal-wear) [SAN4EZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/SAN4EZ) $68.99 $994 14.41x 2026-11-09 16:15 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) [Света Шумовая](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%A1%D0%B2%D0%B5%D1%82%D0%B0%20%D0%A8%D1%83%D0%BC%D0%BE%D0%B2%D0%B0%D1%8F) $68.99 $559 8.10x 2026-11-10 13:12 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=rtx5090)

[M4A1-S | Player Two (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-minimal-wear) [RK](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/RK) $68.99 $51.88 0.75x 2026-11-11 13:09 UTC

[USP-S | Whiteout (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-whiteout-field-tested) [PROFIMAN](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/PROFIMAN) $68.99 $33.83 0.49x 2026-11-11 12:23 UTC

[AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-field-tested) [Ketter](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Ketter) $68.99 $24.04 0.35x 2026-11-11 12:12 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Pilot (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-pilot-well-worn) [maior espetaculo da terra](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/maior%20espetaculo%20da%20terra) $68.99 $72.81 1.06x 2026-11-11 12:09 UTC

[AWP | Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-printstream-field-tested) [Keep™](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Keep%E2%84%A2) $68.99 $40.81 0.59x 2026-11-11 11:41 UTC

[M4A1-S | Player Two (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-minimal-wear) [🩶L,E,K,A🩶](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%F0%9F%A9%B6L%2CE%2CK%2CA%F0%9F%A9%B6) $68.99 $52.05 0.75x 2026-11-11 11:18 UTC

[AWP | Chrome Cannon (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chrome-cannon-minimal-wear) [🩶L,E,K,A🩶](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%F0%9F%A9%B6L%2CE%2CK%2CA%F0%9F%A9%B6) $68.99 $32.59 0.47x 2026-11-11 11:18 UTC

[AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-field-tested) [123123123](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/123123123) $68.99 $24.04 0.35x 2026-11-11 10:32 UTC

[AWP | Chrome Cannon (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chrome-cannon-minimal-wear) [koloBAKA](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/koloBAKA) $68.99 $32.59 0.47x 2026-11-11 09:48 UTC

[P90 | Death by Kitty (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-death-by-kitty-field-tested) [koloBAKA](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/koloBAKA) $68.99 $70.67 1.02x 2026-11-11 09:48 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $68.99 | 73.01% | 39 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $68.99 | 72.84% | 38 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $68.99 | 72.82% | 39 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $68.99 | 73.11% | 39 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $68.99 | 73.42% | 39 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $68.99 | 73.43% | 38 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $68.99 | 73.42% | 39 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $68.99 | 73.48% | 38 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $68.99 | 73.54% | 38 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $68.99 | 73.95% | 38 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $68.99 | 73.93% | 38 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $68.99 | 73.92% | 38 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $68.99 | 73.94% | 38 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $68.99 | 73.94% | 38 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $68.99 | 73.94% | 38 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $68.99 | 73.95% | 38 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $68.99 | 73.93% | 39 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $68.99 | 73.94% | 38 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $68.99 | 73.94% | 38 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $68.99 | 73.94% | 38 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $68.99 | 73.88% | 38 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $68.99 | 74.00% | 38 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $68.99 | 74.34% | 38 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $68.99 | 74.35% | 38 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $68.99 | 74.25% | 38 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $68.99 | 73.95% | 38 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $68.99 | 74.05% | 38 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $68.99 | 74.04% | 38 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $68.99 | 74.05% | 38 |
| 4 Nov, 14:19 UTC | $68.99 | 74.02% | 38 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 31.6% restricted 3.7% classified 23.2% #ffd700 0.0% extraordinary 0.1% rare 0.0% gold 6.0% red 13.9% sunny 0.4% Covert 3.5% Ancient 11.7% pink 5.9% best hit $1,130 (16.37x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 73.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $73.01 on average: an expected loss of $26.99 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt