---
title: "Shattered Web case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Shattered Web ($2.29) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 76.59% from 19 items with odds, observed 77.25% over 722 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/shatteredweb
rendered: 2026-11-11T16:51Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [Shattered Web](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/shatteredweb)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · Shattered Web

A case on csgo.net (Standard), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/shatteredweb?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/shatteredweb?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/shatteredweb) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/shatteredweb?window=all)

Price · $2.29

Advertised RTP · 76.59% · EV $1.75 from 19 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 77.25% · 722 openings, odds method

Variance · 4.0× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 38.8% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 89.9% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 76.88% ±37.19 106 openings

7 days · 74.52% ±17.16 534 openings

30 days · 77.25% ±14.69 722 openings

since tracking started · 77.25% ±14.69 722 openings

39.0% 76.8% 114.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/shatteredweb?window=24h) | 106 | 76.88% ±37.2 | +0.0σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/shatteredweb?window=7d) | 534 | 74.52% ±17.2 | −0.3σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/shatteredweb) | 722 | 77.25% ±14.7 | −0.0σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/shatteredweb?window=all) | 722 | 77.25% ±14.7 | −0.0σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 19 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 722 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 9,987 | $268 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 9,982 | $238 | 1.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Stained (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-stained-minimal-wear) | 1 in 9,952 | $171 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-blue-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 9,915 | $141 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 9,793 | $105 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 9,528 | $78.71 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-field-tested) | 1 in 8,486 | $51.34 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-boreal-forest-field-tested) | 1 in 7,571 | $42.21 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Stalker (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-stalker-field-tested) | 1 in 5,927 | $32.73 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Bloodshot (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-bloodshot-field-tested) | 1 in 1,775 | $17.26 | 0.6% | 2 | 0.4 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Decimator (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-decimator-field-tested) | 1 in 1,339 | $15.42 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [SG 553 \| Colony IV (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-colony-iv-field-tested) | 1 in 303 | $8.94 | 1.7% | 0 | 2.4 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Rat Rod (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod-field-tested) | 1 in 28 | $3.71 | 7.4% | 24 | 25.4 | 0.94× |
| [P2000 \| Obsidian (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-obsidian-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $2.95 | 10.0% | 63 | 43.1 | 1.46× |
| [MP7 \| Neon Ply (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-neon-ply-well-worn) | 13.5% | $1.89 | 14.5% | 110 | 97.3 | 1.13× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Embargo (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-embargo-field-tested) | 15.2% | $1.73 | 15.0% | 42 | 110.0 | 0.38× |
| [AUG \| Arctic Wolf (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-arctic-wolf-field-tested) | 17.4% | $1.54 | 15.3% | 175 | 125.6 | 1.39× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Memento (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-memento-field-tested) | 21.3% | $1.20 | 14.5% | 10 | 153.5 | 0.07× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Balance (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-balance-well-worn) | 22.6% | $1.05 | 13.5% | 118 | 162.9 | 0.72× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=shatteredweb)

[R8 Revolver | Memento (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-memento-field-tested) [TOXIC GAME BOY](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/TOXIC%20GAME%20BOY) $2.29 $1.20 0.52x 2026-11-11 15:32 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Balance (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-balance-well-worn) [Luka Sion](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Luka%20Sion) $2.29 $1.05 0.46x 2026-11-11 14:15 UTC

[MP7 | Neon Ply (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-neon-ply-well-worn) [HypE](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/HypE) $2.29 $1.89 0.83x 2026-11-11 14:06 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Balance (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-balance-well-worn) [HypE](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/HypE) $2.29 $1.05 0.46x 2026-11-11 14:05 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Balance (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-balance-well-worn) [MR\_pResidenT(business\_)](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/MR_pResidenT%28business_%29) $2.29 $1.05 0.46x 2026-11-11 13:49 UTC

[MP7 | Neon Ply (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-neon-ply-well-worn) [MindFree](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/MindFree) $2.29 $1.90 0.83x 2026-11-11 13:39 UTC

[MP7 | Neon Ply (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-neon-ply-well-worn) [MindFree](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/MindFree) $2.29 $1.90 0.83x 2026-11-11 13:38 UTC

[AUG | Arctic Wolf (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-arctic-wolf-field-tested) [Сырок](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%A1%D1%8B%D1%80%D0%BE%D0%BA) $2.29 $1.50 0.66x 2026-11-11 12:56 UTC

[MP7 | Neon Ply (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-neon-ply-well-worn) [Сырок](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%A1%D1%8B%D1%80%D0%BE%D0%BA) $2.29 $1.91 0.83x 2026-11-11 12:55 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Balance (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-balance-well-worn) [FeRlEsS](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/FeRlEsS) $2.29 $1.05 0.46x 2026-11-11 12:46 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC | $2.29 | 76.59% | 19 |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $2.29 | 76.27% | 19 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $2.29 | 76.19% | 19 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $2.29 | 76.17% | 19 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $2.29 | 76.57% | 18 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $2.29 | 76.82% | 18 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $2.29 | 76.78% | 18 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $2.29 | 76.78% | 18 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $2.29 | 76.77% | 18 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $2.29 | 76.92% | 18 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $2.29 | 77.46% | 18 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $2.29 | 77.38% | 18 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $2.29 | 77.39% | 18 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $2.29 | 77.41% | 18 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $2.29 | 77.35% | 18 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $2.29 | 77.37% | 18 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $2.29 | 77.32% | 18 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $2.29 | 77.27% | 18 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $2.29 | 77.40% | 18 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $2.29 | 77.37% | 18 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $2.29 | 77.30% | 18 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $2.29 | 77.32% | 18 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $2.29 | 77.49% | 18 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $2.29 | 77.79% | 18 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $2.29 | 77.74% | 18 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $2.29 | 77.68% | 18 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $2.29 | 77.28% | 18 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $2.29 | 77.33% | 18 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $2.29 | 77.42% | 19 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $2.29 | 77.46% | 19 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.1% gold 0.0% covert knife 0.0% classified 0.5% violet 3.5% restricted 52.1% mil spec 43.8% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 76.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $76.59 on average: an expected loss of $23.41 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt