--- title: "Runah case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Runah ($1.79) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 65.61% from 12 items with odds, observed 156.28% over 934 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/runah rendered: 2026-11-11T13:30Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [Runah](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/runah) # [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · Runah A case on csgo.net (Blogger), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/runah?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/runah?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/runah) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/runah?window=all) Price · $1.79 Advertised RTP · 65.61% · EV $1.17 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 156.28% · 934 openings, odds method Variance · 47.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 274 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 99.1% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 151 openings · below min 7 days · 782 openings · below min 30 days · 934 openings · below min since tracking started · 934 openings · below min 65.0% 258.3% 451.5% **Small sample.** 934 openings and 4.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/runah?window=24h) | 151 | 341.04% ±109.9 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/runah?window=7d) | 782 | 140.42% ±48.3 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/runah) | 934 | 156.28% ±44.2 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/runah?window=all) | 934 | 156.28% ±44.2 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 934 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 8,377 | $534 | 5.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 2,258 | $205 | 7.7% | 3 | 0.4 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Twilight Galaxy (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-twilight-galaxy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,067 | $197 | 8.1% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Cobalt Skulls (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-cobalt-skulls-field-tested) | 1 in 1,597 | $177 | 9.5% | 2 | 0.6 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Bright Water (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-bright-water-field-tested) | 1 in 507 | $116 | 19.5% | 6 | 1.8 | 3.26× | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Polygon (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-polygon-field-tested) | 1 in 196 | $83.52 | 36.2% | 7 | 4.8 | 1.47× | | [CZ75-Auto \| Distressed (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-distressed-minimal-wear) | 43.0% | $0.27 | 10.0% | 293 | 401.3 | 0.73× | | [M4A4 \| Choppa (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-choppa-field-tested) | 13.6% | $0.09 | 1.0% | 120 | 126.7 | 0.95× | | [MP5-SD \| Focus (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-focus-well-worn) | 12.3% | $0.08 | 0.8% | 37 | 115.3 | 0.32× | | [MAG-7 \| MAGnitude (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-magnitude-field-tested) | 12.0% | $0.08 | 0.8% | 73 | 111.6 | 0.65× | | [SSG 08 \| Mainframe 001 (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-mainframe-001-well-worn) | 10.4% | $0.07 | 0.6% | 18 | 97.1 | 0.19× | | [P250 \| Re.built (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-re-built-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $0.05 | 0.3% | 61 | 73.8 | 0.83× | Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AK-47 | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-minimal-wear) [4u\_4u\_ga\_ga](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/4u_4u_ga_ga) $1.79 $238 132.7x 2026-11-05 21:28 UTC [AK-47 | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-field-tested) [Выношу мусор](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%92%D1%8B%D0%BD%D0%BE%D1%88%D1%83%20%D0%BC%D1%83%D1%81%D0%BE%D1%80) $1.79 $205 114.4x 2026-11-11 09:02 UTC [AK-47 | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-field-tested) [Runah](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Runah) $1.79 $204 114.1x 2026-11-10 17:23 UTC [AK-47 | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-field-tested) [Runah](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Runah) $1.79 $204 114.1x 2026-11-10 17:22 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-cobalt-skulls-field-tested) [$$$](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%24%24%24) $1.79 $178 99.38x 2026-11-03 06:42 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-cobalt-skulls-field-tested) [Zipper](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Zipper) $1.79 $167 93.41x 2026-11-04 01:44 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Bright Water (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-bright-water-field-tested) [Runah](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Runah) $1.79 $119 66.31x 2026-11-10 19:49 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Bright Water (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-bright-water-field-tested) [Xl1ca](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Xl1ca) $1.79 $115 64.32x 2026-11-10 01:00 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Bright Water (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-bright-water-field-tested) [Xl1ca](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Xl1ca) $1.79 $115 64.32x 2026-11-10 00:46 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Bright Water (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-bright-water-field-tested) [Zipper](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Zipper) $1.79 $111 61.75x 2026-11-04 01:44 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=runah) [CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-distressed-minimal-wear) [santi](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/santi) $1.79 $0.27 0.15x 2026-11-11 09:07 UTC [MP5-SD | Focus (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-focus-well-worn) [santi](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/santi) $1.79 $0.08 0.04x 2026-11-11 09:07 UTC [MP5-SD | Focus (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-focus-well-worn) [Выношу мусор](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%92%D1%8B%D0%BD%D0%BE%D1%88%D1%83%20%D0%BC%D1%83%D1%81%D0%BE%D1%80) $1.79 $0.08 0.04x 2026-11-11 09:02 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-distressed-minimal-wear) [Выношу мусор](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%92%D1%8B%D0%BD%D0%BE%D1%88%D1%83%20%D0%BC%D1%83%D1%81%D0%BE%D1%80) $1.79 $0.27 0.15x 2026-11-11 09:02 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-distressed-minimal-wear) [Выношу мусор](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%92%D1%8B%D0%BD%D0%BE%D1%88%D1%83%20%D0%BC%D1%83%D1%81%D0%BE%D1%80) $1.79 $0.27 0.15x 2026-11-11 09:02 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-distressed-minimal-wear) [Выношу мусор](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%92%D1%8B%D0%BD%D0%BE%D1%88%D1%83%20%D0%BC%D1%83%D1%81%D0%BE%D1%80) $1.79 $0.27 0.15x 2026-11-11 09:02 UTC [AK-47 | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-field-tested) [Выношу мусор](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%92%D1%8B%D0%BD%D0%BE%D1%88%D1%83%20%D0%BC%D1%83%D1%81%D0%BE%D1%80) $1.79 $205 114.4x 2026-11-11 09:02 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-distressed-minimal-wear) [Выношу мусор](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%92%D1%8B%D0%BD%D0%BE%D1%88%D1%83%20%D0%BC%D1%83%D1%81%D0%BE%D1%80) $1.79 $0.27 0.15x 2026-11-11 09:02 UTC [M4A4 | Choppa (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-choppa-field-tested) [Выношу мусор](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%92%D1%8B%D0%BD%D0%BE%D1%88%D1%83%20%D0%BC%D1%83%D1%81%D0%BE%D1%80) $1.79 $0.09 0.05x 2026-11-11 09:02 UTC [M4A4 | Choppa (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-choppa-field-tested) [Выношу мусор](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%92%D1%8B%D0%BD%D0%BE%D1%88%D1%83%20%D0%BC%D1%83%D1%81%D0%BE%D1%80) $1.79 $0.09 0.05x 2026-11-11 09:02 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $1.79 | 65.61% | 12 | | 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $1.79 | 65.46% | 12 | | 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $1.79 | 65.45% | 12 | | 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $1.79 | 65.69% | 12 | | 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $1.79 | 65.97% | 12 | | 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $1.79 | 66.00% | 12 | | 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $1.79 | 65.98% | 12 | | 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $1.79 | 66.04% | 12 | | 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $1.79 | 66.09% | 12 | | 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $1.79 | 66.46% | 12 | | 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $1.79 | 66.43% | 12 | | 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $1.79 | 66.42% | 12 | | 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $1.79 | 66.45% | 12 | | 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $1.79 | 66.45% | 12 | | 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $1.79 | 66.45% | 12 | | 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $1.79 | 66.47% | 12 | | 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $1.79 | 66.44% | 12 | | 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $1.79 | 66.43% | 12 | | 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $1.79 | 66.44% | 12 | | 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $1.79 | 66.46% | 12 | | 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $1.79 | 66.41% | 12 | | 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $1.79 | 66.51% | 12 | | 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $1.79 | 66.81% | 12 | | 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $1.79 | 66.82% | 12 | | 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $1.79 | 66.73% | 12 | | 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $1.79 | 66.45% | 12 | | 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $1.79 | 66.54% | 12 | | 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $1.79 | 66.54% | 12 | | 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $1.79 | 66.54% | 12 | | 4 Nov, 14:19 UTC | $1.79 | 66.52% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert knife 0.0% classified 0.1% extraordinary 0.6% covert 0.2% #4b69ff 50.9% blue 25.9% Rare 12.0% milspec 10.4% best hit $238 (132.7x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 65.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $65.61 on average: an expected loss of $34.39 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt