---
title: "Spectrum 2 case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Spectrum 2 ($0.53) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 76.15% from 15 items with odds, observed 84.09% over 1,786 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/spectrum2
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:39Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [Spectrum 2](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/spectrum2)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · Spectrum 2

A case on csgo.net (Standard), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/spectrum2?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/spectrum2?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/spectrum2) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/spectrum2?window=all)

Price · $0.53

Advertised RTP · 76.15% · EV $0.40 from 15 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 84.09% · 1,786 openings, odds method

Variance · 9.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 38.7% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 89.1% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 79.96% ±48.20 156 openings

7 days · 85.29% ±15.65 1,553 openings

30 days · 84.09% ±14.61 1,786 openings

since tracking started · 84.09% ±14.61 1,786 openings

31.0% 80.0% 129.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/spectrum2?window=24h) | 156 | 79.96% ±48.2 | +0.2σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/spectrum2?window=7d) | 1,553 | 85.29% ±15.7 | +1.0σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/spectrum2) | 1,786 | 84.09% ±14.6 | +0.9σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/spectrum2?window=all) | 1,786 | 84.09% ±14.6 | +0.9σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,786 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AK-47 \| The Empress (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-field-tested) | 1 in 9,997 | $101 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [P250 \| See Ya Later (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-see-ya-later-field-tested) | 1 in 9,997 | $94.63 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Stained (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-stained-field-tested) | 1 in 9,990 | $67.57 | 1.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Stained (Field-Tested) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-stained-field-tested) | 1 in 9,977 | $50.34 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-leaded-glass-minimal-wear) | 1 in 8,269 | $11.22 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [PP-Bizon \| High Roller (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-high-roller-field-tested) | 1 in 7,779 | $10.11 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [R8 Revolver \| Llama Cannon (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-llama-cannon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 7,593 | $9.77 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [MP9 \| Goo (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-goo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 55 | $1.13 | 5.1% | 73 | 32.4 | 2.26× |
| [SG 553 \| Phantom (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-phantom-minimal-wear) | 1 in 53 | $1.11 | 5.2% | 67 | 33.9 | 1.98× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Tacticat (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tacticat-field-tested) | 1 in 48 | $1.07 | 5.6% | 75 | 37.5 | 2.00× |
| [UMP-45 \| Exposure (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-exposure-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $1.01 | 6.2% | 49 | 44.2 | 1.11× |
| [XM1014 \| Ziggy (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-ziggy-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $1.00 | 6.2% | 99 | 44.4 | 2.23× |
| [G3SG1 \| Hunter (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-hunter-field-tested) | 27.9% | $0.31 | 21.1% | 53 | 497.8 | 0.11× |
| [MAC-10 \| Oceanic (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-oceanic-minimal-wear) | 28.8% | $0.30 | 21.1% | 427 | 513.8 | 0.83× |
| [Glock-18 \| Off World (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-off-world-field-tested) | 32.5% | $0.26 | 20.8% | 171 | 580.5 | 0.29× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=spectrum2)

[Glock-18 | Off World (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-off-world-field-tested) [xco5](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/xco5) $0.53 $0.26 0.49x 2026-11-11 09:26 UTC

[Glock-18 | Off World (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-off-world-field-tested) [xco5](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/xco5) $0.53 $0.26 0.49x 2026-11-11 09:25 UTC

[MAC-10 | Oceanic (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-oceanic-minimal-wear) [xco5](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/xco5) $0.53 $0.30 0.56x 2026-11-11 09:24 UTC

[Glock-18 | Off World (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-off-world-field-tested) [xco5](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/xco5) $0.53 $0.26 0.49x 2026-11-11 09:24 UTC

[MAC-10 | Oceanic (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-oceanic-field-tested) [call me PAPI](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/call%20me%20PAPI) $0.53 $0.30 0.56x 2026-11-11 07:16 UTC

[MAC-10 | Oceanic (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-oceanic-field-tested) [turb0w-](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/turb0w-) $0.53 $0.30 0.56x 2026-11-11 06:02 UTC

[Glock-18 | Off World (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-off-world-field-tested) [turb0w-](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/turb0w-) $0.53 $0.26 0.48x 2026-11-11 06:02 UTC

[G3SG1 | Hunter (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-hunter-field-tested) [turb0w-](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/turb0w-) $0.53 $0.30 0.57x 2026-11-11 06:01 UTC

[MAC-10 | Oceanic (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-oceanic-field-tested) [turb0w-](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/turb0w-) $0.53 $0.30 0.56x 2026-11-11 06:01 UTC

[MAC-10 | Oceanic (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-oceanic-field-tested) [turb0w-](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/turb0w-) $0.53 $0.30 0.56x 2026-11-11 06:01 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $0.53 | 76.15% | 15 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $0.53 | 75.97% | 15 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $0.53 | 75.94% | 15 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $0.53 | 76.21% | 15 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $0.53 | 76.53% | 14 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $0.53 | 76.46% | 15 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $0.53 | 76.58% | 15 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $0.53 | 76.58% | 16 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $0.53 | 76.68% | 15 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $0.53 | 77.14% | 15 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $0.53 | 77.11% | 15 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $0.53 | 77.11% | 15 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $0.53 | 77.06% | 15 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $0.53 | 77.09% | 16 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $0.53 | 77.08% | 15 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $0.53 | 77.08% | 16 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $0.53 | 77.08% | 16 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $0.53 | 77.07% | 16 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $0.53 | 77.13% | 16 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $0.53 | 77.16% | 16 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $0.53 | 77.09% | 15 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $0.53 | 77.12% | 16 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $0.53 | 77.56% | 16 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $0.53 | 77.55% | 15 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $0.53 | 77.43% | 15 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $0.53 | 77.10% | 15 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $0.53 | 77.27% | 15 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $0.53 | 77.21% | 15 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $0.53 | 77.19% | 16 |
| 4 Nov, 14:19 UTC | $0.53 | 77.18% | 15 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.0% Immortal 0.0% pink 0.0% classified 0.0% Mythical 3.7% #8847ff 2.1% violet 5.0% blue 56.6% #4b69ff 32.5% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 76.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $76.15 on average: an expected loss of $23.85 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt