---
title: "Shure SM7B case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Shure SM7B ($0.09) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 73.21% from 28 items with odds, observed 90.11% over 1,037 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/shuresm7b
rendered: 2026-11-11T18:13Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [Shure SM7B](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/shuresm7b)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · Shure SM7B

A case on csgo.net, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/shuresm7b?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/shuresm7b?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/shuresm7b) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/shuresm7b?window=all)

Price · $0.09

Advertised RTP · 73.21% · EV $0.07 from 28 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 90.11% · 1,037 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.5× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 37.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 89.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 69 openings · below min

7 days · 88.79% ±4.50 858 openings

30 days · 90.11% ±4.09 1,037 openings

since tracking started · 90.11% ±4.09 1,037 openings

72.5% 92.5% 112.5%

**Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 73.87% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (86.02% – 94.20%, 1,037 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/shuresm7b?window=24h) | 69 | 94.81% ±16.8 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/shuresm7b?window=7d) | 858 | 88.79% ±4.50 | +6.5σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/shuresm7b) | 1,037 | 90.11% ±4.09 | +7.8σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/shuresm7b?window=all) | 1,037 | 90.11% ±4.09 | +7.8σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 28 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,037 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [MAC-10 \| Malachite (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-malachite-minimal-wear) | 1 in 9,787 | $2.97 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Midnight Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-midnight-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 9,574 | $2.34 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Breakthrough (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-breakthrough-field-tested) | 1 in 9,220 | $1.89 | 0.3% | 2 | 0.1 | — |
| [Charm \| Lil' Moments charm · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-moments) | 1 in 8,660 | $1.54 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AUG \| Aristocrat (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-aristocrat-field-tested) | 1 in 7,228 | $1.14 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Heat Treated (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-heat-treated-field-tested) | 1 in 7,122 | $1.12 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [MP9 \| Goo (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-goo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 7,127 | $1.12 | 0.2% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [Dual Berettas \| Hydro Strike (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-hydro-strike-field-tested) | 1 in 5,334 | $0.87 | 0.2% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [MP7 \| Anodized Navy (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-anodized-navy-factory-new) | 1 in 3,359 | $0.66 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [Charm \| Glamour Shot charm · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-glamour-shot) | 1 in 2,698 | $0.59 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [MP5-SD \| Agent (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-agent-field-tested) | 1 in 2,014 | $0.52 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [P2000 \| Handgun (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-handgun-well-worn) | 1 in 2,028 | $0.52 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [UMP-45 \| Continuum (Well-Worn) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-continuum-well-worn) | 1 in 1,360 | $0.45 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [P250 \| Cyber Shell (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cyber-shell-field-tested) | 1 in 778 | $0.36 | 0.7% | 5 | 1.3 | 3.75× |
| [Glock-18 \| Clear Polymer (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-clear-polymer-field-tested) | 1 in 696 | $0.35 | 0.8% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.67× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Urban Rubble (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-urban-rubble-minimal-wear) | 1 in 615 | $0.33 | 0.8% | 4 | 1.7 | 2.37× |
| [USP-S \| Alpine Camo (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-alpine-camo-field-tested) | 1 in 359 | $0.27 | 1.2% | 3 | 2.9 | 1.04× |
| [SG 553 \| Aloha (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-aloha-minimal-wear) | 1 in 210 | $0.23 | 1.6% | 8 | 4.9 | 1.62× |
| [MP5-SD \| Co-Processor (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-co-processor-field-tested) | 1 in 55 | $0.14 | 3.8% | 24 | 19.0 | 1.26× |
| [FAMAS \| Teardown (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-teardown-field-tested) | 1 in 36 | $0.12 | 5.0% | 40 | 29.0 | 1.38× |
| [Charm \| Lil' Ava charm · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-ava) | 1 in 21 | $0.09 | 6.9% | 61 | 50.0 | 1.22× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Hideout (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-hideout-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $0.08 | 8.7% | 99 | 78.6 | 1.26× |
| [Glock-18 \| Winterized (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-winterized-well-worn) | 1 in 12 | $0.07 | 9.2% | 5 | 87.7 | 0.06× |
| [SSG 08 \| Mainframe 001 (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-mainframe-001-well-worn) | 1 in 10 | $0.07 | 10.0% | 13 | 103.6 | 0.13× |
| [Tec-9 \| Slag (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-slag-field-tested) | 11.9% | $0.06 | 10.8% | 289 | 123.4 | 2.34× |
| [Galil AR \| Cold Fusion (Field-Tested) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-cold-fusion-field-tested) | 16.3% | $0.05 | 11.9% | 0 | 169.5 | 0.00× |
| [MAC-10 \| Ensnared (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-ensnared-well-worn) | 16.8% | $0.05 | 12.0% | 1 | 174.6 | 0.01× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Copper Fiber (Field-Tested) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-copper-fiber-field-tested) | 17.9% | $0.04 | 12.2% | 0 | 185.6 | 0.00× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=shuresm7b)

[Tec-9 | Slag (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-slag-field-tested) [stepandoubrava07](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/stepandoubrava07) $0.09 $0.05 0.57x 2026-11-11 15:36 UTC

[SSG 08 | Mainframe 001 (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-mainframe-001-well-worn) [𝐒𝐌𝟏𝐋𝐄](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%F0%9D%90%92%F0%9D%90%8C%F0%9D%9F%8F%F0%9D%90%8B%F0%9D%90%84) $0.09 $0.07 0.73x 2026-11-11 14:56 UTC

[MAC-10 | Ensnared (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-ensnared-well-worn) [𝐒𝐌𝟏𝐋𝐄](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%F0%9D%90%92%F0%9D%90%8C%F0%9D%9F%8F%F0%9D%90%8B%F0%9D%90%84) $0.09 $0.05 0.52x 2026-11-11 14:56 UTC

[USP-S | Alpine Camo (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-alpine-camo-field-tested) [𝐒𝐌𝟏𝐋𝐄](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%F0%9D%90%92%F0%9D%90%8C%F0%9D%9F%8F%F0%9D%90%8B%F0%9D%90%84) $0.09 $0.27 3.03x 2026-11-11 14:56 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Hideout (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-hideout-minimal-wear) [𝐒𝐌𝟏𝐋𝐄](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%F0%9D%90%92%F0%9D%90%8C%F0%9D%9F%8F%F0%9D%90%8B%F0%9D%90%84) $0.09 $0.08 0.84x 2026-11-11 14:56 UTC

[Glock-18 | Winterized (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-winterized-well-worn) [𝐒𝐌𝟏𝐋𝐄](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%F0%9D%90%92%F0%9D%90%8C%F0%9D%9F%8F%F0%9D%90%8B%F0%9D%90%84) $0.09 $0.07 0.80x 2026-11-11 14:55 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Hideout (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-hideout-minimal-wear) [𝐒𝐌𝟏𝐋𝐄](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%F0%9D%90%92%F0%9D%90%8C%F0%9D%9F%8F%F0%9D%90%8B%F0%9D%90%84) $0.09 $0.08 0.84x 2026-11-11 14:55 UTC

[Charm | Lil' Ava charm · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-ava) [𝐒𝐌𝟏𝐋𝐄](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%F0%9D%90%92%F0%9D%90%8C%F0%9D%9F%8F%F0%9D%90%8B%F0%9D%90%84) $0.09 $0.09 1.04x 2026-11-11 14:55 UTC

[SSG 08 | Mainframe 001 (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-mainframe-001-well-worn) [𝐒𝐌𝟏𝐋𝐄](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%F0%9D%90%92%F0%9D%90%8C%F0%9D%9F%8F%F0%9D%90%8B%F0%9D%90%84) $0.09 $0.07 0.73x 2026-11-11 14:55 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Hideout (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-hideout-field-tested) [𝐒𝐌𝟏𝐋𝐄](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%F0%9D%90%92%F0%9D%90%8C%F0%9D%9F%8F%F0%9D%90%8B%F0%9D%90%84) $0.09 $0.08 0.84x 2026-11-11 14:54 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC | $0.09 | 73.21% | 28 |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $0.09 | 73.06% | 28 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $0.09 | 72.89% | 28 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $0.09 | 72.89% | 29 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $0.09 | 73.22% | 29 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $0.09 | 73.54% | 28 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $0.09 | 73.47% | 29 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $0.09 | 73.73% | 28 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $0.09 | 73.57% | 28 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $0.09 | 73.32% | 28 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $0.09 | 73.71% | 28 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $0.09 | 73.81% | 28 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $0.09 | 73.81% | 28 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $0.09 | 73.70% | 28 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $0.09 | 74.11% | 28 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $0.09 | 74.06% | 28 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $0.09 | 74.05% | 28 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $0.09 | 73.77% | 28 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $0.09 | 73.91% | 28 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $0.09 | 74.03% | 28 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $0.09 | 74.12% | 28 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $0.09 | 73.76% | 28 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $0.09 | 74.11% | 28 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $0.09 | 74.15% | 28 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $0.09 | 74.25% | 29 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $0.09 | 74.04% | 28 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $0.09 | 73.80% | 28 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $0.09 | 73.99% | 28 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $0.09 | 74.09% | 29 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $0.09 | 73.78% | 28 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed restricted 0.1% Mythical 0.0% #8847ff 0.2% pink 0.0% violet 0.0% blue 9.4% uncommon 4.9% common 0.1% Rare 0.3% #4b69ff 15.5% milspec 35.3% #87c7ff 16.3% #5e98d9 17.9% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 73.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $73.21 on average: an expected loss of $26.79 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt