---
title: "Космическая гонка 2.0 case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Космическая гонка 2.0 ($0.53) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 80.53% from 30 items with odds, observed 92.10% over 11.1K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/spacerace2
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:56Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [Космическая гонка 2.0](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/spacerace2)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · Космическая гонка 2.0

A case on csgo.net (Battle), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/spacerace2?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/spacerace2?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/spacerace2) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/spacerace2?window=all)

Price · $0.53

Advertised RTP · 80.53% · EV $0.43 from 30 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 92.10% · 11.1K openings, odds method

Variance · 0.7× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 36.1% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 82.7% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 91.47% ±4.46 1,291 openings

7 days · 92.17% ±1.69 9,375 openings

30 days · 92.10% ±1.56 11.1K openings

since tracking started · 92.10% ±1.56 11.1K openings

80.0% 88.3% 96.5%

**Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 81.47% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (90.54% – 93.66%, 11,090 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/spacerace2?window=24h) | 1,291 | 91.47% ±4.46 | +4.8σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/spacerace2?window=7d) | 9,375 | 92.17% ±1.69 | +12.5σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/spacerace2) | 11.1K | 92.10% ±1.56 | +13.3σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/spacerace2?window=all) | 11.1K | 92.10% ±1.56 | +13.3σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 30 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 11.1K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-snack-attack-field-tested) | 1 in 9,554 | $17.70 | 0.4% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.86× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-field-tested) | 1 in 9,463 | $16.58 | 0.4% | 4 | 1.2 | 3.41× |
| [AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-blue-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 9,003 | $13.27 | 0.3% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.81× |
| [XM1014 \| Tranquility (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-tranquility-field-tested) | 1 in 6,616 | $7.95 | 0.3% | 4 | 1.7 | 2.39× |
| [M4A1-S \| Party Animal (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-party-animal-field-tested) | 1 in 5,908 | $7.19 | 0.3% | 1 | 1.9 | 0.53× |
| [Tec-9 \| Titanium Bit (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-titanium-bit-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,820 | $7.10 | 0.3% | 3 | 1.9 | 1.57× |
| [MP7 \| Smoking Kills (Field-Tested) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-smoking-kills-field-tested) | 1 in 3,887 | $5.46 | 0.3% | 8 | 2.9 | 2.80× |
| [P250 \| Kintsugi (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-kintsugi-field-tested) | 1 in 3,790 | $5.38 | 0.3% | 9 | 2.9 | 3.08× |
| [SG 553 \| Cyrex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-cyrex-field-tested) | 1 in 2,339 | $4.26 | 0.4% | 13 | 4.7 | 2.74× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Yellow Jacket (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-yellow-jacket-field-tested) | 1 in 2,070 | $4.04 | 0.5% | 12 | 5.4 | 2.24× |
| [FAMAS \| ZX Spectron (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-zx-spectron-field-tested) | 1 in 943 | $2.95 | 0.7% | 23 | 11.8 | 1.96× |
| [AWP \| Duality (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-duality-field-tested) | 1 in 907 | $2.91 | 0.8% | 22 | 12.2 | 1.80× |
| [P90 \| Virus (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-virus-field-tested) | 1 in 734 | $2.69 | 0.9% | 13 | 15.1 | 0.86× |
| [MAC-10 \| Malachite (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-malachite-field-tested) | 1 in 328 | $1.99 | 1.4% | 70 | 33.8 | 2.07× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Reboot (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-reboot-field-tested) | 1 in 99 | $1.26 | 3.0% | 203 | 111.5 | 1.82× |
| [USP-S \| Bleeding Edge (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-bleeding-edge-field-tested) | 1 in 52 | $0.97 | 4.3% | 349 | 212.1 | 1.65× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Trigger Discipline (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $0.68 | 6.1% | 652 | 423.3 | 1.54× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Lumen (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-lumen-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $0.66 | 6.3% | 394 | 452.1 | 0.87× |
| [P250 \| Inferno (Field-Tested) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-inferno-field-tested) | 1 in 18 | $0.53 | 7.0% | 910 | 626.7 | 1.45× |
| [MP7 \| Guerrilla (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-guerrilla-well-worn) | 1 in 18 | $0.52 | 6.9% | 529 | 628.8 | 0.84× |
| [MAG-7 \| Heaven Guard (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-heaven-guard-minimal-wear) | 1 in 16 | $0.47 | 7.1% | 652 | 706.9 | 0.92× |
| [Nova \| Rising Sun (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-rising-sun-field-tested) | 1 in 15 | $0.45 | 7.1% | 1,295 | 740.8 | 1.75× |
| [AK-47 \| Wintergreen (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wintergreen-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $0.43 | 7.0% | 592 | 768.2 | 0.77× |
| [Tec-9 \| Jambiya (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-jambiya-well-worn) | 1 in 14 | $0.43 | 7.0% | 653 | 777.4 | 0.84× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Hybrid (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hybrid-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $0.35 | 6.5% | 1,359 | 886.3 | 1.53× |
| [Negev \| Prototype (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-prototype-minimal-wear) | 1 in 12 | $0.26 | 5.2% | 699 | 936.4 | 0.75× |
| [Galil AR \| Akoben (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-akoben-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $0.25 | 4.9% | 728 | 932.8 | 0.78× |
| [M249 \| O.S.I.P.R. (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-o-s-i-p-r-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $0.24 | 4.8% | 571 | 931.0 | 0.61× |
| [Glock-18 \| Green Line (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-green-line-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $0.24 | 4.8% | 573 | 930.1 | 0.62× |
| [Charm \| Lil' Cackle charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-cackle) | 1 in 12 | $0.24 | 4.7% | 156 | 927.7 | 0.17× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=spacerace2)

[FAMAS | ZX Spectron (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-zx-spectron-field-tested) [Mersedes-Benz](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Mersedes-Benz) $0.53 $2.85 5.38x 2026-11-11 13:53 UTC

[AK-47 | Wintergreen (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wintergreen-field-tested) [🐻❤Sangirqa❤🐻](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%F0%9F%90%BB%E2%9D%A4Sangirqa%E2%9D%A4%F0%9F%90%BB) $0.53 $0.44 0.83x 2026-11-11 13:49 UTC

[Negev | Prototype (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-prototype-minimal-wear) [🐻❤Sangirqa❤🐻](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%F0%9F%90%BB%E2%9D%A4Sangirqa%E2%9D%A4%F0%9F%90%BB) $0.53 $0.24 0.46x 2026-11-11 13:49 UTC

[PP-Bizon | Lumen (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-lumen-field-tested) [🐻❤Sangirqa❤🐻](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%F0%9F%90%BB%E2%9D%A4Sangirqa%E2%9D%A4%F0%9F%90%BB) $0.53 $0.67 1.26x 2026-11-11 13:49 UTC

[MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-heaven-guard-minimal-wear) [🐻❤Sangirqa❤🐻](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%F0%9F%90%BB%E2%9D%A4Sangirqa%E2%9D%A4%F0%9F%90%BB) $0.53 $0.44 0.82x 2026-11-11 13:49 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-field-tested) [🐻❤Sangirqa❤🐻](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%F0%9F%90%BB%E2%9D%A4Sangirqa%E2%9D%A4%F0%9F%90%BB) $0.53 $0.70 1.32x 2026-11-11 13:49 UTC

[Negev | Prototype (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-prototype-minimal-wear) [🐻❤Sangirqa❤🐻](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%F0%9F%90%BB%E2%9D%A4Sangirqa%E2%9D%A4%F0%9F%90%BB) $0.53 $0.24 0.46x 2026-11-11 13:49 UTC

[Charm | Lil' Cackle charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-cackle) [🐻❤Sangirqa❤🐻](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%F0%9F%90%BB%E2%9D%A4Sangirqa%E2%9D%A4%F0%9F%90%BB) $0.53 $0.24 0.46x 2026-11-11 13:49 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hybrid-field-tested) [🐻❤Sangirqa❤🐻](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%F0%9F%90%BB%E2%9D%A4Sangirqa%E2%9D%A4%F0%9F%90%BB) $0.53 $0.35 0.66x 2026-11-11 13:49 UTC

[AK-47 | Wintergreen (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wintergreen-field-tested) [🐻❤Sangirqa❤🐻](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%F0%9F%90%BB%E2%9D%A4Sangirqa%E2%9D%A4%F0%9F%90%BB) $0.53 $0.44 0.83x 2026-11-11 13:49 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $0.53 | 80.53% | 30 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $0.53 | 80.24% | 30 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $0.53 | 80.28% | 29 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $0.53 | 80.54% | 29 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $0.53 | 80.95% | 28 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $0.53 | 80.91% | 29 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $0.53 | 81.01% | 28 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $0.53 | 81.17% | 29 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $0.53 | 81.16% | 29 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $0.53 | 81.55% | 29 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $0.53 | 81.60% | 29 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $0.53 | 81.54% | 29 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $0.53 | 81.48% | 29 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $0.53 | 81.44% | 29 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $0.53 | 81.64% | 29 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $0.53 | 81.57% | 29 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $0.53 | 81.42% | 29 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $0.53 | 81.47% | 30 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $0.53 | 81.57% | 30 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $0.53 | 81.60% | 30 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $0.53 | 81.49% | 30 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $0.53 | 81.59% | 28 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $0.53 | 82.03% | 28 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $0.53 | 82.08% | 28 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $0.53 | 81.89% | 28 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $0.53 | 81.54% | 29 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $0.53 | 81.70% | 29 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $0.53 | 81.67% | 29 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $0.53 | 81.70% | 29 |
| 4 Nov, 14:19 UTC | $0.53 | 81.64% | 29 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed classified 0.1% restricted 1.2% uncommon 0.0% pink 0.1% #8847ff 0.4% Mythical 12.4% #4b69ff 27.8% Restricted 5.7% blue 22.5% milspec 13.4% violet 8.0% mil spec 8.4% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 80.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $80.53 on average: an expected loss of $19.47 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt