--- title: "Solana case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Solana ($1.09) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 73.14% from 6 items with odds, observed 84.03% over 3,357 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/solana rendered: 2026-11-11T14:09Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [Solana](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/solana) # [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · Solana A case on csgo.net, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/solana?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/solana?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/solana) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/solana?window=all) Price · $1.09 Advertised RTP · 73.14% · EV $0.80 from 6 items Observed RTP, 30d · 84.03% · 3,357 openings, odds method Variance · 0.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 61.2% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 98.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 85.27% ±5.56 797 openings 7 days · 83.90% ±2.98 2,955 openings 30 days · 84.03% ±2.80 3,357 openings since tracking started · 84.03% ±2.80 3,357 openings 72.5% 82.0% 91.5% **Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 73.85% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (81.24% – 86.83%, 3,357 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/solana?window=24h) | 797 | 85.27% ±5.56 | +4.3σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/solana?window=7d) | 2,955 | 83.90% ±2.98 | +6.7σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/solana) | 3,357 | 84.03% ±2.80 | +7.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/solana?window=all) | 3,357 | 84.03% ±2.80 | +7.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,360 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [P90 \| Death by Kitty (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-death-by-kitty-field-tested) | 1 in 77,269 | $70.56 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-field-tested) | 1 in 62,585 | $63.34 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [AWP \| Crakow! (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-crakow-field-tested) | 1 in 2,806 | $19.91 | 0.9% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× | | [MAC-10 \| Disco Tech (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-disco-tech-field-tested) | 1 in 70 | $5.68 | 10.2% | 55 | 48.0 | 1.15× | | [CZ75-Auto \| Tacticat (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tacticat-field-tested) | 59.7% | $1.07 | 80.1% | 2,336 | 2005.8 | 1.16× | | [Charm \| Lil' Tusk charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-tusk) | 38.8% | $0.18 | 8.6% | 707 | 1304.9 | 0.54× | Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=solana) [CZ75-Auto | Tacticat (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tacticat-field-tested) [toyota](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/toyota) $1.09 $1.10 1.01x 2026-11-11 14:08 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Tacticat (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tacticat-field-tested) [toyota](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/toyota) $1.09 $1.10 1.01x 2026-11-11 14:08 UTC [Charm | Lil' Tusk charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-tusk) [toyota](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/toyota) $1.09 $0.13 0.12x 2026-11-11 14:08 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Tacticat (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tacticat-field-tested) [toyota](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/toyota) $1.09 $1.10 1.01x 2026-11-11 14:08 UTC [Charm | Lil' Tusk charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-tusk) [toyota](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/toyota) $1.09 $0.13 0.12x 2026-11-11 14:07 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Tacticat (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tacticat-field-tested) [toyota](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/toyota) $1.09 $1.10 1.01x 2026-11-11 14:07 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Tacticat (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tacticat-field-tested) [toyota](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/toyota) $1.09 $1.10 1.01x 2026-11-11 14:07 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Tacticat (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tacticat-field-tested) [toyota](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/toyota) $1.09 $1.10 1.01x 2026-11-11 14:07 UTC [Charm | Lil' Tusk charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-tusk) [toyota](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/toyota) $1.09 $0.13 0.12x 2026-11-11 14:06 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Tacticat (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tacticat-field-tested) [toyota](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/toyota) $1.09 $1.10 1.01x 2026-11-11 14:06 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $1.09 | 73.14% | 6 | | 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $1.09 | 72.67% | 6 | | 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $1.09 | 72.80% | 6 | | 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $1.09 | 73.39% | 6 | | 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $1.09 | 73.50% | 6 | | 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $1.09 | 73.21% | 6 | | 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $1.09 | 73.46% | 6 | | 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $1.09 | 73.45% | 6 | | 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $1.09 | 73.45% | 6 | | 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $1.09 | 74.16% | 6 | | 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $1.09 | 73.94% | 6 | | 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $1.09 | 73.94% | 6 | | 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $1.09 | 73.93% | 6 | | 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $1.09 | 74.21% | 6 | | 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $1.09 | 73.99% | 6 | | 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $1.09 | 73.99% | 6 | | 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $1.09 | 74.09% | 6 | | 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $1.09 | 74.16% | 6 | | 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $1.09 | 74.30% | 6 | | 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $1.09 | 74.30% | 6 | | 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $1.09 | 74.14% | 6 | | 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $1.09 | 74.24% | 6 | | 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $1.09 | 74.24% | 6 | | 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $1.09 | 74.24% | 6 | | 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $1.09 | 74.20% | 6 | | 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $1.09 | 74.16% | 6 | | 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $1.09 | 74.16% | 6 | | 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $1.09 | 74.15% | 6 | | 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $1.09 | 74.16% | 6 | | 4 Nov, 14:19 UTC | $1.09 | 74.09% | 6 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 0.0% pink 0.0% Legendary 1.4% #8847ff 59.7% #4b69ff 38.8% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 73.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $73.14 on average: an expected loss of $26.86 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt