---
title: "Seyka case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Seyka ($2.19) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 73.68% from 33 items with odds, observed 74.54% over 1,882 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/seyka
rendered: 2026-11-11T14:10Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [Seyka](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/seyka)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · Seyka

A case on csgo.net (Blogger), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/seyka?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/seyka?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/seyka) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/seyka?window=all)

Price · $2.19

Advertised RTP · 73.68% · EV $1.61 from 33 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 74.54% · 1,882 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.4× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 35.5% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 89.2% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 71.73% ±9.07 211 openings

7 days · 74.24% ±3.57 1,627 openings

30 days · 74.54% ±3.32 1,882 openings

since tracking started · 74.54% ±3.32 1,882 openings

62.0% 71.8% 81.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/seyka?window=24h) | 211 | 71.73% ±9.07 | −0.4σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/seyka?window=7d) | 1,627 | 74.24% ±3.57 | −0.2σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/seyka) | 1,882 | 74.54% ±3.32 | −0.0σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/seyka?window=all) | 1,882 | 74.54% ±3.32 | −0.0σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 33 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,882 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [M4A1-S \| Cyrex (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-cyrex-field-tested) | 1 in 191,461 | $177 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Autotronic (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-autotronic-field-tested) | 1 in 189,951 | $167 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 185,606 | $147 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-minimal-wear) | 1 in 172,429 | $116 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 168,520 | $110 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-field-tested) | 1 in 164,629 | $105 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 135,455 | $80.39 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Bronze Morph (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-bronze-morph-field-tested) | 1 in 110,028 | $67.14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-field-tested) | 1 in 95,503 | $60.93 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Bullet Queen (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bullet-queen-field-tested) | 1 in 75,237 | $53.04 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Player Two (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-minimal-wear) | 1 in 74,281 | $52.68 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 52,652 | $44.54 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Needle Point (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-needle-point-field-tested) | 1 in 47,715 | $42.63 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 44,946 | $41.54 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-field-tested) | 1 in 36,894 | $38.24 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Stalker (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-stalker-field-tested) | 1 in 24,830 | $32.71 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AWP \| Chromatic Aberration (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chromatic-aberration-field-tested) | 1 in 23,148 | $31.85 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-field-tested) | 1 in 5,431 | $18.99 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-snack-attack-field-tested) | 1 in 4,424 | $17.70 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-field-tested) | 1 in 3,037 | $15.56 | 0.3% | 3 | 0.6 | — |
| [M4A4 \| 龍王 (Dragon King) (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dragon-king-field-tested) | 1 in 1,424 | $12.02 | 0.5% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.76× |
| [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-field-tested) | 1 in 1,405 | $11.97 | 0.5% | 4 | 1.3 | 2.99× |
| [MAC-10 \| Disco Tech (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-disco-tech-field-tested) | 1 in 162 | $5.68 | 2.2% | 23 | 11.6 | 1.98× |
| [AWP \| Mortis (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-field-tested) | 1 in 47 | $3.58 | 4.8% | 79 | 40.4 | 1.96× |
| [MP9 \| Food Chain (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $3.37 | 5.2% | 59 | 47.0 | 1.25× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Urban Hazard (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-urban-hazard-minimal-wear) | 1 in 19 | $2.44 | 8.1% | 63 | 100.3 | 0.63× |
| [AWP \| Phobos (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-phobos-minimal-wear) | 1 in 15 | $2.16 | 9.2% | 133 | 128.8 | 1.03× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Tigris (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tigris-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $2.09 | 9.5% | 126 | 137.4 | 0.92× |
| [Glock-18 \| Nuclear Garden (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-nuclear-garden-field-tested) | 10.5% | $1.70 | 11.1% | 220 | 198.4 | 1.11× |
| [AUG \| Random Access (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-random-access-minimal-wear) | 12.1% | $1.56 | 11.7% | 28 | 227.0 | 0.12× |
| [SG 553 \| Triarch (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-triarch-field-tested) | 16.1% | $1.22 | 12.2% | 217 | 303.2 | 0.72× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Tacticat (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tacticat-field-tested) | 17.9% | $1.07 | 11.9% | 240 | 337.0 | 0.71× |
| [Glock-18 \| Candy Apple (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-candy-apple-minimal-wear) | 18.4% | $1.02 | 11.6% | 124 | 346.4 | 0.36× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=seyka)

[SG 553 | Triarch (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-triarch-field-tested) [TrackL1ght](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/TrackL1ght) $2.19 $1.21 0.55x 2026-11-11 14:04 UTC

[Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-nuclear-garden-field-tested) [MindFree](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/MindFree) $2.19 $1.71 0.78x 2026-11-11 14:04 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Eco weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-eco) [MindFree](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/MindFree) $2.19 $0.75 0.34x 2026-11-11 14:03 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Tacticat (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tacticat-field-tested) [Trace](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Trace) $2.19 $1.11 0.51x 2026-11-11 14:03 UTC

[MP9 | Food Chain (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-field-tested) [guts](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/guts) $2.19 $3.40 1.55x 2026-11-11 13:54 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tigris-field-tested) [guts](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/guts) $2.19 $2.23 1.02x 2026-11-11 13:54 UTC

[Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-nuclear-garden-field-tested) [guts](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/guts) $2.19 $1.71 0.78x 2026-11-11 13:54 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Tacticat (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tacticat-field-tested) [guts](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/guts) $2.19 $1.11 0.51x 2026-11-11 13:54 UTC

[Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-candy-apple-minimal-wear) [guts](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/guts) $2.19 $1.02 0.47x 2026-11-11 13:54 UTC

[AWP | Phobos (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-phobos-minimal-wear) [\[̲̅w̲̅\]oody](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%5B%CC%B2%CC%85w%CC%B2%CC%85%5Doody) $2.19 $2.07 0.95x 2026-11-11 13:48 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $2.19 | 73.68% | 33 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $2.19 | 73.47% | 34 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $2.19 | 73.52% | 34 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $2.19 | 73.84% | 34 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $2.19 | 74.19% | 34 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $2.19 | 74.15% | 34 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $2.19 | 74.14% | 34 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $2.19 | 74.14% | 34 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $2.19 | 74.21% | 35 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $2.19 | 74.67% | 35 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $2.19 | 74.57% | 35 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $2.19 | 74.60% | 35 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $2.19 | 74.64% | 35 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $2.19 | 74.64% | 35 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $2.19 | 74.63% | 35 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $2.19 | 74.70% | 35 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $2.19 | 74.59% | 35 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $2.19 | 74.61% | 34 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $2.19 | 74.64% | 34 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $2.19 | 74.70% | 34 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $2.19 | 74.57% | 34 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $2.19 | 74.75% | 34 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $2.19 | 75.05% | 34 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $2.19 | 75.05% | 34 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $2.19 | 74.89% | 34 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $2.19 | 74.77% | 34 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $2.19 | 74.76% | 34 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $2.19 | 74.71% | 34 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $2.19 | 74.75% | 34 |
| 4 Nov, 14:19 UTC | $2.19 | 74.79% | 34 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.0% red 0.0% extraordinary 0.0% Ancient 0.0% classified 4.9% Legendary 0.6% mil spec 23.7% #8847ff 24.8% restricted 34.0% Mythical 12.1% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 73.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $73.68 on average: an expected loss of $26.32 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt