---
title: "Snakebite Case case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Snakebite Case ($0.53) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 76.05% from 17 items with odds, observed 97.47% over 2,539 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/snakebitecase
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:23Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [Snakebite Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/snakebitecase)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · Snakebite Case

A case on csgo.net (Standard), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/snakebitecase?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/snakebitecase?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/snakebitecase) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/snakebitecase?window=all)

Price · $0.53

Advertised RTP · 76.05% · EV $0.40 from 17 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 97.47% · 2,539 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.3× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 39.9% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 89.4% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 90.65% ±17.21 165 openings

7 days · 98.52% ±5.01 2,317 openings

30 days · 97.47% ±4.81 2,539 openings

since tracking started · 97.47% ±4.81 2,539 openings

73.0% 90.8% 108.5%

**Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 77.12% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (92.67% – 102.28%, 2,539 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/snakebitecase?window=24h) | 165 | 90.65% ±17.2 | +1.7σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/snakebitecase?window=7d) | 2,317 | 98.52% ±5.01 | +8.4σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/snakebitecase) | 2,539 | 97.47% ±4.81 | +8.3σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/snakebitecase?window=all) | 2,539 | 97.47% ±4.81 | +8.3σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 17 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,539 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [M4A4 \| In Living Color (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-in-living-color-field-tested) | 1 in 9,460 | $31.18 | 0.8% | 2 | 0.3 | — |
| [USP-S \| The Traitor (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-the-traitor-field-tested) | 1 in 9,437 | $30.73 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Slate (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-field-tested) | 1 in 329 | $3.77 | 2.8% | 42 | 7.7 | 5.44× |
| [XM1014 \| XOXO (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-xoxo-field-tested) | 1 in 254 | $3.43 | 3.4% | 16 | 10.0 | 1.60× |
| [Galil AR \| Chromatic Aberration (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-field-tested) | 1 in 248 | $3.40 | 3.4% | 15 | 10.2 | 1.46× |
| [MP9 \| Food Chain (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-field-tested) | 1 in 242 | $3.37 | 3.5% | 23 | 10.5 | 2.19× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Trigger Discipline (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $0.68 | 15.3% | 356 | 230.9 | 1.54× |
| [MAC-10 \| Button Masher (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-button-masher-field-tested) | 1 in 10 | $0.38 | 9.1% | 317 | 248.8 | 1.27× |
| [Glock-18 \| Clear Polymer (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-clear-polymer-field-tested) | 1 in 10 | $0.37 | 9.1% | 32 | 248.3 | 0.13× |
| [P250 \| Cyber Shell (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cyber-shell-field-tested) | 1 in 10 | $0.36 | 8.7% | 375 | 245.5 | 1.53× |
| [Negev \| dev\_texture (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-dev-texture-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $0.34 | 8.1% | 326 | 240.8 | 1.35× |
| [SG 553 \| Heavy Metal (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-heavy-metal-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $0.34 | 7.8% | 33 | 238.8 | 0.14× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Junk Yard (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-junk-yard-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $0.31 | 6.9% | 23 | 228.8 | 0.10× |
| [Nova \| Windblown (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-windblown-minimal-wear) | 1 in 12 | $0.28 | 5.8% | 88 | 215.8 | 0.41× |
| [UMP-45 \| Oscillator (Field-Tested) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-oscillator-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $0.25 | 5.1% | 0 | 204.3 | 0.00× |
| [M249 \| O.S.I.P.R. (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-o-s-i-p-r-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $0.24 | 4.8% | 118 | 199.5 | 0.59× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Circaetus (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-circaetus-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $0.24 | 4.7% | 61 | 198.5 | 0.31× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[M4A4 | In Living Color (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-in-living-color-field-tested) [rina](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/rina) $0.53 $30.58 57.70x 2026-11-05 06:45 UTC

[M4A4 | In Living Color (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-in-living-color-field-tested) [rina](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/rina) $0.53 $30.58 57.70x 2026-11-05 06:19 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=snakebitecase)

[Nova | Windblown (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-windblown-minimal-wear) [Don Bobrini](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Don%20Bobrini) $0.53 $0.28 0.52x 2026-11-11 13:22 UTC

[Negev | dev\_texture (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-dev-texture-field-tested) [Don Bobrini](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Don%20Bobrini) $0.53 $0.36 0.68x 2026-11-11 13:22 UTC

[SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-heavy-metal-field-tested) [Don Bobrini](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Don%20Bobrini) $0.53 $0.24 0.46x 2026-11-11 13:22 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-field-tested) [Don Bobrini](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Don%20Bobrini) $0.53 $0.70 1.32x 2026-11-11 13:22 UTC

[R8 Revolver | Junk Yard (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-junk-yard-field-tested) [Don Bobrini](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Don%20Bobrini) $0.53 $0.31 0.58x 2026-11-11 13:22 UTC

[Negev | dev\_texture (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-dev-texture-field-tested) [Don Bobrini](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Don%20Bobrini) $0.53 $0.36 0.68x 2026-11-11 13:22 UTC

[SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-heavy-metal-field-tested) [Kosmik](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Kosmik) $0.53 $0.24 0.46x 2026-11-11 13:16 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-field-tested) [Kosmik](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Kosmik) $0.53 $0.70 1.32x 2026-11-11 13:16 UTC

[MAC-10 | Button Masher (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-button-masher-field-tested) [Kosmik](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Kosmik) $0.53 $0.40 0.75x 2026-11-11 13:16 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Circaetus (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-circaetus-field-tested) [Kosmik](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Kosmik) $0.53 $0.24 0.46x 2026-11-11 13:16 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $0.53 | 76.05% | 17 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $0.53 | 75.91% | 17 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $0.53 | 76.02% | 17 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $0.53 | 76.27% | 17 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $0.53 | 76.59% | 17 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $0.53 | 76.53% | 17 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $0.53 | 76.61% | 17 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $0.53 | 76.69% | 17 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $0.53 | 76.74% | 17 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $0.53 | 77.01% | 17 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $0.53 | 77.18% | 17 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $0.53 | 76.96% | 17 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $0.53 | 77.13% | 17 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $0.53 | 77.05% | 17 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $0.53 | 77.19% | 17 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $0.53 | 77.17% | 17 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $0.53 | 77.00% | 17 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $0.53 | 77.01% | 17 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $0.53 | 77.11% | 17 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $0.53 | 77.20% | 17 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $0.53 | 76.96% | 17 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $0.53 | 77.15% | 17 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $0.53 | 77.45% | 17 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $0.53 | 77.56% | 17 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $0.53 | 77.46% | 17 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $0.53 | 77.06% | 17 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $0.53 | 77.27% | 17 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $0.53 | 77.18% | 17 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $0.53 | 77.17% | 17 |
| 4 Nov, 14:19 UTC | $0.53 | 77.15% | 17 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed Ancient 0.0% red 0.0% Mythical 9.4% Legendary 0.8% classified 0.4% #8847ff 19.5% Rare 17.6% violet 9.5% #4b69ff 9.4% blue 16.9% Mil Spec 8.5% Mil Spec Grade 8.0% best hit $30.58 (57.70x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 76.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $76.05 on average: an expected loss of $23.95 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt