---
title: "Tec-9 case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Tec-9 ($1.09) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 63.43% from 30 items with odds, observed 76.10% over 243 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/tec9
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:24Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [Tec-9](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/tec9)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · Tec-9

A case on csgo.net, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/tec9?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/tec9?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/tec9) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/tec9?window=all)

Price · $1.09

Advertised RTP · 63.43% · EV $0.69 from 30 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 76.10% · 243 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.4× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 24.9% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 75.1% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 58 openings · below min

7 days · 69.50% ±9.19 192 openings

30 days · 76.10% ±8.13 243 openings

since tracking started · 76.10% ±8.13 243 openings

58.5% 75.3% 92.0%

**Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 64.14% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (67.96% – 84.23%, 243 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/tec9?window=24h) | 58 | 75.28% ±15.9 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/tec9?window=7d) | 192 | 69.50% ±9.19 | +1.2σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/tec9) | 243 | 76.10% ±8.13 | +2.9σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/tec9?window=all) | 243 | 76.10% ±8.13 | +2.9σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 30 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 243 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Tec-9 \| Terrace (Well-Worn) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-terrace-well-worn) | 1 in 187,766 | $78.07 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Nuclear Threat (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-nuclear-threat-field-tested) | 1 in 157,610 | $48.66 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Blue Titanium (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-blue-titanium-factory-new) | 1 in 47,992 | $21.37 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Toxic (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-toxic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 24,465 | $16.26 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Decimator (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-decimator-field-tested) | 1 in 23,172 | $15.93 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Fuel Injector (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-fuel-injector-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11,940 | $12.50 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Hades (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-hades-well-worn) | 1 in 9,985 | $11.73 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Rust Leaf (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-rust-leaf-field-tested) | 1 in 4,210 | $8.69 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Ossified (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-ossified-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,865 | $8.44 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Titanium Bit (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-titanium-bit-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,336 | $7.10 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Bamboo Forest (Field-Tested) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-bamboo-forest-field-tested) | 1 in 719 | $4.73 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Tornado (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-tornado-field-tested) | 1 in 480 | $4.11 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Orange Murano (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-orange-murano-well-worn) | 1 in 340 | $3.64 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Cut Out (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-cut-out-well-worn) | 1 in 312 | $3.54 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Brass (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-brass-field-tested) | 1 in 292 | $3.45 | 1.7% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Isaac (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-isaac-field-tested) | 1 in 274 | $3.37 | 1.8% | 1 | 0.9 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Blast From the Past (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-blast-from-the-past-field-tested) | 1 in 219 | $3.11 | 2.0% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.90× |
| [Tec-9 \| Remote Control (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-remote-control-well-worn) | 1 in 78 | $2.11 | 3.9% | 2 | 3.1 | 0.64× |
| [Tec-9 \| Safety Net (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-safety-net-field-tested) | 1 in 34 | $1.48 | 6.3% | 9 | 7.1 | 1.26× |
| [Tec-9 \| Whiteout (Well-Worn) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-whiteout-well-worn) | 1 in 24 | $1.26 | 7.4% | 13 | 9.9 | 1.31× |
| [Tec-9 \| Re-Entry (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-re-entry-minimal-wear) | 1 in 23 | $1.22 | 7.6% | 24 | 10.5 | 2.28× |
| [Tec-9 \| Avalanche (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-avalanche-well-worn) | 1 in 21 | $1.15 | 8.0% | 19 | 11.8 | 1.62× |
| [Tec-9 \| Mummy's Rot (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-mummys-rot-field-tested) | 1 in 19 | $1.10 | 8.3% | 10 | 12.7 | 0.79× |
| [Tec-9 \| Bamboozle (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-bamboozle-field-tested) | 10.8% | $0.49 | 7.7% | 40 | 26.2 | 1.53× |
| [Tec-9 \| Phoenix Chalk (Field-Tested) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-phoenix-chalk-field-tested) | 10.9% | $0.46 | 7.1% | 0 | 26.4 | 0.00× |
| [Tec-9 \| Ice Cap (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-ice-cap-minimal-wear) | 10.9% | $0.45 | 7.0% | 25 | 26.4 | 0.95× |
| [Tec-9 \| Jambiya (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-jambiya-well-worn) | 10.8% | $0.43 | 6.7% | 7 | 26.3 | 0.27× |
| [Tec-9 \| Sandstorm (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-sandstorm-field-tested) | 10.8% | $0.41 | 6.3% | 14 | 26.2 | 0.53× |
| [Tec-9 \| Brother (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-brother-well-worn) | 10.5% | $0.36 | 5.4% | 13 | 25.5 | 0.51× |
| [Tec-9 \| Flash Out (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-flash-out-minimal-wear) | 10.5% | $0.36 | 5.4% | 15 | 25.5 | 0.59× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=tec9)

[Tec-9 | Isaac (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-isaac-field-tested) [Dava](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Dava) $1.09 $2.42 2.22x 2026-11-11 13:17 UTC

[Tec-9 | Remote Control (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-remote-control-well-worn) [Ogurchik](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Ogurchik) $1.09 $2.21 2.03x 2026-11-11 03:30 UTC

[Tec-9 | Re-Entry (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-re-entry-minimal-wear) [Ogurchik](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Ogurchik) $1.09 $1.16 1.06x 2026-11-11 03:30 UTC

[Tec-9 | Ice Cap (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-ice-cap-minimal-wear) [Mamontino](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Mamontino) $1.09 $0.45 0.41x 2026-11-11 02:38 UTC

[Tec-9 | Re-Entry (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-re-entry-minimal-wear) [ev1lfreezy](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/ev1lfreezy) $1.09 $1.22 1.12x 2026-11-11 00:38 UTC

[Tec-9 | Mummy's Rot (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-mummys-rot-field-tested) [ev1lfreezy](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/ev1lfreezy) $1.09 $1.05 0.96x 2026-11-11 00:38 UTC

[Tec-9 | Bamboozle (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-bamboozle-field-tested) [ev1lfreezy](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/ev1lfreezy) $1.09 $0.54 0.50x 2026-11-11 00:38 UTC

[Tec-9 | Whiteout (Well-Worn) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-whiteout-well-worn) [ev1lfreezy](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/ev1lfreezy) $1.09 $2.28 2.09x 2026-11-11 00:38 UTC

[Tec-9 | Ice Cap (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-ice-cap-minimal-wear) [ev1lfreezy](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/ev1lfreezy) $1.09 $0.39 0.36x 2026-11-11 00:38 UTC

[Tec-9 | Bamboozle (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-bamboozle-field-tested) [ev1lfreezy](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/ev1lfreezy) $1.09 $0.54 0.50x 2026-11-11 00:38 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $1.09 | 63.43% | 30 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $1.09 | 63.26% | 30 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $1.09 | 63.26% | 30 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $1.09 | 63.50% | 30 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $1.09 | 63.81% | 30 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $1.09 | 63.85% | 30 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $1.09 | 63.85% | 32 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $1.09 | 63.86% | 30 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $1.09 | 63.94% | 30 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $1.09 | 64.27% | 30 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $1.09 | 64.22% | 30 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $1.09 | 64.21% | 31 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $1.09 | 64.25% | 31 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $1.09 | 64.24% | 30 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $1.09 | 64.28% | 31 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $1.09 | 64.26% | 31 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $1.09 | 64.21% | 31 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $1.09 | 64.29% | 31 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $1.09 | 64.27% | 31 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $1.09 | 64.21% | 30 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $1.09 | 64.24% | 30 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $1.09 | 64.31% | 31 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $1.09 | 64.60% | 31 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $1.09 | 64.62% | 31 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $1.09 | 64.51% | 31 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $1.09 | 64.30% | 31 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $1.09 | 64.35% | 31 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $1.09 | 64.41% | 31 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $1.09 | 64.37% | 31 |
| 4 Nov, 14:19 UTC | $1.09 | 64.29% | 30 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed Mil Spec Grade 0.0% #8847ff 10.5% Mil Spec 0.0% mil spec 22.3% classified 0.0% industrial 0.3% Uncommon 0.0% #4b69ff 0.5% restricted 20.0% Consumer Grade 11.0% consumer 0.2% pink 1.3% milspec 13.8% Mythical 4.1% blue 5.2% Rare 10.9% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 63.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $63.43 on average: an expected loss of $36.57 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt