---
title: "Spectrum Case case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Spectrum Case ($0.93) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 76.69% from 17 items with odds, observed 90.76% over 742 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/spectrum
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:51Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [Spectrum Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/spectrum)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · Spectrum Case

A case on csgo.net (Standard), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/spectrum?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/spectrum?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/spectrum) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/spectrum?window=all)

Price · $0.93

Advertised RTP · 76.69% · EV $0.71 from 17 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 90.76% · 742 openings, odds method

Variance · 3.0× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 24.3% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 68.1% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 33 openings · below min

7 days · 92.38% ±13.86 581 openings

30 days · 90.76% ±12.29 742 openings

since tracking started · 90.76% ±12.29 742 openings

15.5% 74.5% 133.5%

**Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 77.81% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (78.46% – 103.05%, 742 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/spectrum?window=24h) | 33 | 74.45% ±58.4 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/spectrum?window=7d) | 581 | 92.38% ±13.9 | +2.1σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/spectrum) | 742 | 90.76% ±12.3 | +2.1σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/spectrum?window=all) | 742 | 90.76% ±12.3 | +2.1σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 17 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 743 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-minimal-wear) | 1 in 9,975 | $116 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 9,960 | $98.94 | 1.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AWP \| Fever Dream (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,301 | $12.40 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Decimator (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-decimator-field-tested) | 1 in 3,203 | $12.21 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Xiangliu (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-xiangliu-field-tested) | 1 in 2,899 | $11.63 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Crimson Tsunami (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-crimson-tsunami-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $1.62 | 10.4% | 45 | 34.1 | 1.32× |
| [M249 \| Emerald Poison Dart (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-emerald-poison-dart-field-tested) | 1 in 19 | $1.48 | 11.1% | 34 | 39.9 | 0.85× |
| [XM1014 \| Seasons (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-seasons-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $1.23 | 12.3% | 33 | 53.0 | 0.62× |
| [UMP-45 \| Scaffold (Field-Tested) weapon · 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-scaffold-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $1.23 | 12.3% | 77 | 52.8 | 1.46× |
| [MAC-10 \| Last Dive (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-last-dive-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $1.17 | 12.4% | 78 | 56.3 | 1.38× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Oxide Blaze (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-oxide-blaze-minimal-wear) | 10.8% | $0.48 | 7.3% | 26 | 80.4 | 0.32× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Jungle Slipstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-jungle-slipstream-minimal-wear) | 10.2% | $0.41 | 5.9% | 61 | 75.5 | 0.81× |
| [P250 \| Ripple (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-ripple-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10 | $0.39 | 5.4% | 42 | 73.5 | 0.57× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Zander (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-zander-field-tested) | 1 in 10 | $0.36 | 4.9% | 58 | 71.0 | 0.82× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Capillary (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-capillary-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $0.36 | 4.7% | 21 | 70.0 | 0.30× |
| [MP7 \| Akoben (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-akoben-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11 | $0.35 | 4.6% | 3 | 69.3 | 0.04× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Blueprint (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-blueprint-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $0.32 | 4.0% | 40 | 66.2 | 0.60× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=spectrum)

[P250 | Ripple (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-ripple-minimal-wear) [Жулик](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%96%D1%83%D0%BB%D0%B8%D0%BA) $0.93 $0.39 0.42x 2026-11-11 13:37 UTC

[XM1014 | Seasons (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-seasons-field-tested) [Жулик](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%96%D1%83%D0%BB%D0%B8%D0%BA) $0.93 $1.17 1.26x 2026-11-11 13:37 UTC

[PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-jungle-slipstream-minimal-wear) [doctorbayard](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/doctorbayard) $0.93 $0.41 0.44x 2026-11-11 11:18 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Capillary (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-capillary-field-tested) [,,N!ppL3"](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%2C%2CN!ppL3%22) $0.93 $0.35 0.38x 2026-11-11 10:24 UTC

[SCAR-20 | Blueprint (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-blueprint-field-tested) [MaMaca](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/MaMaca) $0.93 $0.32 0.35x 2026-11-11 07:20 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Capillary (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-capillary-field-tested) [MaMaca](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/MaMaca) $0.93 $0.35 0.38x 2026-11-11 07:19 UTC

[XM1014 | Seasons (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-seasons-field-tested) [MaMaca](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/MaMaca) $0.93 $1.28 1.38x 2026-11-11 07:19 UTC

[MP7 | Akoben (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-akoben-field-tested) [MaMaca](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/MaMaca) $0.93 $0.35 0.37x 2026-11-11 07:19 UTC

[M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-emerald-poison-dart-field-tested) [MaMaca](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/MaMaca) $0.93 $1.49 1.60x 2026-11-11 07:18 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Oxide Blaze (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-oxide-blaze-minimal-wear) [k1ngpen](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/k1ngpen) $0.93 $0.48 0.52x 2026-11-10 23:32 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $0.93 | 76.69% | 17 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $0.93 | 76.66% | 17 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $0.93 | 76.54% | 17 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $0.93 | 76.87% | 17 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $0.93 | 77.18% | 17 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $0.93 | 77.16% | 17 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $0.93 | 77.18% | 17 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $0.93 | 77.24% | 17 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $0.93 | 77.36% | 17 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $0.93 | 77.68% | 17 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $0.93 | 77.67% | 17 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $0.93 | 77.67% | 17 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $0.93 | 77.70% | 17 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $0.93 | 77.75% | 17 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $0.93 | 77.72% | 17 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $0.93 | 77.76% | 17 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $0.93 | 77.80% | 17 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $0.93 | 77.77% | 17 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $0.93 | 77.74% | 17 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $0.93 | 77.67% | 17 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $0.93 | 77.71% | 17 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $0.93 | 77.76% | 17 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $0.93 | 78.10% | 17 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $0.93 | 78.03% | 17 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $0.93 | 78.07% | 17 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $0.93 | 77.77% | 17 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $0.93 | 77.91% | 17 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $0.93 | 77.78% | 17 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $0.93 | 77.87% | 17 |
| 4 Nov, 14:19 UTC | $0.93 | 77.90% | 16 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed 3 7.1% covert 0.0% classified 0.1% Legendary 0.0% #8847ff 12.2% restricted 5.4% violet 7.1% Rare 30.3% blue 10.2% #4b69ff 9.4% mil spec 9.3% milspec 8.9% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 76.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $76.69 on average: an expected loss of $23.31 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt