---
title: "Summer mining case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Summer mining ($0.26) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 63.70% from 6 items with odds, observed 6892.40% over 831 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/summermining
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:11Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [Summer mining](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/summermining)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · Summer mining

A case on csgo.net (Mining), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/summermining?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/summermining?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/summermining) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/summermining?window=all)

Price · $0.26

Advertised RTP · 63.70% · EV $0.17 from 6 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 6892.40% · 831 openings, odds method

Variance · 57.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 129 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 99.2% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 37 openings · below min

7 days · 6818.94% ±59.79 682 openings

30 days · 6892.40% ±54.45 831 openings

since tracking started · 6892.40% ±54.45 831 openings

63.5% 3544.5% 7025.5%

**Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 64.83% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (6837.95% – 6946.85%, 831 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/summermining?window=24h) | 37 | 6775.68% ±249.3 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/summermining?window=7d) | 682 | 6818.94% ±59.8 | +221.4σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/summermining) | 831 | 6892.40% ±54.4 | +245.8σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/summermining?window=all) | 831 | 6892.40% ±54.4 | +245.8σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 831 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 8,314 | $92.20 | 6.7% | 11 | 0.1 | — |
| [AWP \| Queen's Gambit (Field-Tested) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-queens-gambit-field-tested) | 1 in 3,794 | $45.97 | 7.3% | 23 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Queen Jaguar (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-queen-jaguar-field-tested) | 1 in 3,779 | $45.87 | 7.3% | 22 | 0.2 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Stalker (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-stalker-field-tested) | 1 in 1,834 | $32.92 | 10.8% | 59 | 0.5 | — |
| [Charm \| Lil' Ferno charm · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-ferno) | 1 in 152 | $13.46 | 53.4% | 711 | 5.5 | 130.13× |
| [UMP-45 \| Urban DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-urban-ddpat-field-tested) | 99.2% | $0.02 | 14.4% | 0 | 824.5 | 0.00× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Survival Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) [Someth\*ng](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Someth*ng-249368) $0.26 $101 388.7x 2026-11-03 02:28 UTC

[★ Survival Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) [Renshy](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Renshy) $0.26 $101 386.8x 2026-11-04 05:46 UTC

[★ Survival Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) [1nc3Lc0r3](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/1nc3Lc0r3) $0.26 $100 386.2x 2026-11-04 23:41 UTC

[★ Survival Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) [Runah](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Runah) $0.26 $98.80 380.0x 2026-11-09 17:48 UTC

[★ Survival Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) [nononono](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/nononono) $0.26 $98.44 378.6x 2026-11-10 16:58 UTC

[★ Survival Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) [Renshy](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Renshy) $0.26 $97.84 376.3x 2026-11-07 11:06 UTC

[★ Survival Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) [prostě Maty](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/prost%C4%9B%20Maty) $0.26 $97.45 374.8x 2026-11-03 15:22 UTC

[★ Survival Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) [Loading...](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Loading...) $0.26 $96.83 372.4x 2026-11-08 11:29 UTC

[★ Survival Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) [g0\_0se](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/g0_0se) $0.26 $96.53 371.3x 2026-11-05 15:49 UTC

[★ Survival Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) [MoHcTp](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/MoHcTp) $0.26 $96.06 369.5x 2026-11-05 11:27 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=summermining)

[Charm | Lil' Ferno charm · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-ferno) [• •ᴮᴬᴰʙᴏʏツ](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%E2%80%A2%20%E2%80%A2%E1%B4%AE%E1%B4%AC%E1%B4%B0%CA%99%E1%B4%8F%CA%8F%E3%83%84) $0.26 $13.23 50.88x 2026-11-10 22:29 UTC

[Charm | Lil' Ferno charm · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-ferno) [Бисмеля](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%91%D0%B8%D1%81%D0%BC%D0%B5%D0%BB%D1%8F) $0.26 $13.23 50.88x 2026-11-10 22:03 UTC

[Charm | Lil' Ferno charm · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-ferno) [𝖇𝖊𝖑𝖚𝖌𝖆](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%F0%9D%96%87%F0%9D%96%8A%F0%9D%96%91%F0%9D%96%9A%F0%9D%96%8C%F0%9D%96%86) $0.26 $13.23 50.88x 2026-11-10 21:55 UTC

[Charm | Lil' Ferno charm · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-ferno) [s3k41](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/s3k41) $0.26 $13.23 50.88x 2026-11-10 21:44 UTC

[Charm | Lil' Ferno charm · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-ferno) [s3k41](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/s3k41) $0.26 $13.23 50.88x 2026-11-10 21:43 UTC

[Charm | Lil' Ferno charm · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-ferno) [s3k41](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/s3k41) $0.26 $13.23 50.88x 2026-11-10 21:41 UTC

[Charm | Lil' Ferno charm · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-ferno) [s3k41](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/s3k41) $0.26 $13.23 50.88x 2026-11-10 21:40 UTC

[Charm | Lil' Ferno charm · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-ferno) [s3k41](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/s3k41) $0.26 $13.23 50.88x 2026-11-10 21:40 UTC

[Charm | Lil' Ferno charm · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-ferno) [ОСКОРБИ МЕНЯ](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%9E%D0%A1%D0%9A%D0%9E%D0%A0%D0%91%D0%98%20%D0%9C%D0%95%D0%9D%D0%AF) $0.26 $13.23 50.88x 2026-11-10 21:10 UTC

[Charm | Lil' Ferno charm · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-ferno) [ОСКОРБИ МЕНЯ](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%9E%D0%A1%D0%9A%D0%9E%D0%A0%D0%91%D0%98%20%D0%9C%D0%95%D0%9D%D0%AF) $0.26 $13.23 50.88x 2026-11-10 21:10 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $0.26 | 63.70% | 6 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $0.26 | 64.10% | 6 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $0.26 | 64.15% | 6 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $0.26 | 64.14% | 6 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $0.26 | 64.45% | 6 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $0.26 | 64.40% | 6 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $0.26 | 64.28% | 6 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $0.26 | 64.96% | 6 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $0.26 | 64.95% | 6 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $0.26 | 64.95% | 6 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $0.26 | 64.71% | 6 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $0.26 | 64.89% | 6 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $0.26 | 64.63% | 6 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $0.26 | 64.93% | 6 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $0.26 | 64.91% | 6 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $0.26 | 64.64% | 6 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $0.26 | 64.69% | 6 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $0.26 | 64.97% | 6 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $0.26 | 64.88% | 6 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $0.26 | 64.98% | 6 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $0.26 | 65.25% | 6 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $0.26 | 65.16% | 6 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $0.26 | 64.91% | 6 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $0.26 | 64.66% | 6 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $0.26 | 64.73% | 6 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $0.26 | 64.71% | 6 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $0.26 | 64.97% | 6 |
| 4 Nov, 14:19 UTC | $0.26 | 64.95% | 6 |
| 4 Nov, 08:09 UTC | $0.26 | 65.01% | 6 |
| 4 Nov, 07:05 UTC | $0.26 | 65.09% | 6 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed sunny 0.0% rare 0.0% extraordinary 0.0% covert 0.1% #eb4b4b 0.7% #777777 99.2% best hit $101 (388.7x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 63.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $63.70 on average: an expected loss of $36.30 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt