---
title: "The Sport & Field case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "The Sport & Field ($3.39) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 76.15% from 15 items with odds, observed 103.14% over 19 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/sportfield
rendered: 2026-11-11T20:30Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [The Sport & Field](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/sportfield)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · The Sport & Field

A case on csgo.net (Collection), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/sportfield?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/sportfield?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/sportfield) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/sportfield?window=all)

Price · $3.39

Advertised RTP · 76.15% · EV $2.58 from 15 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 103.14% · 19 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 31.4% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 96.1% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 3 openings · below min

7 days · 17 openings · below min

30 days · 19 openings · below min

since tracking started · 19 openings · below min

-0.5% 85.8% 172.0%

**Small sample.** 19 openings and 5.9 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/sportfield?window=24h) | 3 | 42.65% ±128.8 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/sportfield?window=7d) | 17 | 108.18% ±59.3 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/sportfield) | 19 | 103.14% ±56.4 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/sportfield?window=all) | 19 | 103.14% ±56.4 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 19 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [M4A1-S \| Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 21,874 | $204 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| AXIA (Minimal Wear) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-axia-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26 | $19.06 | 28.7% | 2 | 0.7 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Heat Treated (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-heat-treated-minimal-wear) | 27.5% | $2.52 | 26.8% | 0 | 5.2 | 0.00× |
| [MP9 \| Arctic Tri-Tone (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-arctic-tri-tone-field-tested) | 25.6% | $2.23 | 22.1% | 5 | 4.9 | 1.03× |
| [UMP-45 \| Crimson Foil (Minimal Wear) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-crimson-foil-minimal-wear) | 24.8% | $2.13 | 20.5% | 2 | 4.7 | 0.42× |
| [P250 \| Small Game (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-small-game-minimal-wear) | 1 in 24 | $0.31 | 0.5% | 2 | 0.8 | — |
| [USP-S \| Alpine Camo (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-alpine-camo-field-tested) | 1 in 27 | $0.27 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [Nova \| Yorkshire (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-yorkshire-field-tested) | 1 in 31 | $0.23 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Zeno (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-zeno-field-tested) | 1 in 32 | $0.22 | 0.3% | 2 | 0.6 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Olive Polycam (Minimal Wear) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-olive-polycam-minimal-wear) | 1 in 69 | $0.10 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [MP5-SD \| Savannah Halftone (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-savannah-halftone-field-tested) | 1 in 145 | $0.05 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [PP-Bizon \| Cold Cell (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-cold-cell-minimal-wear) | 1 in 169 | $0.04 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [MAG-7 \| Wildwood (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-wildwood-minimal-wear) | 1 in 182 | $0.04 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Tiger Stencil (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-tiger-stencil-field-tested) | 1 in 269 | $0.03 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Half Sleeve (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-half-sleeve-well-worn) | 1 in 374 | $0.02 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=sportfield)

[UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-crimson-foil-field-tested) [Kosmik](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Kosmik) $3.39 $2.13 0.63x 2026-11-11 13:13 UTC

[UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Minimal Wear) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-crimson-foil-minimal-wear) [g0\_0se](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/g0_0se) $3.39 $1.99 0.59x 2026-11-11 08:39 UTC

[SSG 08 | Zeno (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-zeno-field-tested) [g0\_0se](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/g0_0se) $3.39 $0.22 0.06x 2026-11-11 08:39 UTC

[MP9 | Arctic Tri-Tone (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-arctic-tri-tone-field-tested) [Br1ght](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Br1ght) $3.39 $2.11 0.62x 2026-11-10 13:59 UTC

[MP9 | Arctic Tri-Tone (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-arctic-tri-tone-field-tested) [..saizu?](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/..saizu%3F) $3.39 $2.18 0.64x 2026-11-10 05:16 UTC

[MP9 | Arctic Tri-Tone (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-arctic-tri-tone-field-tested) [\[GRS\] Capo](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%5BGRS%5D%20Capo) $3.39 $2.18 0.64x 2026-11-09 11:03 UTC

[USP-S | Alpine Camo (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-alpine-camo-field-tested) [bereza](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/bereza) $3.39 $0.28 0.08x 2026-11-08 12:39 UTC

[P250 | Small Game (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-small-game-minimal-wear) [nonyamis](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/nonyamis) $3.39 $0.29 0.09x 2026-11-07 19:13 UTC

[SSG 08 | Zeno (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-zeno-field-tested) [camry3.5t](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/camry3.5t) $3.39 $0.21 0.06x 2026-11-07 18:51 UTC

[Glock-18 | AXIA (Minimal Wear) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-axia-minimal-wear) [Michkus](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Michkus) $3.39 $19.51 5.76x 2026-11-06 20:43 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC | $3.39 | 76.15% | 15 |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $3.39 | 75.98% | 15 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $3.39 | 75.81% | 15 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $3.39 | 75.77% | 15 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $3.39 | 76.09% | 15 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $3.39 | 76.45% | 15 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $3.39 | 76.41% | 15 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $3.39 | 76.42% | 15 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $3.39 | 76.49% | 15 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $3.39 | 76.56% | 15 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $3.39 | 76.91% | 15 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $3.39 | 76.91% | 15 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $3.39 | 77.04% | 15 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $3.39 | 77.01% | 15 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $3.39 | 76.92% | 15 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $3.39 | 76.92% | 15 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $3.39 | 76.95% | 15 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $3.39 | 76.93% | 15 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $3.39 | 76.95% | 15 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $3.39 | 76.99% | 15 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $3.39 | 77.02% | 15 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $3.39 | 76.88% | 15 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $3.39 | 77.01% | 15 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $3.39 | 77.35% | 15 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $3.39 | 77.37% | 15 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $3.39 | 77.31% | 15 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $3.39 | 76.99% | 15 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $3.39 | 77.02% | 15 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $3.39 | 77.08% | 15 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $3.39 | 77.10% | 15 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed epic 0.0% rare 3.9% violet 53.1% uncommon 24.8% milspec 4.2% #4b69ff 7.0% Rare 3.1% Uncommon 1.5% industrial 2.5% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 76.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $76.15 on average: an expected loss of $23.85 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt