---
title: "Straty case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Straty ($11.99) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 75.84% from 41 items with odds, observed 71.54% over 658 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/straty
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:44Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [Straty](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/straty)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · Straty

A case on csgo.net (Blogger), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/straty?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/straty?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/straty) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/straty?window=all)

Price · $11.99

Advertised RTP · 75.84% · EV $9.09 from 41 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 71.54% · 658 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.4× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 33.9% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 88.4% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 72 openings · below min

7 days · 72.34% ±5.85 487 openings

30 days · 71.54% ±5.06 658 openings

since tracking started · 71.54% ±5.06 658 openings

58.0% 73.3% 88.5%

**Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 76.81% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (66.47% – 76.60%, 658 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/straty?window=24h) | 72 | 73.22% ±14.6 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/straty?window=7d) | 487 | 72.34% ±5.85 | −1.4σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/straty) | 658 | 71.54% ±5.06 | −2.0σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/straty?window=all) | 658 | 71.54% ±5.06 | −2.0σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 41 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 659 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 189,741 | $791 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Arid (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-arid-well-worn) | 1 in 156,996 | $460 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Daybreak (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-daybreak-minimal-wear) | 1 in 138,912 | $393 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Akihabara Accept (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-well-worn) | 1 in 117,015 | $335 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Slaughter (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-slaughter-well-worn) | 1 in 78,985 | $259 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Dragonfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50,167 | $208 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 41,424 | $191 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Cobalt Skulls (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-cobalt-skulls-field-tested) | 1 in 34,603 | $177 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Hypnotic (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-hypnotic-factory-new) | 1 in 14,237 | $127 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Neon Rider (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-neon-rider-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,873 | $115 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Wasteland Rebel (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-wasteland-rebel-field-tested) | 1 in 6,305 | $95.26 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AWP \| BOOM (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-boom-minimal-wear) | 1 in 6,054 | $93.93 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AWP \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 6,045 | $93.88 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Blood in the Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,659 | $91.77 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AUG \| Chameleon (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-chameleon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,354 | $76.70 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,220 | $75.64 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,801 | $72.12 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [P90 \| Death by Kitty (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-death-by-kitty-field-tested) | 1 in 2,626 | $70.56 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-field-tested) | 1 in 1,913 | $63.34 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Nightwish (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,723 | $61.12 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-field-tested) | 1 in 1,707 | $60.93 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [USP-S \| Dark Water (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-dark-water-field-tested) | 1 in 1,276 | $55.19 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 681 | $44.54 | 0.7% | 1 | 1.0 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Waters of Nephthys (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-waters-of-nephthys-field-tested) | 1 in 423 | $37.82 | 1.0% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.64× |
| [P250 \| Whiteout (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-whiteout-field-tested) | 1 in 290 | $33.19 | 1.3% | 1 | 2.3 | 0.44× |
| [AK-47 \| Inheritance (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-inheritance-field-tested) | 1 in 282 | $32.87 | 1.3% | 2 | 2.3 | 0.85× |
| [AWP \| Chrome Cannon (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chrome-cannon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 274 | $32.57 | 1.3% | 2 | 2.4 | 0.83× |
| [MP7 \| Bloodsport (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-field-tested) | 1 in 226 | $30.45 | 1.5% | 3 | 2.9 | 1.03× |
| [M4A4 \| Temukau (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-field-tested) | 1 in 202 | $29.25 | 1.6% | 3 | 3.3 | 0.92× |
| [AK-47 \| Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-field-tested) | 1 in 116 | $24.00 | 2.3% | 3 | 5.7 | 0.53× |
| [FAMAS \| Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-mecha-industries-field-tested) | 1 in 109 | $23.49 | 2.4% | 2 | 6.1 | 0.33× |
| [SSG 08 \| Bloodshot (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-bloodshot-field-tested) | 1 in 48 | $17.39 | 4.0% | 18 | 13.6 | 1.32× |
| [P250 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $12.23 | 6.6% | 33 | 32.2 | 1.02× |
| [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-field-tested) | 1 in 19 | $11.97 | 6.8% | 35 | 33.9 | 1.03× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Xiangliu (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-xiangliu-field-tested) | 1 in 18 | $11.63 | 7.0% | 41 | 36.1 | 1.14× |
| [SSG 08 \| Detour (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-detour-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $11.37 | 7.2% | 14 | 37.9 | 0.37× |
| [M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-leaded-glass-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $11.22 | 7.3% | 52 | 39.0 | 1.33× |
| [FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-rapid-eye-movement-minimal-wear) | 15.5% | $6.42 | 10.9% | 97 | 101.9 | 0.95× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Melondrama (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-melondrama-minimal-wear) | 16.3% | $6.15 | 11.0% | 101 | 107.3 | 0.94× |
| [MP9 \| Hydra (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hydra-field-tested) | 16.4% | $6.09 | 11.0% | 114 | 108.4 | 1.05× |
| [MP9 \| Rose Iron (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-rose-iron-minimal-wear) | 17.9% | $5.60 | 11.0% | 104 | 118.0 | 0.88× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=straty)

[FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-rapid-eye-movement-minimal-wear) [Boris\_Britva](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Boris_Britva) $11.99 $6.38 0.53x 2026-11-11 13:34 UTC

[MP9 | Hydra (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hydra-field-tested) [BRUTALITY?](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/BRUTALITY%3F) $11.99 $6.14 0.51x 2026-11-11 13:09 UTC

[SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-bloodshot-field-tested) [002](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/002) $11.99 $17.26 1.44x 2026-11-11 13:07 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-melondrama-minimal-wear) [Rico](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Rico) $11.99 $6.47 0.54x 2026-11-11 12:38 UTC

[MP9 | Rose Iron (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-rose-iron-minimal-wear) [Rico](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Rico) $11.99 $5.68 0.47x 2026-11-11 12:38 UTC

[MP9 | Hydra (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hydra-field-tested) [🩶L,E,K,A🩶](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%F0%9F%A9%B6L%2CE%2CK%2CA%F0%9F%A9%B6) $11.99 $6.14 0.51x 2026-11-11 12:37 UTC

[MP9 | Hydra (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hydra-field-tested) [snowFlake](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/snowFlake) $11.99 $6.14 0.51x 2026-11-11 12:28 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-xiangliu-field-tested) [🩶L,E,K,A🩶](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%F0%9F%A9%B6L%2CE%2CK%2CA%F0%9F%A9%B6) $11.99 $11.55 0.96x 2026-11-11 12:16 UTC

[M4A4 | Desolate Space (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-field-tested) [🩶L,E,K,A🩶](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%F0%9F%A9%B6L%2CE%2CK%2CA%F0%9F%A9%B6) $11.99 $11.79 0.98x 2026-11-11 12:09 UTC

[P250 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-field-tested) [Slinkeeee](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Slinkeeee) $11.99 $12.29 1.03x 2026-11-11 11:58 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $11.99 | 75.84% | 41 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $11.99 | 75.65% | 41 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $11.99 | 75.67% | 41 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $11.99 | 75.94% | 41 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $11.99 | 76.28% | 41 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $11.99 | 76.28% | 41 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $11.99 | 76.27% | 41 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $11.99 | 76.35% | 41 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $11.99 | 76.39% | 41 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $11.99 | 76.82% | 41 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $11.99 | 76.80% | 41 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $11.99 | 76.79% | 41 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $11.99 | 76.82% | 41 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $11.99 | 76.82% | 41 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $11.99 | 76.83% | 41 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $11.99 | 76.83% | 41 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $11.99 | 76.79% | 41 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $11.99 | 76.80% | 41 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $11.99 | 76.80% | 41 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $11.99 | 76.82% | 41 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $11.99 | 76.77% | 41 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $11.99 | 76.88% | 41 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $11.99 | 77.21% | 41 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $11.99 | 77.23% | 41 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $11.99 | 77.15% | 41 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $11.99 | 76.83% | 41 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $11.99 | 76.91% | 41 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $11.99 | 76.91% | 41 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $11.99 | 76.92% | 41 |
| 4 Nov, 14:19 UTC | $11.99 | 76.89% | 41 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed sunny 0.0% extraordinary 0.0% #8847ff 0.0% covert 1.3% classified 13.9% red 0.4% Covert 0.0% restricted 18.0% pink 38.1% blue 0.3% Ancient 0.4% Legendary 5.5% mil spec 5.8% #d32ee6 16.3% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 75.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $75.84 on average: an expected loss of $24.16 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt