---
title: "Skeleton case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Skeleton ($4.79) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 75.56% from 42 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/skeleton
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:24Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [Skeleton](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/skeleton)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · Skeleton

A case on csgo.net, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/skeleton?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/skeleton?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/skeleton) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/skeleton?window=all)

Price · $4.79

Advertised RTP · 75.56% · EV $3.62 from 42 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 1.0× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 25.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 84.4% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/skeleton?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/skeleton?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/skeleton) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/skeleton?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 42 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Five-SeveN \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 124,442 | $227 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Golden Koi (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-golden-koi-minimal-wear) | 1 in 82,339 | $171 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-field-tested) | 1 in 70,097 | $156 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 59,793 | $145 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-boreal-forest-field-tested) | 1 in 35,962 | $116 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Wasteland Rebel (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-wasteland-rebel-field-tested) | 1 in 21,772 | $95.26 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| See Ya Later (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-see-ya-later-field-tested) | 1 in 21,391 | $94.63 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P90 \| Emerald Dragon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-emerald-dragon-field-tested) | 1 in 17,301 | $87.48 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Franklin (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-franklin-field-tested) | 1 in 10,239 | $72.46 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,104 | $72.12 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Cobalt Disruption (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-minimal-wear) | 1 in 8,408 | $67.61 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Jade (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-jade-field-tested) | 1 in 7,920 | $66.21 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Leet Museo (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-leet-museo-well-worn) | 1 in 7,738 | $65.68 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Nightwish (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-minimal-wear) | 1 in 6,293 | $61.12 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Turtle (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-turtle-field-tested) | 1 in 4,544 | $54.61 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-forest-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 4,533 | $54.57 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Player Two (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,091 | $52.68 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-field-tested) | 1 in 3,890 | $51.77 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,509 | $44.54 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Aquamarine Revenge (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-field-tested) | 1 in 1,328 | $35.81 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| In Living Color (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-in-living-color-field-tested) | 1 in 888 | $31.18 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Racing Green (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-racing-green-field-tested) | 1 in 614 | $27.44 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Caiman (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-caiman-field-tested) | 1 in 371 | $23.00 | 1.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-field-tested) | 1 in 217 | $18.99 | 2.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Corticera (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-corticera-minimal-wear) | 1 in 206 | $18.65 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Bloodshot (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-bloodshot-field-tested) | 1 in 170 | $17.39 | 2.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Toybox (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-toybox-field-tested) | 1 in 133 | $15.87 | 3.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Djinn (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-djinn-minimal-wear) | 1 in 68 | $12.25 | 5.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP9 \| Airlock (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-airlock-minimal-wear) | 1 in 65 | $12.01 | 5.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Eco (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-eco-field-tested) | 1 in 62 | $11.80 | 5.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sawed-Off \| Devourer (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-devourer-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $5.10 | 11.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Death by Puppy (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-death-by-puppy-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $4.23 | 11.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-field-tested) | 1 in 10 | $4.15 | 10.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| Visions (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-visions-field-tested) | 10.7% | $3.39 | 10.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Phobos (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-phobos-minimal-wear) | 10.7% | $2.16 | 6.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Remote Control (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-remote-control-well-worn) | 10.6% | $2.11 | 6.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Grinder (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-grinder-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11 | $1.63 | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SCAR-20 \| Powercore (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-powercore-well-worn) | 1 in 14 | $1.10 | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Emphorosaur-S (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $0.85 | 1.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Eco (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-eco-well-worn) | 1 in 21 | $0.68 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| Inferno (Field-Tested) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-inferno-field-tested) | 1 in 27 | $0.53 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [R8 Revolver \| Crazy 8 (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-crazy-8-field-tested) | 1 in 39 | $0.36 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=skeleton)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $4.79 | 75.56% | 42 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $4.79 | 75.43% | 42 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $4.79 | 75.43% | 42 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $4.79 | 75.71% | 42 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $4.79 | 76.05% | 42 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $4.79 | 76.04% | 42 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $4.79 | 76.03% | 42 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $4.79 | 76.09% | 42 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $4.79 | 76.13% | 42 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $4.79 | 76.57% | 42 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $4.79 | 76.55% | 42 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $4.79 | 76.53% | 42 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $4.79 | 76.57% | 42 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $4.79 | 76.57% | 42 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $4.79 | 76.59% | 42 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $4.79 | 76.59% | 42 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $4.79 | 76.55% | 42 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $4.79 | 76.54% | 42 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $4.79 | 76.58% | 42 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $4.79 | 76.58% | 42 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $4.79 | 76.51% | 42 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $4.79 | 76.63% | 42 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $4.79 | 76.96% | 42 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $4.79 | 76.98% | 42 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $4.79 | 76.87% | 42 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $4.79 | 76.59% | 42 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $4.79 | 76.69% | 42 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $4.79 | 76.64% | 42 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $4.79 | 76.65% | 42 |
| 4 Nov, 14:19 UTC | $4.79 | 76.62% | 42 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.2% Immortal 0.0% covert knife 0.0% red 0.0% classified 20.6% Mythical 9.5% Covert 0.0% extraordinary 0.2% Ancient 0.1% pink 22.0% #d32ee6 3.0% Legendary 9.5% #8847ff 23.7% restricted 4.8% Restricted 3.7% violet 2.6%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 75.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $75.56 on average: an expected loss of $24.44 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
