---
title: "Ручной тигр case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Ручной тигр ($2.69) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 76.51% from 29 items with odds, observed 88.77% over 63 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/tamedtiger
rendered: 2026-11-11T14:11Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [Ручной тигр](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/tamedtiger)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · Ручной тигр

A case on csgo.net, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/tamedtiger?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/tamedtiger?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/tamedtiger) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/tamedtiger?window=all)

Price · $2.69

Advertised RTP · 76.51% · EV $2.06 from 29 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 88.77% · 63 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 31.3% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 87.1% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 3 openings · below min

7 days · 59 openings · below min

30 days · 63 openings · below min

since tracking started · 63 openings · below min

-0.5% 66.0% 132.5%

**Small sample.** 63 openings and 19.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/tamedtiger?window=24h) | 3 | 42.63% ±89.5 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/tamedtiger?window=7d) | 59 | 90.41% ±20.1 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/tamedtiger) | 63 | 88.77% ±19.5 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/tamedtiger?window=all) | 63 | 88.77% ±19.5 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 29 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 63 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AK-47 \| Jaguar (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jaguar-minimal-wear) | 1 in 9,777 | $97.36 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 9,767 | $95.83 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Queen's Gambit (Field-Tested) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-queens-gambit-field-tested) | 1 in 8,452 | $48.57 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Queen Jaguar (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-queen-jaguar-field-tested) | 1 in 8,165 | $45.35 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Stalker (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-stalker-field-tested) | 1 in 6,261 | $32.71 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Commemoration (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-field-tested) | 1 in 5,531 | $29.56 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [UMP-45 \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 1,685 | $16.07 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| Splash (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-splash-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,518 | $15.41 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Crane Flight (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-crane-flight-field-tested) | 1 in 921 | $12.70 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [P2000 \| Imperial Dragon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-dragon-field-tested) | 1 in 710 | $11.52 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-leaded-glass-minimal-wear) | 1 in 661 | $11.22 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AUG \| Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-bengal-tiger-field-tested) | 1 in 351 | $8.90 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Big Iron (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-big-iron-field-tested) | 1 in 314 | $8.54 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [MP7 \| Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-abyssal-apparition-minimal-wear) | 1 in 147 | $6.44 | 2.1% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Blood Tiger (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blood-tiger-minimal-wear) | 1 in 95 | $5.46 | 2.8% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [P250 \| Kintsugi (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-kintsugi-field-tested) | 1 in 92 | $5.38 | 2.9% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Searing Rage (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-searing-rage-field-tested) | 1 in 63 | $4.63 | 3.6% | 1 | 1.0 | 0.99× |
| [M4A4 \| Jungle Tiger (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-jungle-tiger-field-tested) | 1 in 42 | $3.89 | 4.5% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× |
| [FAMAS \| Valence (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-valence-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $2.73 | 6.5% | 2 | 3.1 | 0.65× |
| [USP-S \| Blood Tiger (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blood-tiger-minimal-wear) | 1 in 18 | $2.56 | 6.8% | 3 | 3.4 | 0.87× |
| [P250 \| Hive (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-hive-field-tested) | 1 in 18 | $2.54 | 6.9% | 1 | 3.5 | 0.29× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Tigris (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tigris-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $2.09 | 7.4% | 4 | 4.6 | 0.87× |
| [Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-royal-legion-well-worn) | 1 in 12 | $1.92 | 7.5% | 0 | 5.1 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Naga (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-naga-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $1.71 | 7.5% | 6 | 5.7 | 1.05× |
| [AUG \| Amber Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-amber-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11 | $1.66 | 7.5% | 2 | 5.9 | 0.34× |
| [AUG \| Random Access (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-random-access-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10 | $1.56 | 7.4% | 2 | 6.1 | 0.33× |
| [P250 \| Wingshot (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-wingshot-field-tested) | 10.5% | $1.37 | 7.0% | 8 | 6.6 | 1.21× |
| [Glock-18 \| Weasel (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-weasel-field-tested) | 11.0% | $1.15 | 6.1% | 8 | 6.9 | 1.16× |
| [M4A4 \| Turbine (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-turbine-field-tested) | 11.0% | $1.04 | 5.6% | 9 | 7.0 | 1.29× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=tamedtiger)

[M4A4 | Turbine (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-turbine-field-tested) [ElemenT](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/ElemenT) $2.69 $1.05 0.39x 2026-11-10 16:49 UTC

[Glock-18 | Weasel (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-weasel-field-tested) [ElemenT](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/ElemenT) $2.69 $1.16 0.43x 2026-11-10 16:49 UTC

[AUG | Random Access (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-random-access-field-tested) [ElemenT](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/ElemenT) $2.69 $1.23 0.46x 2026-11-10 16:49 UTC

[M4A4 | Turbine (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-turbine-field-tested) [ElemenT](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/ElemenT) $2.69 $0.98 0.36x 2026-11-07 10:43 UTC

[P250 | Wingshot (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-wingshot-field-tested) [ElemenT](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/ElemenT) $2.69 $1.37 0.51x 2026-11-07 10:43 UTC

[AUG | Amber Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-amber-fade-minimal-wear) [ElemenT](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/ElemenT) $2.69 $1.50 0.56x 2026-11-07 10:42 UTC

[P250 | Hive (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-hive-field-tested) [ElemenT](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/ElemenT) $2.69 $2.59 0.96x 2026-11-07 10:42 UTC

[P250 | Wingshot (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-wingshot-field-tested) [ElemenT](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/ElemenT) $2.69 $1.37 0.51x 2026-11-07 10:42 UTC

[Glock-18 | Royal Legion (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-royal-legion-field-tested) [ElemenT](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/ElemenT) $2.69 $2.03 0.75x 2026-11-07 10:41 UTC

[AUG | Random Access (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-random-access-minimal-wear) [ElemenT](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/ElemenT) $2.69 $1.62 0.60x 2026-11-07 10:41 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $2.69 | 76.51% | 29 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $2.69 | 76.36% | 29 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $2.69 | 76.37% | 29 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $2.69 | 76.65% | 29 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $2.69 | 76.99% | 29 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $2.69 | 77.04% | 29 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $2.69 | 76.95% | 29 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $2.69 | 77.02% | 29 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $2.69 | 77.01% | 29 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $2.69 | 77.52% | 29 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $2.69 | 77.48% | 29 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $2.69 | 77.52% | 29 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $2.69 | 77.55% | 29 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $2.69 | 77.56% | 29 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $2.69 | 77.54% | 29 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $2.69 | 77.55% | 28 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $2.69 | 77.49% | 30 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $2.69 | 77.46% | 29 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $2.69 | 77.54% | 29 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $2.69 | 77.54% | 29 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $2.69 | 77.43% | 29 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $2.69 | 77.56% | 29 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $2.69 | 77.95% | 30 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $2.69 | 77.94% | 30 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $2.69 | 77.80% | 30 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $2.69 | 77.58% | 30 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $2.69 | 77.60% | 29 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $2.69 | 77.61% | 30 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $2.69 | 77.64% | 29 |
| 4 Nov, 14:19 UTC | $2.69 | 77.61% | 29 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.0% sunny 0.0% rare 0.0% extraordinary 0.0% mil spec 6.7% restricted 29.5% pink 2.9% classified 1.1% #d32ee6 0.3% industrial 2.4% Rare 14.8% Mythical 31.2% violet 11.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 76.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $76.51 on average: an expected loss of $23.49 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt