---
title: "Sand mining case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Sand mining ($1.49) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 66.60% from 12 items with odds, observed 144.26% over 3,482 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/sandmining
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:24Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [Sand mining](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/sandmining)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · Sand mining

A case on csgo.net (Battle), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/sandmining?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/sandmining?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/sandmining) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/sandmining?window=all)

Price · $1.49

Advertised RTP · 66.60% · EV $0.99 from 12 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 144.26% · 3,482 openings, odds method

Variance · 47.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 153 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 99.3% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 632 openings · below min

7 days · 113.14% ±27.57 2,444 openings

30 days · 144.26% ±23.02 3,482 openings

since tracking started · 144.26% ±23.02 3,482 openings

53.5% 110.8% 168.0%

**Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 67.36% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (121.24% – 167.28%, 3,482 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/sandmining?window=24h) | 632 | 107.27% ±53.3 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/sandmining?window=7d) | 2,444 | 113.14% ±27.6 | +3.3σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/sandmining) | 3,482 | 144.26% ±23.0 | +6.5σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/sandmining?window=all) | 3,482 | 144.26% ±23.0 | +6.5σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,540 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AWP \| Desert Hydra (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-desert-hydra-minimal-wear) | 1 in 116,095 | $1,036 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 53,263 | $663 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Lore (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 27,062 | $501 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Arid (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-arid-well-worn) | 1 in 21,701 | $460 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Omega (Field-Tested) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-omega-field-tested) | 1 in 846 | $150 | 17.9% | 8 | 4.2 | 1.91× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 191 | $91.04 | 48.0% | 55 | 18.5 | 2.97× |
| [AUG \| Amber Slipstream (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-amber-slipstream-field-tested) | 25.6% | $0.35 | 8.9% | 538 | 907.5 | 0.59× |
| [MP7 \| Mischief (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-mischief-field-tested) | 24.0% | $0.32 | 7.8% | 624 | 848.2 | 0.74× |
| [MP5-SD \| Desert Strike (Minimal Wear) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-desert-strike-minimal-wear) | 20.5% | $0.28 | 5.7% | 641 | 725.8 | 0.88× |
| [FAMAS \| Crypsis (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-crypsis-field-tested) | 18.6% | $0.25 | 4.7% | 664 | 659.1 | 1.01× |
| [M4A4 \| Poly Mag (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poly-mag-field-tested) | 1 in 16 | $0.08 | 0.5% | 155 | 220.0 | 0.70× |
| [MP9 \| Featherweight (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-featherweight-field-tested) | 1 in 23 | $0.06 | 0.3% | 144 | 156.2 | 0.92× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Sport Gloves | Omega gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-omega) [pkvms](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/pkvms) $1.49 $158 106.1x 2026-11-03 00:17 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Omega gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-omega) [pkvms](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/pkvms) $1.49 $158 106.1x 2026-11-03 00:05 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Omega (Field-Tested) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-omega-field-tested) [➳𝘽𝙖𝙙.𝘽𝙤𝙮ツ](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%E2%9E%B3%F0%9D%98%BD%F0%9D%99%96%F0%9D%99%99.%F0%9D%98%BD%F0%9D%99%A4%F0%9D%99%AE%E3%83%84) $1.49 $154 103.3x 2026-11-03 15:03 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Omega (Field-Tested) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-omega-field-tested) [pOca](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/pOca) $1.49 $153 103.0x 2026-11-04 12:00 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Omega (Field-Tested) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-omega-field-tested) [BudulayGT](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/BudulayGT) $1.49 $152 101.8x 2026-11-09 20:22 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Omega (Field-Tested) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-omega-field-tested) [RicardoRPH](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/RicardoRPH) $1.49 $151 101.6x 2026-11-04 00:51 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Omega (Field-Tested) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-omega-field-tested) [JPCadeirante-.](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/JPCadeirante-.) $1.49 $151 101.6x 2026-11-04 00:20 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Omega (Field-Tested) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-omega-field-tested) [➳𝘽𝙖𝙙.𝘽𝙤𝙮ツ](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%E2%9E%B3%F0%9D%98%BD%F0%9D%99%96%F0%9D%99%99.%F0%9D%98%BD%F0%9D%99%A4%F0%9D%99%AE%E3%83%84) $1.49 $151 101.6x 2026-11-03 22:46 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Omega (Field-Tested) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-omega-field-tested) [JPCadeirante-.](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/JPCadeirante-.) $1.49 $150 100.6x 2026-11-11 05:59 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Omega (Field-Tested) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-omega-field-tested) [JPCadeirante-.](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/JPCadeirante-.) $1.49 $150 100.6x 2026-11-11 05:59 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=sandmining)

[MP5-SD | Desert Strike (Minimal Wear) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-desert-strike-minimal-wear) [pOca](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/pOca) $1.49 $0.28 0.19x 2026-11-11 13:03 UTC

[AUG | Amber Slipstream (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-amber-slipstream-field-tested) [nononono](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/nononono) $1.49 $0.38 0.25x 2026-11-11 12:19 UTC

[FAMAS | Crypsis (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-crypsis-field-tested) [nononono](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/nononono) $1.49 $0.25 0.17x 2026-11-11 12:19 UTC

[MP5-SD | Desert Strike (Minimal Wear) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-desert-strike-minimal-wear) [nononono](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/nononono) $1.49 $0.28 0.19x 2026-11-11 12:19 UTC

[MP5-SD | Desert Strike (Minimal Wear) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-desert-strike-minimal-wear) [b1ka](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/b1ka) $1.49 $0.28 0.19x 2026-11-11 11:12 UTC

[AUG | Amber Slipstream (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-amber-slipstream-field-tested) [b1ka](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/b1ka) $1.49 $0.37 0.25x 2026-11-11 11:12 UTC

[MP5-SD | Desert Strike (Minimal Wear) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-desert-strike-minimal-wear) [b1ka](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/b1ka) $1.49 $0.28 0.19x 2026-11-11 11:11 UTC

[FAMAS | Crypsis (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-crypsis-field-tested) [,,N!ppL3"](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%2C%2CN!ppL3%22) $1.49 $0.25 0.17x 2026-11-11 10:36 UTC

[MP7 | Mischief (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-mischief-field-tested) [,,N!ppL3"](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%2C%2CN!ppL3%22) $1.49 $0.32 0.22x 2026-11-11 10:36 UTC

[FAMAS | Crypsis (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-crypsis-field-tested) [☜☆☞Mirich\_M☜☆☞](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%E2%98%9C%E2%98%86%E2%98%9EMirich_M%E2%98%9C%E2%98%86%E2%98%9E) $1.49 $0.25 0.17x 2026-11-11 09:34 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $1.49 | 66.60% | 12 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $1.49 | 66.45% | 12 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $1.49 | 66.43% | 12 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $1.49 | 66.67% | 12 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $1.49 | 66.97% | 12 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $1.49 | 66.97% | 12 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $1.49 | 66.97% | 12 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $1.49 | 67.04% | 12 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $1.49 | 67.09% | 12 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $1.49 | 67.45% | 12 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $1.49 | 67.42% | 12 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $1.49 | 67.42% | 12 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $1.49 | 67.46% | 12 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $1.49 | 67.45% | 12 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $1.49 | 67.47% | 12 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $1.49 | 67.46% | 12 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $1.49 | 67.44% | 12 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $1.49 | 67.44% | 12 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $1.49 | 67.45% | 12 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $1.49 | 67.46% | 12 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $1.49 | 67.38% | 12 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $1.49 | 67.52% | 12 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $1.49 | 67.79% | 12 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $1.49 | 67.81% | 12 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $1.49 | 67.72% | 12 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $1.49 | 67.46% | 12 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $1.49 | 67.54% | 12 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $1.49 | 67.53% | 12 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $1.49 | 67.55% | 12 |
| 4 Nov, 14:19 UTC | $1.49 | 67.51% | 12 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed 1 20.5% covert 0.5% gold 0.0% extraordinary 0.0% rare 0.1% mil spec 68.2% milspec 10.6% best hit $158 (106.1x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 66.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $66.60 on average: an expected loss of $33.40 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt